Well-Groomed-Wrapping — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

Trades

624

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-10 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-1

Politics

36% 67% +$56

Crypto

11% 100% +$24

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	14	$517	560	200	+360	open	—	07-31 19:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$413	273	273	+0	open	—	07-26 10:22
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	8	$377	285	285	+0	open	—	07-30 22:05
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$362	260	230	+30	open	—	07-07 01:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$304	200	138	+62	open	—	07-26 01:45
will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	7	$272	405	120	+285	open	—	08-10 23:48
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	12	$267	202	288	-86	open	—	08-06 12:40
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	2	$255	135	135	+0	open	—	07-28 22:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$239	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 22:11
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	5	$234	200	200	+0	open	—	07-14 23:13
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	3	$211	130	130	+0	open	—	07-07 01:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	4	$208	240	240	+0	open	—	08-03 17:48
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$201	128	128	+0	open	—	07-10 15:40
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 18:38
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	3	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	07-24 19:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	6	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	07-31 10:06
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	1	$175	0	214	-214	open	—	06-10 07:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	5	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	07-16 01:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	06-22 02:04
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	10	$148	281	10	+271	open	—	08-01 18:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$143	148	148	+0	Yes	+$37	05-08 18:30
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	1	$140	180	0	+180	open	—	08-05 22:29
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$132	200	0	+200	open	—	05-28 04:29
italy nordio reform referendum passes	5	$125	76	76	+0	open	—	03-23 15:20
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$120	0	121	-121	open	—	06-19 14:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	5	$115	190	190	+0	open	—	08-09 21:08
will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	06-23 21:07
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?	4	$109	113	42	+71	open	—	01-16 21:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	4	$106	70	70	+0	open	—	08-10 15:47
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	07-10 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:50:28	tread fdv above 20m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xeeefff…
08-10 23:48:06	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xcccf51…
08-10 15:47:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xd9014d…
08-10 14:01:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xf3228b…
08-09 21:08:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x426d18…
08-09 17:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x8ed4ea…
08-08 22:55:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x0189d2…
08-08 16:04:36	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x380204…
08-07 17:37:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x7eff42…
08-07 11:26:48	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x81762e…
08-07 00:21:57	Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	122	28¢	$34	0x549de8…
08-06 19:48:17	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x21f98b…
08-06 19:44:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x3f9c2a…
08-06 14:35:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbbac8b…
08-06 12:40:05	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x16e3f8…
08-06 12:29:48	tread fdv above 20m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x4fec0c…
08-06 12:29:35	tread fdv above 20m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xe4aebd…
08-05 22:29:24	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	BUY	180	78¢	$140	0x33abc4…
08-05 19:44:12	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x77b4e4…
08-05 19:36:00	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0x733b34…
08-05 19:19:47	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x814f88…
08-05 19:16:51	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x08a3dc…
08-05 15:17:48	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xda4e9e…
08-05 13:07:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x460109…
08-05 11:09:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xc43a8d…
08-05 10:37:26	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x56c8f4…
08-05 02:02:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x8b5f93…
08-04 23:23:26	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xccbd52…
08-04 23:23:26	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xc13247…
08-04 23:19:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x834532…
08-04 19:32:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdb7ab6…
08-04 19:28:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1f472c…
08-04 13:35:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x32d4a6…
08-04 13:33:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x4544d7…
08-04 00:58:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xd5ac0a…
08-03 20:31:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x717862…
08-03 19:36:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x77c1b3…
08-03 17:48:20	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	80	32¢	$26	0xc67bac…
08-03 17:48:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	120	48¢	$58	0x905e30…
08-03 12:16:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeb873f…
08-02 21:53:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb53225…
08-02 21:43:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xd0b3e9…
08-02 03:12:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x2d8dd0…
08-02 03:04:08	Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x655fb8…
08-02 02:52:53	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x1cc1c1…
08-02 02:49:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeb38d8…
08-02 02:41:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdf70bf…
08-02 02:40:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xe281f2…
08-02 02:07:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xaf026a…
08-02 00:22:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x63a2fe…
08-02 00:19:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xdf55b9…
08-02 00:10:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6aece5…
08-02 00:02:35	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb5b750…
08-02 00:02:02	Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4ec810…
08-02 00:00:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x79b6c1…
08-02 00:00:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	4¢	$12	0x110159…
08-01 18:51:23	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	115	39¢	$45	0x984b56…
08-01 18:02:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x23d7f8…
08-01 17:40:53	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x943ece…
08-01 17:38:24	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x65be14…
08-01 15:11:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xff260f…
08-01 15:11:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x06e8b0…
08-01 15:02:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x857beb…
08-01 14:59:56	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9c3503…
08-01 13:48:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x385fbb…
08-01 13:47:18	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xbe927a…
08-01 13:14:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xcef5c0…
08-01 13:14:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf6890b…
08-01 13:12:44	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd09280…
08-01 13:12:33	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xfeb6b1…
08-01 13:12:33	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x375960…
08-01 12:45:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xdb8e6a…
08-01 12:36:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfdbfd1…
08-01 12:17:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x31030d…
08-01 00:07:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x704bc1…
08-01 00:06:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x8100bf…
08-01 00:03:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1e1fed…
07-31 23:51:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbc9653…
07-31 23:50:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xbc15f6…
07-31 23:47:57	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xbda562…
07-31 22:02:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0x23fedd…
07-31 22:01:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	90	37¢	$33	0xedfffa…
07-31 19:57:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x10f0f7…
07-31 18:54:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xd3139f…
07-31 18:36:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	120	20¢	$24	0x57a101…
07-31 18:33:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	120	13¢	$16	0xc09c8f…
07-31 16:41:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x124bc5…
07-31 15:15:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x308442…
07-31 10:06:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x2d6d43…
07-31 00:26:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x009a6a…
07-31 00:25:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x30962e…
07-31 00:09:45	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0x09e20d…
07-30 23:34:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x4e15b6…
07-30 22:05:38	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xb3ccf9…
07-30 22:02:03	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x68c8fb…
07-30 21:17:24	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x83e199…
07-30 21:17:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x1e694a…
07-30 21:01:03	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	235	73¢	$172	0xc01cdf…
07-30 20:37:21	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x846d91…
07-30 20:37:21	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x14f519…