Realized P&L
+$80
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
489
lifetime
Volume
$6.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$584
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% $-1
Politics
29% 67% +$56
Crypto
16% 100% +$24
Sports
6%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No -214 $-175 95¢ $-204 $-28 06-10 07:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +162 $146 90¢ $145 $-0 07-21 04:07
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +200 $132 45¢ $90 $-42 05-28 04:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $89 74¢ $75 $-14 07-14 10:21
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -86 $-71 60¢ $-52 +$19 07-20 13:00
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-12 60¢ $-9 +$3 07-06 00:22
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -23 $-18 32¢ $-8 +$11 06-25 19:43
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 39¢ $2 $-0 06-19 07:56