Scientific-Trillion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

782

Trades

1,066

lifetime

Volume

$63.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-20 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 92% -$152

Other

25% 62% -$267

Politics

23% 46% -$604

Sports

14% 27% -$159

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+100	$40	5¢	$5	-$35	04-28 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$4.0K	6,841	6,841	+0	No	-$562	05-06 11:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$3.4K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	-$126	05-05 20:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$3.2K	5,171	5,171	+0	open	—	05-05 01:00
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 total 216pt5	2	$2.4K	2,605	2,605	+0	Over	-$55	04-23 16:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$2.0K	1,733	1,733	+0	No	+$11	05-05 05:06
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$1.9K	1,417	1,417	-0	No	-$36	04-28 20:12
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	3	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$12	04-29 12:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	928	928	+0	No	-$9	05-04 16:40
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In	2	$1.4K	1,405	1,405	+0	paiN Gaming Academy	-$92	04-27 08:00
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$1.4K	1,905	1,905	+0	paiN	-$57	05-11 05:48
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yang	3	$1.2K	1,000	866	+134	Yufei Ren	-$9	04-27 19:58
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	3	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$0	05-11 16:46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	10	$945	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$45	05-01 00:57
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$829	747	747	+0	Alexander Volkov	-$7	05-09 16:31
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	4	$809	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$22	05-04 16:41
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	3	$804	2,974	2,974	+0	Baisangur Susurkaev	-$89	05-09 16:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	6	$783	823	823	-0	No	-$30	05-04 16:25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	7	$725	505	505	+0	FaZe	-$3	05-01 16:39
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	2	$692	487	487	+0	No	+$234	05-19 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$691	708	708	+0	Yes	-$5	05-06 07:46
Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Damir Dzumhur	4	$664	616	616	+0	Emilio Nava	-$76	04-27 11:40
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	2	$610	500	500	+0	Pat Sabatini	-$10	05-09 16:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$578	455	455	+0	Yes	+$5	05-05 11:53
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	2	$515	500	500	+0	South America Rejects	+$5	04-22 05:04
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$450	1,000	1,000	+0	Spurs	-$10	05-11 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$430	288	288	+0	No	-$9	05-03 20:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$406	325	325	+0	open	—	05-08 20:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$395	240	240	+0	No	+$6	05-05 04:49
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$387	412	412	+0	Yes	-$8	05-05 17:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$369	470	464	+7	Yes	-$1	05-06 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 06:10:02	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x04dc83…
05-20 05:20:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x78baaa…
05-20 01:29:03	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ea9c9…
05-19 16:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd348cb…
05-19 16:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x75f1fc…
05-19 16:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3f71a9…
05-19 06:26:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	487	95¢	$463	0x6192a4…
05-19 03:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xc533d3…
05-19 02:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3c6061…
05-19 01:05:03	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb46ff0…
05-19 00:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbcaeac…
05-18 20:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6eef7c…
05-18 20:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26c429…
05-18 17:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda42d4…
05-18 15:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x36bae4…
05-18 14:30:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2d832…
05-18 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6508c3…
05-18 14:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6be8de…
05-18 14:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8d0b6f…
05-18 13:41:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa5246e…
05-18 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x4d355c…
05-18 10:05:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x013462…
05-18 07:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe98074…
05-18 06:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x944375…
05-18 06:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x210d1e…
05-18 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xfb003b…
05-18 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfde9bd…
05-17 14:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x789cd8…
05-17 09:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x560acb…
05-16 12:05:01	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x70be6c…
05-15 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x869db2…
05-14 18:24:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0xef5fa2…
05-14 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xe2db89…
05-14 16:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xace426…
05-14 06:12:41	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x525af9…
05-13 18:20:03	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x99781b…
05-13 14:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa2d57c…
05-13 14:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7d2590…
05-13 14:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x3d4981…
05-13 09:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xaa74b0…
05-13 05:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x4a903e…
05-12 08:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xbdbca9…
05-12 07:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xda41df…
05-11 20:36:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0x3a119d…
05-11 18:01:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x1da1a0…
05-11 17:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x6ec67a…
05-11 16:46:48	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	640	49¢	$314	0xd543d0…
05-11 16:41:58	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	360	49¢	$176	0x5c1e74…
05-11 16:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x61e721…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xfbc1d1…
05-11 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0xe53c34…
05-11 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0x277383…
05-11 13:55:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	91¢	$23	0x3dbe49…
05-11 13:50:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf5bdfb…
05-11 13:50:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x9fa485…
05-11 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x810756…
05-11 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x060899…
05-11 10:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf69924…
05-11 10:31:26	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x3896e4…
05-11 10:30:03	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	SELL	393	27¢	$106	0x6e8dec…
05-11 10:06:42	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x1c6954…
05-11 10:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xa8ec02…
05-11 09:44:07	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0xc7f1ac…
05-11 08:44:55	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x9c4d5f…
05-11 08:40:58	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x2037d7…
05-11 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x12df07…
05-11 05:48:45	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	1,905	34¢	$648	0x9a9409…
05-11 05:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	28¢	$17	0xc4a3e2…
05-11 04:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xfee7fc…
05-11 04:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xf52ede…
05-11 03:20:12	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	1,905	37¢	$705	0x05c40f…
05-09 16:31:12	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0xc1cf1b…
05-09 16:31:08	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	747	55¢	$411	0x5bb76f…
05-09 16:07:34	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	SELL	2,943	12¢	$353	0x9f8ff5…
05-09 14:21:33	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	747	56¢	$418	0xd7792d…
05-09 06:32:00	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0xd707aa…
05-08 23:56:03	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	BUY	2,974	15¢	$446	0x2d2b67…
05-08 21:34:04	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x143c23…
05-08 20:55:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	325	61¢	$198	0x79619c…
05-08 16:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x6b5ae3…
05-08 16:00:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xe0e8a5…
05-08 15:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce3f1…
05-08 14:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x60e465…
05-08 14:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x240892…
05-08 13:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7f5cbb…
05-08 12:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xa1aa2f…
05-08 12:25:12	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xb0eeb1…
05-08 11:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x27e37f…
05-08 11:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42a046…
05-08 08:50:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xafd6b3…
05-08 08:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xb08f78…
05-08 08:09:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x17354f…
05-08 06:55:02	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x6d2db7…
05-08 06:30:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xabd2a6…
05-08 04:30:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x9e47ec…
05-08 04:20:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x7acf76…
05-08 02:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	92	28¢	$26	0x77cc3f…
05-07 18:35:01	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x63efb1…
05-07 16:45:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xf7f0c4…
05-07 16:15:01	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x5d8ce0…