Accomplished-Homeland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-24 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 50% +$105

Politics

30% — —

Other

25% 50% +$81

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$200	371	0	+371	open	—	03-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	05-15 05:54
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$184	188	188	+0	open	—	03-06 19:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$159	128	128	+0	open	—	05-10 16:32
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$158	200	0	+200	open	—	04-24 08:10
will tim walz drop out by	2	$152	0	300	-300	open	—	01-05 12:35
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	02-19 09:51
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$104	200	0	+200	open	—	01-10 12:16
bitcoin above 68k on february 19	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	02-19 09:22
c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69	1	$66	200	0	+200	open	—	01-10 05:08
will iran strike israel on march 7	3	$65	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 22:33
stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 16 2026 2pt67	2	$64	150	0	+150	open	—	01-13 16:43
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	03-07 01:56
dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	5	$62	100	0	+100	open	—	02-20 03:39
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	2	$54	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 07:38
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$54	120	0	+120	open	—	03-07 02:00
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	138	0	+138	open	—	03-29 22:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$50	160	160	+0	open	—	05-10 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$42	33	33	+0	Down	+$22	05-13 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$42	59	59	+0	open	—	05-15 06:24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$40	71	0	+71	open	—	03-05 06:09
will iran strike israel on march 5	1	$40	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 06:57
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 6pt17	3	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 15:38
shak quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt35	1	$35	146	0	+146	open	—	02-20 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$34	48	48	+0	Down	+$14	05-07 05:33
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$34	200	0	+200	open	—	04-24 07:32
bikinis back on x by january 31	2	$31	600	0	+600	open	—	01-10 12:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$30	375	0	+375	open	—	03-29 17:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$30	130	0	+130	open	—	01-06 05:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	1	$26	116	0	+116	open	—	01-06 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x260fca…
05-24 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9ac0ac…
05-22 20:48:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf6f0e6…
05-21 20:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x8b7671…
05-21 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7a4985…
05-21 19:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdec147…
05-20 05:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb3d14b…
05-20 05:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xde0ba9…
05-20 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe426d9…
05-18 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd61060…
05-17 05:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaaef18…
05-17 05:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa10711…
05-17 05:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf08afb…
05-17 05:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x061b1e…
05-17 05:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfce09c…
05-17 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x3569f8…
05-17 04:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x152d71…
05-17 04:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x52b2e8…
05-17 04:47:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebdf25…
05-17 04:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x62a619…
05-17 04:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3d856a…
05-17 04:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x941a2a…
05-16 03:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x69fab6…
05-16 03:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa9ca56…
05-16 03:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x276d48…
05-16 03:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0xdeb2d9…
05-16 03:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x32c1aa…
05-16 03:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x70b5c7…
05-15 19:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xaaaa83…
05-15 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xaee464…
05-15 19:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x736c07…
05-15 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xf7e897…
05-15 19:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa32123…
05-15 06:28:27	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x21b156…
05-15 06:28:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x275f42…
05-15 06:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x30c3f3…
05-15 06:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x216ff4…
05-15 06:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x68cceb…
05-15 06:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x796e2c…
05-15 06:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x12e986…
05-15 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x4aa18b…
05-15 06:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xaab014…
05-15 06:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe8bebd…
05-15 05:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7ce1b8…
05-15 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x015306…
05-15 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x709d12…
05-14 21:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe1c912…
05-14 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x499c48…
05-14 21:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc98198…
05-14 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa098fb…
05-14 08:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0xb624c8…
05-14 08:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xc1cd14…
05-14 08:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xb3a662…
05-14 07:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	49	9¢	$4	0x5b6fcf…
05-14 07:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x70ba6e…
05-14 07:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x7086b6…
05-14 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x318f83…
05-14 07:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x865c3c…
05-14 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x83bcd2…
05-14 07:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0929aa…
05-14 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x32dba2…
05-14 07:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x7d70f2…
05-14 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x80d65a…
05-13 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1b9681…
05-13 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x166d2f…
05-13 17:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1e0a7e…
05-13 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4c7f0d…
05-13 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x01cc7f…
05-13 15:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x8e10a3…
05-13 05:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x54d000…
05-13 05:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x27b4f7…
05-13 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0x178474…
05-13 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xaf878d…
05-13 05:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf99554…
05-13 05:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4f9f50…
05-13 05:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x130ab2…
05-13 05:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x88382c…
05-13 05:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x5f4089…
05-13 05:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa36bdc…
05-13 05:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x31b2df…
05-13 05:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xdc213c…
05-13 05:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe12d30…
05-10 16:32:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	85¢	$109	0x1e545a…
05-10 16:32:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	160	21¢	$34	0x1ea44b…
05-09 08:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x6f683a…
05-09 08:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6f4001…
05-09 06:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2ff693…
05-09 06:50:45	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xc6e227…
05-09 06:49:17	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xad4f26…
05-09 06:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x869607…
05-09 06:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd4b7a5…
05-09 06:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x600450…
05-09 06:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xef86dc…
05-07 06:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x279aeb…
05-07 06:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x113156…
05-07 06:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5df734…
05-07 06:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x16e16e…
05-07 06:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x598363…
05-07 06:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbaff7a…
05-07 06:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1de05e…