New-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

705

Trades

14,466

lifetime

Volume

$275.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 282 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$65,447

Other

0% 33% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	94	$55.8K	70,047	60,047	+10,000	Up	+$55,107	10-05 18:45
bitcoin up or down on march 3	82	$12.4K	21,151	21,117	+34	Down	+$143	03-03 16:58
solana up or down on july 27 2026	4	$4.8K	4,747	4,747	+0	Down	+$4,671	07-27 16:01
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	57	$4.6K	9,930	12,262	-2,332	Up	+$177	03-17 14:58
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	107	$4.2K	11,333	13,666	-2,333	Up	+$1,050	03-20 15:56
solana up or down on february 9	16	$4.2K	2,641	4,374	-1,732	Down	+$2,229	02-09 17:03
xrp up or down on march 19 2026	3	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$38	03-19 15:59
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	89	$3.9K	13,372	13,206	+167	Down	-$2,508	04-05 16:01
solana up or down on march 5	44	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 16:58
solana up or down on february 2	3	$3.5K	2,000	3,400	-1,400	Up	+$1,937	02-02 17:05
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	36	$3.0K	10,723	3,006	+7,718	Up	-$379	04-09 15:54
bitcoin up or down on march 10	75	$2.7K	16,819	18,772	-1,953	Up	+$143	03-10 15:39
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	46	$2.5K	12,144	2,245	+9,899	Down	+$35	04-05 16:01
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	68	$2.5K	8,068	6,132	+1,936	Up	+$51	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	35	$2.5K	3,241	3,022	+219	Down	+$305	08-31 15:57
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	94	$2.4K	8,959	9,875	-916	Down	+$87	03-22 13:39
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	46	$2.4K	13,430	6,931	+6,500	Up	-$91	03-15 14:51
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	17	$2.0K	6,118	1,718	+4,400	Up	+$6	03-30 16:24
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	10	$1.9K	4,566	1,200	+3,366	Down	-$192	08-12 15:58
solana up or down on march 11	23	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$77	03-11 15:55
ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	13	$1.9K	2,263	1,451	+812	Up	+$103	04-16 16:00
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	48	$1.9K	5,430	2,100	+3,330	Down	-$83	03-24 15:58
solana up or down on march 19 2026	13	$1.9K	999	999	+0	Down	+$108	03-19 15:46
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	69	$1.8K	6,941	6,940	+1	Up	+$2	03-25 15:02
Solana Up or Down on October 9?	7	$1.8K	1,015	1,015	+0	Up	+$210	10-09 16:01
bitcoin up or down on february 27	20	$1.8K	2,122	1,441	+681	Down	-$15	02-27 16:09
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	31	$1.7K	4,593	4,593	+0	Up	+$88	03-23 14:08
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	29	$1.7K	4,949	4,928	+21	Up	-$135	04-16 15:39
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	27	$1.7K	8,020	3,006	+5,014	Down	-$108	04-19 16:00
bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	35	$1.6K	3,937	3,937	+0	Up	+$164	04-11 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x60b4a8…
10-26 15:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x6750bb…
10-26 15:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	121	5¢	$6	0x08fade…
10-26 15:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	113	3¢	$3	0x6a4cf2…
10-26 15:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	205	3¢	$6	0xcc1cf4…
10-26 15:36:08	BNB Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x812282…
10-26 15:21:39	Solana Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x288da0…
10-25 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	280	5¢	$14	0xf8e253…
10-25 02:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x1fb2f4…
10-25 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x65e373…
10-25 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xdd5d36…
10-25 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xb6b30e…
10-25 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xb3a8e8…
10-25 02:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x86be79…
10-25 02:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x05c0b1…
10-25 02:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	146	5¢	$7	0x17584a…
10-25 00:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	898	10¢	$90	0x9e2712…
10-25 00:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	84	10¢	$8	0xd7b64a…
10-25 00:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x450077…
10-25 00:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x5a854f…
10-24 23:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1ea9e5…
10-24 23:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x325423…
10-24 23:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x9f9ec2…
10-24 23:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	980	10¢	$98	0xf1b8a3…
10-24 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc628e9…
10-24 23:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd4229d…
10-24 23:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4c1b5d…
10-24 10:20:15	XRP Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x04782a…
10-24 08:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x13c6b8…
10-23 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0xd3bd55…
10-23 22:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x7d07f8…
10-23 16:01:03	HYPE Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8646d3…
10-23 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x93c656…
10-23 16:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x82bd76…
10-23 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x4f4fde…
10-23 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbb4be3…
10-23 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x71a998…
10-23 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x49c42d…
10-23 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x42c720…
10-23 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x260f2e…
10-23 16:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x022abe…
10-23 16:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2,333	3¢	$70	0xb9c918…
10-23 15:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x76648c…
10-23 15:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x02d5a9…
10-23 15:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfcf98a…
10-23 15:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x871c19…
10-23 15:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0x006c4a…
10-23 15:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2c7d32…
10-23 15:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	182	3¢	$5	0x991c28…
10-22 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x456449…
10-22 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	141	3¢	$4	0x2c7ee7…
10-22 12:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	744	2¢	$17	0x5eb699…
10-22 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	667	3¢	$20	0xab9c81…
10-22 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe85f86…
10-22 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x63c424…
10-22 12:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x73fb5d…
10-22 12:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	788	3¢	$24	0x1c12ea…
10-22 03:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	1,287	7¢	$90	0xc75725…
10-22 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x857fd5…
10-22 03:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc3f5c4…
10-22 03:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xbd2f7b…
10-22 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xad34f1…
10-22 03:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x00c255…
10-22 02:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x17f236…
10-22 02:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x6558c6…
10-22 02:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x8cf733…
10-22 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2e100c…
10-22 02:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xc7fa50…
10-22 02:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x96647d…
10-22 02:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0xcfe74d…
10-22 02:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xee9d26…
10-22 02:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x2d7ccf…
10-22 02:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	716	10¢	$72	0xe38d65…
10-22 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	284	10¢	$28	0x9ed520…
10-21 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xffcff5…
10-21 14:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0x479f2f…
10-21 14:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0xda0297…
10-21 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x54aba5…
10-21 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x3447d4…
10-21 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	408	2¢	$8	0x2488c1…
10-21 14:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	260	3¢	$8	0x548231…
10-21 14:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	657	3¢	$20	0xfed3c0…
10-21 14:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	320	3¢	$10	0x986f52…
10-21 13:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x26a5fa…
10-21 13:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0xa3fd43…
10-21 13:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x046d9c…
10-21 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xee2898…
10-21 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0x202e57…
10-21 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	428	11¢	$47	0x409a1f…
10-21 13:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x404e91…
10-21 13:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	122	10¢	$12	0x014367…
10-21 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	374	10¢	$37	0x875bd3…
10-21 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x73d8f9…
10-21 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	75	10¢	$8	0x094e6a…
10-21 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	167	10¢	$17	0x289706…
10-21 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0xb9f2bc…
10-21 13:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xb7d85a…
10-21 13:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa3b29f…
10-21 13:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	339	7¢	$24	0x9d1f2e…
10-21 13:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	121	7¢	$8	0x148c0d…