New-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

750

Trades

14,889

lifetime

Volume

$290.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-10 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 297 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$66,849

Other

0% 30% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	94	$55.8K	70,047	60,047	+10,000	Up	+$55,107	10-05 18:45
bitcoin up or down on march 3	82	$12.4K	21,151	21,117	+34	Down	+$143	03-03 16:58
solana up or down on july 27 2026	4	$4.8K	4,747	4,747	+0	Down	+$4,671	07-27 16:01
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	57	$4.6K	9,930	12,262	-2,332	Up	+$177	03-17 14:58
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	107	$4.2K	11,333	13,666	-2,333	Up	+$1,050	03-20 15:56
solana up or down on february 9	16	$4.2K	2,641	4,374	-1,732	Down	+$2,229	02-09 17:03
xrp up or down on march 19 2026	3	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$38	03-19 15:59
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	89	$3.9K	13,372	13,206	+167	Down	-$2,508	04-05 16:01
solana up or down on march 5	44	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 16:58
solana up or down on february 2	3	$3.5K	2,000	3,400	-1,400	Up	+$1,937	02-02 17:05
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	36	$3.0K	10,723	3,006	+7,718	Up	-$379	04-09 15:54
bitcoin up or down on march 10	75	$2.7K	16,819	18,772	-1,953	Up	+$143	03-10 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	22	$2.6K	5,429	5,429	+0	Down	+$173	10-29 23:05
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	46	$2.5K	12,144	2,245	+9,899	Down	+$35	04-05 16:01
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	68	$2.5K	8,068	6,132	+1,936	Up	+$51	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	35	$2.5K	3,241	3,022	+219	Down	+$305	08-31 15:57
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	94	$2.4K	8,959	9,875	-916	Down	+$87	03-22 13:39
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	46	$2.4K	13,430	6,931	+6,500	Up	-$91	03-15 14:51
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	17	$2.0K	6,118	1,718	+4,400	Up	+$6	03-30 16:24
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	10	$1.9K	4,566	1,200	+3,366	Down	-$192	08-12 15:58
solana up or down on march 11	23	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$77	03-11 15:55
ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	13	$1.9K	2,263	1,451	+812	Up	+$103	04-16 16:00
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	48	$1.9K	5,430	2,100	+3,330	Down	-$83	03-24 15:58
solana up or down on march 19 2026	13	$1.9K	999	999	+0	Down	+$108	03-19 15:46
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	69	$1.8K	6,941	6,940	+1	Up	+$2	03-25 15:02
Solana Up or Down on October 9?	7	$1.8K	1,015	1,015	+0	Up	+$210	10-09 16:01
bitcoin up or down on february 27	20	$1.8K	2,122	1,441	+681	Down	-$15	02-27 16:09
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	31	$1.7K	4,593	4,593	+0	Up	+$88	03-23 14:08
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	29	$1.7K	4,949	4,928	+21	Up	-$135	04-16 15:39
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	27	$1.7K	8,020	3,006	+5,014	Down	-$108	04-19 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3cb3fb…
11-10 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x660573…
11-10 15:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x03d561…
11-10 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	1,100	3¢	$33	0xf77c51…
11-10 15:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	309	3¢	$9	0x56ec1c…
11-10 15:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	1,877	5¢	$94	0xfd21db…
11-10 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0xf462ff…
11-10 14:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xe8eab1…
11-10 14:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x988619…
11-10 13:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	109	7¢	$8	0xbeb596…
11-10 13:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0xae96e5…
11-10 13:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9e9436…
11-10 13:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xaf3088…
11-10 13:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x7fcfda…
11-10 13:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	133	7¢	$9	0xe35ea8…
11-10 13:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xae25ed…
11-10 13:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xdfff52…
11-10 13:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x946727…
11-10 13:31:16	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x4ef37a…
11-10 13:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	350	7¢	$25	0xb36e08…
11-10 13:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	361	7¢	$25	0x48e60c…
11-10 13:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	352	5¢	$18	0x6e1957…
11-10 13:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	384	5¢	$19	0x437af2…
11-10 13:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	384	5¢	$19	0x2862f4…
11-09 16:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	903	0¢	$1	0x1cfbc2…
11-09 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0x93797c…
11-09 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	1,737	5¢	$87	0x70d42b…
11-09 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x692392…
11-09 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xf1e600…
11-09 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xd8b4f1…
11-09 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x0690a1…
11-09 14:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0x3e3f78…
11-09 14:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	2,333	3¢	$70	0x2d81f4…
11-09 11:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	316	12¢	$38	0xf47c8c…
11-09 11:22:46	XRP Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xafce10…
11-09 10:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5639ca…
11-09 10:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0xa3d891…
11-09 10:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x60b4b1…
11-09 10:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x92dc0d…
11-08 23:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	792	15¢	$119	0x794010…
11-08 23:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	SELL	403	14¢	$56	0x9f77d9…
11-08 21:55:55	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xa1815b…
11-08 21:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xf837ee…
11-08 21:55:52	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x8a4667…
11-08 21:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	409	7¢	$29	0x6e2570…
11-08 21:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x2eea25…
11-08 21:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xca6f39…
11-08 21:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc506fe…
11-08 21:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x7adecd…
11-08 21:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xd820ef…
11-08 21:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x96c8a3…
11-08 21:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x5f81f5…
11-08 21:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x286401…
11-08 21:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	521	7¢	$36	0x93285b…
11-08 17:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	48,217	0¢	$48	0xc9029c…
11-08 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	1,783	0¢	$2	0x9b739c…
11-08 17:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xfa2ab2…
11-08 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	SELL	1,000	68¢	$679	0x1bcb91…
11-08 16:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1572e4…
11-08 16:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x1d82a6…
11-08 16:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	575	3¢	$17	0xf1997d…
11-08 16:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	1,405	3¢	$42	0xb8ce0f…
11-08 16:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x526337…
11-08 16:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	1,852	5¢	$93	0x85eb8f…
11-08 16:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x70a483…
11-08 16:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x0ed0cb…
11-08 16:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x06940f…
11-08 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0xb6e0e3…
11-08 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	886	55¢	$487	0x4cd9f5…
11-08 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x0ffcbe…
11-08 16:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xcabe1d…
11-08 16:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	432	30¢	$130	0x1150a9…
11-08 16:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x08866e…
11-08 16:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x2b6178…
11-08 16:41:21	Solana Up or Down on November 8?	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb89db7…
11-08 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x66ee91…
11-08 16:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xb5cede…
11-08 16:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xe2a6c0…
11-08 16:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xb86443…
11-08 16:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa14791…
11-07 17:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x298635…
11-07 17:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x7069d3…
11-07 15:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	436	3¢	$13	0xec9167…
11-07 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	585	3¢	$18	0xe799fd…
11-07 15:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	646	5¢	$32	0xd1ca5d…
11-07 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	670	5¢	$34	0x1296bc…
11-07 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	684	5¢	$34	0x8c69be…
11-07 15:35:04	BNB Up or Down on November 7?	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x5b2ffa…
11-06 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xad245c…
11-06 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	1,689	0¢	$2	0x05e478…
11-06 16:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6ce85d…
11-06 16:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x23c4f1…
11-06 15:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	240	7¢	$17	0x3cc61a…
11-06 15:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0x2f5a67…
11-06 15:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0x3984f5…
11-06 15:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	261	7¢	$18	0x2d58b9…
11-06 15:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xe02ca4…
11-06 15:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x493955…
11-06 15:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x129be0…
11-06 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x42bc8c…