New-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$56.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved (90d)

222

Trades (90d)

2,679

14,695 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$98.7K

$285.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-06 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$66,549

Other

0% 32% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	94	$55.8K	70,047	60,047	+10,000	Up	+$55,107	10-05 18:45
bitcoin up or down on march 3	82	$12.4K	21,151	21,117	+34	Down	+$143	03-03 16:58
solana up or down on july 27 2026	4	$4.8K	4,747	4,747	+0	Down	+$4,671	07-27 16:01
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	57	$4.6K	9,930	12,262	-2,332	Up	+$177	03-17 14:58
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	107	$4.2K	11,333	13,666	-2,333	Up	+$1,050	03-20 15:56
solana up or down on february 9	16	$4.2K	2,641	4,374	-1,732	Down	+$2,229	02-09 17:03
xrp up or down on march 19 2026	3	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$38	03-19 15:59
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	89	$3.9K	13,372	13,206	+167	Down	-$2,508	04-05 16:01
solana up or down on march 5	44	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 16:58
solana up or down on february 2	3	$3.5K	2,000	3,400	-1,400	Up	+$1,937	02-02 17:05
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	36	$3.0K	10,723	3,006	+7,718	Up	-$379	04-09 15:54
bitcoin up or down on march 10	75	$2.7K	16,819	18,772	-1,953	Up	+$143	03-10 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	22	$2.6K	5,429	5,429	+0	Down	+$173	10-29 23:05
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	46	$2.5K	12,144	2,245	+9,899	Down	+$35	04-05 16:01
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	68	$2.5K	8,068	6,132	+1,936	Up	+$51	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	35	$2.5K	3,241	3,022	+219	Down	+$305	08-31 15:57
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	94	$2.4K	8,959	9,875	-916	Down	+$87	03-22 13:39
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	46	$2.4K	13,430	6,931	+6,500	Up	-$91	03-15 14:51
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	17	$2.0K	6,118	1,718	+4,400	Up	+$6	03-30 16:24
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	10	$1.9K	4,566	1,200	+3,366	Down	-$192	08-12 15:58
solana up or down on march 11	23	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$77	03-11 15:55
ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	13	$1.9K	2,263	1,451	+812	Up	+$103	04-16 16:00
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	48	$1.9K	5,430	2,100	+3,330	Down	-$83	03-24 15:58
solana up or down on march 19 2026	13	$1.9K	999	999	+0	Down	+$108	03-19 15:46
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	69	$1.8K	6,941	6,940	+1	Up	+$2	03-25 15:02
Solana Up or Down on October 9?	7	$1.8K	1,015	1,015	+0	Up	+$210	10-09 16:01
bitcoin up or down on february 27	20	$1.8K	2,122	1,441	+681	Down	-$15	02-27 16:09
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	31	$1.7K	4,593	4,593	+0	Up	+$88	03-23 14:08
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	29	$1.7K	4,949	4,928	+21	Up	-$135	04-16 15:39
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	27	$1.7K	8,020	3,006	+5,014	Down	-$108	04-19 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xad245c…
11-06 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	1,689	0¢	$2	0x05e478…
11-06 16:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6ce85d…
11-06 16:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x23c4f1…
11-06 15:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	240	7¢	$17	0x3cc61a…
11-06 15:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0x2f5a67…
11-06 15:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0x3984f5…
11-06 15:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	261	7¢	$18	0x2d58b9…
11-06 15:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xe02ca4…
11-06 15:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x493955…
11-06 15:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x129be0…
11-06 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x42bc8c…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xde37b4…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xda120e…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	98	9¢	$9	0xc84a9a…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x711b02…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	66	9¢	$6	0x1b89a7…
11-06 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x0ad537…
11-06 15:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x39d117…
11-06 15:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x0593cc…
11-06 15:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0x2e0c2d…
11-06 15:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0xd92f52…
11-06 15:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0xb0e3a6…
11-06 15:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	289	5¢	$14	0x8a7862…
11-06 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8283b6…
11-06 14:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	223	17¢	$37	0x36387d…
11-06 14:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	221	16¢	$35	0x1d7f77…
11-06 14:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	93	20¢	$19	0x40f37f…
11-06 14:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x094dba…
11-06 14:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	121	20¢	$24	0xa9a0a8…
11-06 14:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	2,371	20¢	$473	0x5a133e…
11-06 14:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	74	17¢	$13	0xbd05e5…
11-06 14:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	793	17¢	$135	0x6469f1…
11-06 14:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	74	17¢	$13	0x0bd564…
11-06 14:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	74	17¢	$13	0x6964b1…
11-06 14:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	74	17¢	$13	0xcaa9bd…
11-06 14:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	790	17¢	$134	0xb2acd0…
11-06 14:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x2d520e…
11-06 14:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	965	1¢	$10	0x646d64…
11-06 13:33:21	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x810341…
11-06 13:33:10	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x079d53…
11-06 13:32:52	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	184	95¢	$175	0x2175f2…
11-06 12:17:22	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x231405…
11-06 12:15:43	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xba742e…
11-06 12:15:00	XRP Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4891a5…
11-05 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	438	3¢	$14	0xa0d06d…
11-05 14:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	429	3¢	$13	0xd1b7aa…
11-05 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xc5d3fb…
11-05 14:32:25	Solana Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xd08e41…
11-05 14:32:24	Solana Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	356	88¢	$312	0xdabea7…
11-05 14:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x902945…
11-05 14:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	365	7¢	$26	0x07e769…
11-05 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xbdcc76…
11-05 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xd6bdc6…
11-05 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	569	5¢	$28	0x8f2019…
11-05 14:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x5747de…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf5fd31…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdcf3a1…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	582	5¢	$29	0xac4052…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x38745f…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x22366b…
11-05 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x07efbd…
11-05 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x98a9bc…
11-05 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x685972…
11-05 14:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xdc4572…
11-04 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf83e96…
11-04 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	805	0¢	$1	0x9b54f2…
11-04 16:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x51f198…
11-04 16:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7c7793…
11-04 16:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x899399…
11-04 16:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x7d4261…
11-04 16:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	201	0¢	$0	0x53919a…
11-04 16:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x573ae9…
11-04 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xdd9a29…
11-04 15:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x47e8bd…
11-04 15:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd55364…
11-04 15:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa933c6…
11-04 15:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd5dde8…
11-04 15:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x47014d…
11-04 15:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	1,579	2¢	$32	0x51276f…
11-04 15:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	815	1¢	$8	0xcf5bcf…
11-04 15:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	685	1¢	$7	0x633d9a…
11-04 15:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0xfdb768…
11-04 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x29e458…
11-04 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xc2d135…
11-04 15:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	485	3¢	$15	0x69db6e…
11-04 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xfe4c7d…
11-04 14:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3fb588…
11-04 14:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xf86786…
11-04 14:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	1,310	3¢	$39	0xb368ef…
11-04 14:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xeeff62…
11-04 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	177	7¢	$12	0x7d8026…
11-04 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x39b2c7…
11-04 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	394	5¢	$20	0xccfedb…
11-04 14:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	431	5¢	$22	0x558691…
11-04 14:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	433	5¢	$22	0xe2e5ca…
11-04 14:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	459	5¢	$23	0x3ffa4c…
11-04 14:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	544	5¢	$27	0x937e9c…
11-04 14:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	530	5¢	$26	0xa2388e…
11-04 14:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	532	5¢	$27	0x913913…