New-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$362

Unrealized P&L

-$66

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

210

14,694 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.23K

$283.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-03 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$65,798

Other

0% 32% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down		+3,003	$70	0¢	$5	-$66	11-02 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	94	$55.8K	70,047	60,047	+10,000	Up	+$55,107	10-05 18:45
bitcoin up or down on march 3	82	$12.4K	21,151	21,117	+34	Down	+$143	03-03 16:58
solana up or down on july 27 2026	4	$4.8K	4,747	4,747	+0	Down	+$4,671	07-27 16:01
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	57	$4.6K	9,930	12,262	-2,332	Up	+$177	03-17 14:58
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	107	$4.2K	11,333	13,666	-2,333	Up	+$1,050	03-20 15:56
solana up or down on february 9	16	$4.2K	2,641	4,374	-1,732	Down	+$2,229	02-09 17:03
xrp up or down on march 19 2026	3	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$38	03-19 15:59
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	89	$3.9K	13,372	13,206	+167	Down	-$2,508	04-05 16:01
solana up or down on march 5	44	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 16:58
solana up or down on february 2	3	$3.5K	2,000	3,400	-1,400	Up	+$1,937	02-02 17:05
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	36	$3.0K	10,723	3,006	+7,718	Up	-$379	04-09 15:54
bitcoin up or down on march 10	75	$2.7K	16,819	18,772	-1,953	Up	+$143	03-10 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	22	$2.6K	5,429	5,429	+0	Down	+$173	10-29 23:05
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	46	$2.5K	12,144	2,245	+9,899	Down	+$35	04-05 16:01
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	68	$2.5K	8,068	6,132	+1,936	Up	+$51	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	35	$2.5K	3,241	3,022	+219	Down	+$305	08-31 15:57
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	94	$2.4K	8,959	9,875	-916	Down	+$87	03-22 13:39
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	46	$2.4K	13,430	6,931	+6,500	Up	-$91	03-15 14:51
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	17	$2.0K	6,118	1,718	+4,400	Up	+$6	03-30 16:24
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	10	$1.9K	4,566	1,200	+3,366	Down	-$192	08-12 15:58
solana up or down on march 11	23	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$77	03-11 15:55
ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	13	$1.9K	2,263	1,451	+812	Up	+$103	04-16 16:00
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	48	$1.9K	5,430	2,100	+3,330	Down	-$83	03-24 15:58
solana up or down on march 19 2026	13	$1.9K	999	999	+0	Down	+$108	03-19 15:46
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	69	$1.8K	6,941	6,940	+1	Up	+$2	03-25 15:02
Solana Up or Down on October 9?	7	$1.8K	1,015	1,015	+0	Up	+$210	10-09 16:01
bitcoin up or down on february 27	20	$1.8K	2,122	1,441	+681	Down	-$15	02-27 16:09
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	31	$1.7K	4,593	4,593	+0	Up	+$88	03-23 14:08
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	29	$1.7K	4,949	4,928	+21	Up	-$135	04-16 15:39
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	27	$1.7K	8,020	3,006	+5,014	Down	-$108	04-19 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:07:39	Solana Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	5,235	0¢	$5	0xe5a1f4…
11-03 17:01:03	Solana Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x9ac028…
11-03 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xaaba64…
11-03 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc19f27…
11-03 16:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x39349e…
11-02 17:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1540fd…
11-02 17:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x358c48…
11-02 17:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	671	1¢	$7	0xdd8487…
11-02 17:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03373e…
11-02 17:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x806218…
11-02 17:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4e5bae…
11-02 17:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x94259c…
11-02 17:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x80e2e8…
11-02 17:00:51	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x00e075…
11-02 17:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf8ab34…
11-02 17:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	1,790	3¢	$54	0xa12b6d…
11-02 17:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x445c77…
11-02 17:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x1072f5…
11-02 16:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e1788…
11-02 16:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x9f1481…
11-02 16:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x3a5954…
11-02 16:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	959	68¢	$652	0x7c4a1b…
11-02 16:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x766459…
11-02 16:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x647068…
11-02 15:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	366	5¢	$18	0x775279…
11-02 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	1,948	5¢	$97	0xea1b05…
11-02 15:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb7e4c2…
11-02 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xd0db3e…
11-02 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	578	3¢	$17	0xe6baaf…
11-02 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1,604	3¢	$48	0x9c2940…
11-02 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x6d6dcb…
11-02 15:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x2c3c37…
11-01 16:42:30	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x9a8f0d…
11-01 16:01:39	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd3d3cf…
11-01 16:01:21	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	285	79¢	$225	0xc56d46…
11-01 16:00:33	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x3a7e39…
11-01 15:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	183	97¢	$177	0xa584e6…
11-01 15:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xaec96e…
11-01 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe9e478…
11-01 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0xc2a4cf…
11-01 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x104206…
11-01 15:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	214	97¢	$207	0x1e75be…
11-01 15:55:40	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9dd2e5…
11-01 15:55:34	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x8664fd…
11-01 15:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa37ed5…
11-01 15:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	432	96¢	$415	0xf646ab…
11-01 15:51:52	XRP Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	287	71¢	$203	0xa1ace0…
10-31 15:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x570640…
10-31 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	309	3¢	$9	0xe87b82…
10-31 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x87df97…
10-31 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x26c2c8…
10-31 15:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf1b3e4…
10-31 15:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	124	5¢	$6	0xfe4e45…
10-31 15:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1f34f9…
10-31 15:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x34786e…
10-31 15:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x24f17f…
10-31 15:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x333736…
10-31 15:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0x6594e6…
10-31 15:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbc3e16…
10-31 15:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0x447fa0…
10-31 15:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	149	5¢	$7	0x91827d…
10-31 15:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x43f47c…
10-31 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	137	5¢	$7	0x0e975d…
10-31 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	174	5¢	$9	0xa44119…
10-31 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1da60f…
10-31 15:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x449bea…
10-31 11:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	428	3¢	$13	0x6ba1b8…
10-31 11:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	387	3¢	$12	0x5213ea…
10-29 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9c4733…
10-29 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	523	89¢	$466	0x31e198…
10-29 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	477	89¢	$424	0x527cc7…
10-29 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	2,550	6¢	$153	0xeaf680…
10-29 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	700	6¢	$42	0xe82fda…
10-29 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	163	6¢	$10	0x79e8ef…
10-29 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x305270…
10-29 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x14af0f…
10-29 21:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	225	6¢	$15	0xfb785c…
10-29 21:44:42	Solana Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	472	4¢	$18	0x37e713…
10-29 21:44:40	Solana Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	1,320	4¢	$50	0x9363aa…
10-29 21:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xcd3ef7…
10-29 21:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	351	10¢	$35	0x379712…
10-29 21:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x1d0aa2…
10-29 21:39:06	XRP Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	680	10¢	$68	0x4e6de8…
10-29 21:18:33	Solana Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	208	7¢	$15	0x2ba011…
10-29 21:18:28	XRP Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	1,320	5¢	$66	0x98578c…
10-29 21:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	35	10¢	$3	0x053066…
10-29 21:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x3ddd3b…
10-29 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc6102d…
10-29 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x5e45e7…
10-29 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	2,936	10¢	$294	0x0e2f3c…
10-29 21:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0xd72110…
10-29 20:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0x79468e…
10-29 20:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	107	7¢	$7	0x180416…
10-29 20:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	1,318	10¢	$132	0x83f277…
10-29 20:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xe74fb5…
10-29 20:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb4fddc…
10-29 20:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8fc85c…
10-29 20:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x36661b…
10-29 20:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xcf6301…
10-29 20:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	462	5¢	$23	0xc063f0…