Rectangular-Randomization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

158

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$885

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-25 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 40% $-15

Other

4% 0% $-5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	05-06 14:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-10 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-10 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-10 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-09 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-10 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-09 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-09 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-09 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-09 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-09 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-09 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-09 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-10 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-09 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-09 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-09 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-10 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-12 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-09 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-09 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-09 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-12 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-10 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 02:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22151e…
05-24 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3dc65…
05-20 14:47:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x683c98…
05-18 00:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa51257…
05-18 00:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3468ec…
05-17 22:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5153f3…
05-17 22:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8cd5f2…
05-17 22:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2393a3…
05-17 19:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5da938…
05-17 19:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5901a…
05-17 19:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe3871d…
05-17 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xad92e8…
05-17 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x441634…
05-17 10:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x60a2b6…
05-17 10:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x943508…
05-17 10:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe0ed1c…
05-17 09:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc1e48f…
05-17 09:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x19931c…
05-17 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf124d3…
05-17 09:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x98819c…
05-17 09:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x38026a…
05-17 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe8b88c…
05-17 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x635bba…
05-17 08:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1dcb94…
05-17 08:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x591112…
05-17 07:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc747b2…
05-17 07:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa47775…
05-17 07:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x23b19e…
05-17 07:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x663b46…
05-17 03:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a4d12…
05-17 03:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x58cea2…
05-17 03:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb6178…
05-17 03:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x72b927…
05-17 02:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8c76ce…
05-17 02:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcbcdc6…
05-17 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9f26df…
05-17 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9c1429…
05-17 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x622945…
05-17 01:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc093b4…
05-17 01:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xce99b9…
05-17 01:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x695d5b…
05-17 01:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdceccf…
05-17 01:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfd2a93…
05-17 00:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6760d2…
05-17 00:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x023828…
05-16 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x944b89…
05-16 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0585d3…
05-16 23:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdf57c6…
05-16 23:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xd8844e…
05-16 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5bcd92…
05-16 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbc5eb4…
05-16 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7b0d78…
05-16 20:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde2680…
05-16 20:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xb26022…
05-16 20:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x10cf97…
05-16 17:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2f4ad…
05-16 16:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7aaaed…
05-16 16:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf3cbaf…
05-16 16:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b8390…
05-16 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf598ff…
05-16 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5de7c9…
05-16 16:16:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa2fb35…
05-16 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc0768d…
05-16 14:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xe1da8a…
05-16 14:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x77a1d6…
05-16 14:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa34e62…
05-16 13:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x17c4b1…
05-16 12:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x166ea4…
05-16 08:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5e818…
05-16 07:46:43	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9791d1…
05-16 07:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3fa07c…
05-16 07:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc0264b…
05-16 06:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33e4b5…
05-16 00:26:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5fe541…
05-16 00:26:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x13ea5b…
05-15 22:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xaa4e7b…
05-15 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc9e6f2…
05-15 18:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x028a52…
05-15 16:16:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x961dc0…
05-15 16:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x890699…
05-15 16:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8b0738…
05-15 16:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaea7e0…
05-15 15:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e175c…
05-15 13:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9bdc67…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x183241…
05-15 10:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x01466e…
05-15 07:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x54fe91…
05-15 04:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8cd8c5…
05-15 04:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1fce65…
05-15 03:36:52	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xdeed39…
05-15 03:36:48	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4548cd…
05-15 03:36:46	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5bb1c7…
05-15 03:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfb9cb3…
05-15 03:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x85c87b…
05-15 03:17:33	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3f75c7…
05-15 02:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x37fc61…
05-15 01:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfba2b1…
05-15 01:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x8b58db…
05-15 01:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6cfb97…
05-15 01:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0654ed…