Weary-Fencing 0x90a9f2…fc1bf1
bot 17W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$115
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
2,562
Trades
4,895
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$274
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-30 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
65% 41% -$179
Sports
17% 40% +$47
Politics
17% 79% +$16
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Tech
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +83 $20 34¢ $29 +$9 10-10 17:17
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +24 $20 99¢ $24 +$4 10-28 00:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 10-14 01:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 10-26 17:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-26 03:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-26 03:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +18 $15 96¢ $17 +$2 10-14 00:01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +19 $18 90¢ $17 -$1 10-28 23:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +22 $20 73¢ $16 -$4 09-19 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +22 $20 55¢ $12 -$8 10-29 13:49
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 10-20 00:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 10-30 12:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 09-20 01:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $2 94¢ $5 +$2 10-29 22:56
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 10-16 18:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +4 -$2 98¢ $4 +$6 10-30 00:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 08-29 16:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 $0 08-06 17:20
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$1 10-01 20:29
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 10-14 00:14
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 10-26 16:26
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +58 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 10-27 16:04
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +104 $2 3¢ $3 +$2 10-27 20:08
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +7 $2 46¢ $3 +$1 10-09 20:30
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 10-21 14:05
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +5 $2 56¢ $3 +$1 10-07 20:14
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +6 $1 45¢ $3 +$1 10-07 03:32
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +5 $2 45¢ $2 +$1 10-14 03:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +12 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 10-23 15:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +3 $4 63¢ $2 -$2 10-21 22:09