Private-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-10 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 100% +$1

Other

37% 100% +$17

Politics

18% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$1.6K	799	799	+0	No	+$17	05-08 15:29
US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	7	$801	806	0	+806	open	—	05-13 10:09
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	1	$800	802	0	+802	open	—	05-16 09:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	05-09 16:29
will xrp dip to 1 march 30 april 5	1	$739	740	0	+740	open	—	04-04 15:29
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	1	$739	740	0	+740	open	—	04-11 10:00
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	2	$644	645	0	+645	open	—	04-20 13:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$579	300	300	+0	open	—	07-13 14:39
xrp above 1pt9 on april 8	1	$524	525	0	+525	open	—	04-07 00:40
trump out as president by march 31	12	$520	527	0	+527	open	—	03-09 10:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 10	1	$519	520	0	+520	open	—	04-09 09:08
will xrp reach 2pt1 march 2 8	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-06 11:32
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	1	$429	430	0	+430	open	—	04-15 00:29
will solana reach 110 on april 19	1	$428	428	0	+428	open	—	04-19 13:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	1	$427	427	0	+427	open	—	04-18 01:33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	1	$400	402	0	+402	open	—	05-30 08:00
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	08-01 07:12
will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	2	$396	400	0	+400	open	—	06-22 01:37
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$380	388	0	+388	open	—	04-23 05:27
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	5	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 08:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$366	369	0	+369	open	—	06-02 15:04
will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	2	$302	305	0	+305	open	—	06-18 06:13
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 12	1	$298	298	0	+298	open	—	04-12 09:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	06-03 05:54
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	2	$273	280	0	+280	open	—	07-19 18:48
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	1	$269	269	0	+269	open	—	05-26 08:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	1	$264	0	300	-300	open	—	06-14 15:32
solana above 120 on april 14	2	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	04-12 09:01
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$250	251	0	+251	open	—	07-27 04:07
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	2	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	04-25 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:06:03	will xrp dip to 0pt3 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xf79728…
08-03 06:15:24	will solana dip to 0 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2f1c36…
08-03 06:00:36	will xrp dip to 0pt4 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4128c7…
08-03 06:00:06	will xrp reach 1pt8 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0b50ae…
08-03 05:54:51	open above 1 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x27aba1…
08-01 10:48:08	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf83dae…
08-01 07:12:32	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x18adf4…
07-27 14:39:42	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa008d1…
07-27 04:07:54	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x37ec7f…
07-26 16:32:30	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ef362…
07-26 10:31:04	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2a0a84…
07-26 10:29:27	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0a3fc…
07-25 08:23:58	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x36d616…
07-19 18:48:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xe0f472…
07-19 08:16:01	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	203	98¢	$198	0x72766c…
07-18 09:42:19	nflx above 30 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x925cd0…
07-15 02:02:26	nflx above 110 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x805ea5…
07-15 02:01:56	open above 7pt5 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd425dd…
07-15 02:01:40	open above 3 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x06aa26…
07-13 14:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x821e76…
07-12 01:35:11	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x227fae…
07-12 01:31:41	nflx above 20 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98d766…
07-12 01:31:11	nflx above 10 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3e84d4…
07-12 01:30:55	nflx above 30 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x2764cb…
07-07 11:05:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x42ab37…
07-07 10:26:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5a417e…
07-01 14:58:32	open above 7pt5 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x15d1e2…
07-01 14:57:58	will open dip to 2 75 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40bf58…
07-01 14:57:34	will ng dip to 2 70 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb29819…
07-01 14:57:19	will ng dip to 2 60 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xccac3f…
07-01 14:55:49	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x11a840…
06-22 01:37:44	will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xc567b1…
06-22 01:37:22	will open dip to 1 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x897883…
06-20 13:08:10	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb07b5c…
06-20 11:51:07	nflx above 140 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xb7a84f…
06-20 11:50:49	nflx above 140 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb552b0…
06-18 06:28:59	open above 6pt5 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x916ad2…
06-18 06:27:19	open above 2pt5 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3a25e4…
06-18 06:13:28	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x2c58b8…
06-18 06:12:59	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x860137…
06-15 06:15:51	xrp above 1pt6 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x85c4b2…
06-14 15:32:48	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x77edfa…
06-07 01:45:43	nflx above 40 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdaf6a0…
06-07 01:45:18	nflx above 30 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3da7f…
06-07 01:45:01	nflx above 130 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf00b28…
06-07 01:44:34	nflx above 140 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d85c1…
06-07 01:44:15	nflx above 20 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x38c197…
06-03 05:54:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xc13426…
06-02 15:04:38	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x34c1e2…
06-01 08:05:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x5b1e7a…
05-31 21:32:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xefad60…
05-31 10:51:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfd11bb…
05-30 15:47:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x42b476…
05-30 14:56:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x533197…
05-30 08:00:23	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x697219…
05-26 08:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x36bb5f…
05-26 08:54:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x3199f2…
05-26 08:53:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xb4a2d1…
05-26 08:52:20	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x170eb2…
05-26 08:51:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x36c4bb…
05-21 12:47:04	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x886411…
05-21 11:38:46	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x498ef2…
05-16 09:46:22	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	No	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0x46732d…
05-13 10:09:40	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xf22acb…
05-12 19:01:34	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad916a…
05-12 18:53:35	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x001f19…
05-12 04:59:05	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x7ab317…
05-12 03:28:53	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	459	99¢	$456	0xff7de1…
05-12 03:28:07	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x0c1f07…
05-12 03:28:04	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1fa298…
05-09 16:29:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0xe30b76…
05-08 15:29:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	591	100¢	$590	0xcf5596…
05-08 06:47:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x292eb7…
05-08 03:18:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x999657…
05-02 03:02:28	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	799	98¢	$780	0xfa50cd…
04-25 10:59:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x229396…
04-25 10:57:54	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc7b747…
04-25 10:57:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x53e136…
04-25 10:57:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x79ad18…
04-25 10:56:50	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7c36e8…
04-25 10:56:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbfbbe8…
04-25 10:55:56	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2047a8…
04-25 10:55:36	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x84683a…
04-25 10:55:24	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc332ab…
04-25 10:49:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x6aa034…
04-25 10:48:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $170?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x785de5…
04-25 10:44:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x562064…
04-25 10:43:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x520819…
04-23 05:33:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$80	0xeed1da…
04-23 05:29:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x84f435…
04-23 05:27:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	388	98¢	$380	0x8b235d…
04-22 07:17:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8544a3…
04-20 13:00:16	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x063e92…
04-20 09:27:58	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe24cae…
04-20 09:23:12	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe52a23…
04-20 07:51:58	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x2d224d…
04-19 13:01:08	will solana reach 110 on april 19	No	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0xf4c7b4…
04-18 01:33:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	No	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0x3c9292…
04-15 00:29:02	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x988877…
04-14 01:20:19	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0xcf0dfc…