Private-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$659

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-07 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$1

Other

30% 100% +$17

Politics

17% — —

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes		+369	$366	99¢	$366	+$1	06-02 15:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes		+300	$296	98¢	$293	$-2	06-03 05:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$1.6K	799	799	+0	No	+$17	05-08 15:29
US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	7	$801	806	0	+806	open	—	05-13 10:09
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	1	$800	802	0	+802	open	—	05-16 09:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	05-09 16:29
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	1	$739	740	0	+740	open	—	04-11 10:00
will xrp dip to 1 march 30 april 5	1	$739	740	0	+740	open	—	04-04 15:29
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	2	$644	645	0	+645	open	—	04-20 13:00
xrp above 1pt9 on april 8	1	$524	525	0	+525	open	—	04-07 00:40
trump out as president by march 31	12	$520	527	0	+527	open	—	03-09 10:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 10	1	$519	520	0	+520	open	—	04-09 09:08
will xrp reach 2pt1 march 2 8	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-06 11:32
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	1	$429	430	0	+430	open	—	04-15 00:29
will solana reach 110 on april 19	1	$428	428	0	+428	open	—	04-19 13:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	1	$427	427	0	+427	open	—	04-18 01:33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	1	$400	402	0	+402	open	—	05-30 08:00
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$380	388	0	+388	open	—	04-23 05:27
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	5	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 08:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$366	369	0	+369	open	—	06-02 15:04
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 12	1	$298	298	0	+298	open	—	04-12 09:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	06-03 05:54
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	1	$269	269	0	+269	open	—	05-26 08:54
solana above 120 on april 14	2	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	04-12 09:01
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	2	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	04-25 10:55
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	2	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	04-25 10:56
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$245	250	0	+250	open	—	05-21 12:47
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$223	223	0	+223	open	—	04-10 05:18
xrp above 1pt7 on april 9	1	$218	218	0	+218	open	—	04-07 11:47
will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 6	2	$216	217	0	+217	open	—	04-07 00:38
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 05:29
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	1	$179	179	0	+179	open	—	05-26 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:45:43	nflx above 40 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdaf6a0…
06-07 01:45:18	nflx above 30 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3da7f…
06-07 01:45:01	nflx above 130 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf00b28…
06-07 01:44:34	nflx above 140 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d85c1…
06-07 01:44:15	nflx above 20 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x38c197…
06-03 05:54:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xc13426…
06-02 15:04:38	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x34c1e2…
06-01 08:05:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x5b1e7a…
05-31 21:32:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xefad60…
05-31 10:51:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfd11bb…
05-30 15:47:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x42b476…
05-30 14:56:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x533197…
05-30 08:00:23	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x697219…
05-26 08:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x36bb5f…
05-26 08:54:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x3199f2…
05-26 08:53:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xb4a2d1…
05-26 08:52:20	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x170eb2…
05-26 08:51:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x36c4bb…
05-21 12:47:04	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x886411…
05-21 11:38:46	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x498ef2…
05-16 09:46:22	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	No	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0x46732d…
05-13 10:09:40	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xf22acb…
05-12 19:01:34	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad916a…
05-12 18:53:35	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x001f19…
05-12 04:59:05	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x7ab317…
05-12 03:28:53	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	459	99¢	$456	0xff7de1…
05-12 03:28:07	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x0c1f07…
05-12 03:28:04	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1fa298…
05-09 16:29:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0xe30b76…
05-08 15:29:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	591	100¢	$590	0xcf5596…
05-08 06:47:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x292eb7…
05-08 03:18:37	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x999657…
05-02 03:02:28	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	799	98¢	$780	0xfa50cd…
04-25 10:59:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x229396…
04-25 10:57:54	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc7b747…
04-25 10:57:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x53e136…
04-25 10:57:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x79ad18…
04-25 10:56:50	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7c36e8…
04-25 10:56:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbfbbe8…
04-25 10:55:56	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2047a8…
04-25 10:55:36	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x84683a…
04-25 10:55:24	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc332ab…
04-25 10:49:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x6aa034…
04-25 10:48:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $170?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x785de5…
04-25 10:44:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x562064…
04-25 10:43:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x520819…
04-23 05:33:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$80	0xeed1da…
04-23 05:29:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x84f435…
04-23 05:27:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	388	98¢	$380	0x8b235d…
04-22 07:17:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8544a3…
04-20 13:00:16	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x063e92…
04-20 09:27:58	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on april 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe24cae…
04-20 09:23:12	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe52a23…
04-20 07:51:58	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $2.50?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x2d224d…
04-19 13:01:08	will solana reach 110 on april 19	No	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0xf4c7b4…
04-18 01:33:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	No	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0x3c9292…
04-15 00:29:02	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x988877…
04-14 01:20:19	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0xcf0dfc…
04-13 05:13:01	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 13	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2c7b09…
04-13 05:11:45	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 13	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xee6202…
04-13 05:08:59	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2504cb…
04-13 05:08:37	will ethereum reach 2800 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcbbf42…
04-13 05:08:23	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x23de92…
04-13 05:07:21	will xrp dip to 0pt8 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x091179…
04-13 05:06:55	will xrp reach 1pt8 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb92d2d…
04-13 05:06:13	will xrp reach 1pt9 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x16dbdf…
04-13 05:05:57	will xrp reach 2 april 13 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xea70ed…
04-12 09:03:19	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 12	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x7fe1a3…
04-12 09:01:51	solana above 120 on april 14	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb0c21b…
04-12 09:01:37	solana above 120 on april 14	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xa67ec9…
04-12 09:01:13	solana above 130 on april 14	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x25b6f7…
04-12 05:45:29	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 80 99	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47b1d9…
04-11 10:00:05	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	No	BUY	740	100¢	$739	0xc0f69d…
04-10 05:18:19	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x6bde67…
04-09 09:08:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 10	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0xc8f035…
04-07 11:47:09	xrp above 1pt7 on april 9	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x91e4bd…
04-07 00:40:23	xrp above 1pt9 on april 8	No	BUY	525	100¢	$524	0x59ef08…
04-07 00:38:57	will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 6	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x970eb3…
04-07 00:38:41	will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 6	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x955489…
04-04 15:29:15	will xrp dip to 1 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	740	100¢	$739	0x0e1181…
03-13 06:51:09	open above 11 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x335f48…
03-09 10:34:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9e0793…
03-09 10:33:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xdadc1e…
03-09 10:33:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5326db…
03-09 10:32:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x1ded5b…
03-09 10:32:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8be4b6…
03-09 10:20:31	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b4caf…
03-09 10:18:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xc7b3f2…
03-09 10:18:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x15c9dd…
03-09 10:18:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x073775…
03-09 10:16:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xb01dfd…
03-09 10:16:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0x96cc0b…
03-09 10:13:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x03fec7…
03-06 11:32:05	will xrp reach 2pt1 march 2 8	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x313fd5…
03-06 10:21:55	open above 10 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xcd5409…
03-06 10:21:19	open above 11 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	89	97¢	$87	0x3eecfd…
03-06 09:54:51	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x9c90fb…