Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

154

Trades

1,790

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$136

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-01 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

49% 39% -$454

Politics

28% 53% +$234

Sports

20% 24% -$65

Crypto

3% 43% +$55

Tech

0% 50% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+166	$124	80¢	$132	+$8	10-27 17:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	11-01 09:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	11-01 09:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	11-01 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	36	$784	963	587	+376	Yes	+$194	06-16 08:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$491	2,661	2,661	+0	No	-$21	06-17 13:17
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	123	$488	588	587	+1	cancelled	+$88	06-05 16:51
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	37	$443	4,238	4,238	+0	No	-$25	06-27 19:08
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	15	$406	213	213	+0	Yes	+$18	06-15 17:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	41	$399	712	324	+388	No	+$1	06-21 13:08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$389	2,441	2,441	+0	No	+$3	06-27 19:08
wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	15	$372	455	455	+0	Paula Badosa	+$1	07-20 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$356	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$50	06-21 13:08
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson	119	$342	384	314	+71	cancelled	+$1	05-25 11:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$338	645	726	-81	No	+$69	05-27 21:55
wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	6	$322	470	470	+0	cancelled	+$56	06-27 19:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$305	301	306	-5	No	+$58	06-01 16:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	79	$299	462	373	+89	No	-$26	05-29 18:13
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot	7	$288	337	337	+0	cancelled	+$42	05-28 08:29
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	33	$285	769	363	+406	Yes	-$60	06-18 20:50
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils	8	$269	397	397	-0	cancelled	+$120	05-24 07:56
wta jones paquet 2026 07 28	21	$256	785	0	+785	Francesca Jones	-$116	07-28 11:05
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa	39	$245	326	326	-0	cancelled	+$74	05-18 09:23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$243	413	219	+194	No	+$37	07-14 19:47
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	19	$236	128	128	+0	Yes	+$5	06-27 19:09
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$220	120	120	+0	No	+$20	04-26 07:45
ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	11	$213	319	318	+1	cancelled	+$99	07-25 11:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	18	$203	494	453	+41	No	-$31	07-29 18:00
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	32	$201	226	0	+226	Yes	+$25	07-16 21:07
itf mushik brace 2026 07 14	4	$200	387	0	+387	cancelled	-$7	07-15 06:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	13	$198	256	153	+103	Yes	-$2	05-30 09:02
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	9	$179	246	144	+102	No	-$161	07-31 19:30
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone	4	$178	408	408	+0	Mariano Navone	-$22	05-22 11:05
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$168	108	108	+0	Yes	+$9	06-14 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x94437d…
11-01 09:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7f82ea…
11-01 07:40:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x62ee07…
10-29 23:42:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x473508…
10-27 17:01:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x09ab78…
10-26 22:50:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x405b69…
10-26 15:28:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x87fe0f…
10-26 14:34:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xf57d11…
10-26 14:34:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x921d1f…
10-26 14:34:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f281c…
10-26 14:33:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xdecca0…
10-26 14:33:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x948e48…
10-26 14:33:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6de01f…
10-26 14:33:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3dfaa2…
10-26 14:33:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf0a731…
10-24 17:08:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc90c55…
10-24 09:57:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	122	9¢	$11	0x25b448…
10-18 09:32:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x27bc41…
10-18 08:19:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf0349a…
10-18 07:34:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x17f466…
10-09 18:01:31	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	93	22¢	$21	0x1391a3…
10-09 18:01:04	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x54d588…
10-09 09:01:10	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	9¢	$10	0xf6d58d…
10-09 03:49:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	27¢	$30	0x8e206d…
10-08 10:39:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9e93c3…
10-08 07:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x765b11…
10-08 07:00:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ef7a0…
10-06 19:48:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xa7b6c1…
10-04 20:37:55	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x8d3dd6…
10-04 20:24:17	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8db456…
09-29 22:16:24	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x5f0b24…
09-29 22:05:17	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x1df23f…
09-29 19:47:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0x936662…
09-22 07:59:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x765d96…
09-11 12:30:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x4e4eb9…
09-11 05:30:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x603c7c…
09-10 12:54:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf6403…
09-10 12:47:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9d6093…
09-10 12:47:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x457bf3…
09-09 21:49:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x92b16c…
09-09 21:48:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6805f0…
09-09 21:33:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0xa8617b…
09-09 21:30:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xfdef9a…
09-08 19:19:24	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x835f35…
09-08 19:15:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x64e91f…
09-08 09:26:13	Seville: Inaki Montes vs Raul Brancaccio	Inaki Montes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x842e92…
09-05 03:10:54	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 5 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0x1f2cfa…
09-05 03:10:01	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 5 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	BUY	82	19¢	$16	0x4d7cca…
09-01 14:53:45	US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet	Dane Sweeny	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcd75f6…
08-29 09:17:03	atp sweeny moutet 2026 08 30	Dane Sweeny	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x37c703…
08-28 02:45:24	49ers vs. Raiders	Raiders	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x36fd84…
08-28 02:19:19	49ers vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x18e660…
08-27 21:09:34	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe01206…
08-27 21:08:43	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5bf382…
08-25 17:25:27	itf carbaja cosano 2026 08 25 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	61	22¢	$13	0x740e2c…
08-25 07:56:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0xec5782…
08-23 17:47:21	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x41e168…
08-23 17:37:09	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x6c6ba3…
08-23 17:05:19	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x033e4d…
08-23 16:56:57	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x74ef0f…
08-23 16:56:54	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa6453b…
08-23 16:56:52	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x42e366…
08-23 14:58:10	Philadelphia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Taylah Preston	Taylah Preston	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf6b624…
08-13 15:34:12	atp norrie prizmic 2026 08 13	Dino Prizmic	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xd91d8b…
08-13 15:23:12	atp norrie prizmic 2026 08 13	Dino Prizmic	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0x59be2f…
08-13 13:35:10	atp norrie prizmic 2026 08 13	Dino Prizmic	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1a5db9…
08-13 05:00:51	atp norrie prizmic 2026 08 13	Dino Prizmic	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0e5500…
08-12 16:30:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x7cb667…
08-11 00:13:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdca19b…
08-10 05:47:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x48da46…
08-05 20:50:54	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x7c1373…
08-05 20:50:53	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9ab30a…
08-05 20:50:53	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x916108…
08-05 20:50:41	atp droguet augeral 2026 08 06	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdd54cb…
08-05 18:29:32	atp jodar moutet 2026 08 06	Corentin Moutet	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd8a574…
08-05 08:38:45	atp jodar moutet 2026 08 06	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x573ddc…
08-04 16:19:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	377	2¢	$6	0xbdafda…
08-04 16:16:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	174	5¢	$9	0xbfdf2f…
08-04 05:28:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	21¢	$26	0xcc3135…
08-02 17:55:33	wta jacquem lee 2026 08 03	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9ebc25…
08-02 04:42:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa57904…
08-02 02:10:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xbc14bb…
08-02 02:10:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xb7e9f3…
08-02 02:10:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x5a5a0c…
08-02 02:10:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xb71444…
08-02 02:10:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x06c78d…
08-01 23:56:18	wta jacquem lee 2026 08 03	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xeb6dc9…
08-01 18:59:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a5470…
07-31 19:30:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	134	5¢	$7	0xcb8d58…
07-31 18:22:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xe95094…
07-31 18:17:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x530b3b…
07-31 18:16:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xec0f22…
07-31 17:41:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xd9bc49…
07-31 16:15:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x6ae3a0…
07-31 16:08:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$14	0xa3bebc…
07-30 22:05:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x055744…
07-30 22:01:00	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x204b45…
07-30 21:46:03	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf3f68e…
07-30 21:43:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0xe37cb9…
07-30 21:31:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x2d582a…