Realized P&L
+$5.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
101
Trades
842
lifetime
Volume
$108.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$0
1 position
First seen
2026-01-08
last 05-04 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
45%
47%
+$8,324
Crypto
28%
36%
-$5,977
Other
26%
56%
+$2,456
Sports
1%
100%
+$211
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | -10 | -$1 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 05-04 16:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 40 | $17.6K | 27,430 | 26,211 | +1,219 | No | -$2,101 | 05-01 01:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 114 | $10.4K | 17,234 | 17,234 | +0 | No | +$1,202 | 04-07 23:33 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 14 | $7.5K | 8,573 | 8,573 | +0 | Yes | +$2,476 | 04-07 23:34 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | 39 | $5.2K | 46,103 | 27,247 | +18,856 | No | -$2,394 | 05-01 07:12 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323 | 17 | $4.3K | 4,694 | 4,694 | +0 | Yes | +$125 | 03-05 18:40 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 12 | $4.0K | 3,973 | 3,973 | +0 | Yes | -$127 | 03-05 18:39 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625 | 32 | $3.7K | 6,144 | 6,144 | +0 | No | +$660 | 03-03 21:57 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768 | 13 | $3.6K | 3,160 | 3,160 | +0 | Yes | +$459 | 03-12 02:58 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 26 | $3.6K | 3,530 | 3,530 | +0 | Yes | +$53 | 04-14 19:09 |
| will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026 | 20 | $3.3K | 10,923 | 6,968 | +3,955 | No | -$379 | 03-30 04:51 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795 | 8 | $3.0K | 2,067 | 2,067 | +0 | Yes | +$827 | 03-08 21:08 |
| will another country strike iran by march 31 833 | 21 | $2.5K | 2,173 | 2,173 | +0 | No | +$81 | 04-01 02:41 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 4 | $2.4K | 2,157 | 2,157 | +0 | Yes | +$424 | 04-10 19:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 24 | $2.4K | 2,292 | 2,292 | +0 | No | +$41 | 05-04 16:08 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163 | 9 | $2.1K | 1,994 | 1,994 | +0 | Yes | +$1,715 | 03-08 21:10 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 8 | $2.0K | 1,850 | 1,848 | +2 | Yes | +$20 | 04-12 21:08 |
| will a gulf state strike iran by march 7 | 27 | $1.9K | 2,243 | 1,828 | +415 | No | -$736 | 03-09 05:47 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133 | 23 | $1.9K | 18,830 | 18,830 | +0 | No | +$111 | 03-12 17:39 |
| will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421 | 10 | $1.7K | 1,310 | 1,305 | +5 | Yes | +$479 | 03-05 00:47 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 8 | $1.7K | 1,938 | 1,938 | +0 | Yes | +$741 | 02-28 20:15 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | 32 | $1.6K | 6,885 | 6,785 | +100 | No | -$210 | 03-19 18:44 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | 9 | $1.5K | 1,400 | 1,400 | +0 | Yes | -$111 | 04-12 14:49 |
| will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656 | 12 | $1.4K | 2,619 | 2,619 | +0 | No | -$28 | 03-04 06:04 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 16 | $1.4K | 2,361 | 2,361 | +0 | Yes | +$178 | 03-05 18:50 |
| will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march | 11 | $1.4K | 2,253 | 2,253 | +0 | No | -$18 | 03-23 14:02 |
| usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388 | 7 | $1.0K | 1,005 | 1,005 | +0 | No | -$86 | 04-01 02:40 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 16 | $1.0K | 5,509 | 5,509 | +0 | Yes | +$74 | 04-07 21:35 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | 2 | $900 | 2,308 | 0 | +2,308 | Yes | +$1,408 | 02-27 19:28 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026? | 7 | $879 | 616 | 616 | +0 | Yes | +$72 | 04-15 16:52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | 39 | $833 | 18,150 | 16,329 | +1,821 | No | -$200 | 05-01 07:18 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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