Acceptable-Rhythm — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,388 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13

$7.23K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-04 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

87% 30% -$243

Politics

10% 44% -$142

Crypto

2% 67% +$50

Tech

0% 50% +$14

Sports

0% 40% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-8	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	06-07 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	36	$202	4,449	4,449	+0	No	+$20	06-21 08:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	41	$185	3,009	215	+2,793	Yes	-$111	06-17 10:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$137	12,136	11,410	+726	No	+$51	06-03 21:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	5	$125	94	94	+0	Yes	+$15	06-05 15:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$108	310	305	+5	No	+$0	05-31 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$105	1,243	1,243	+0	No	-$10	07-04 20:53
cs2 big5 mibr 2026 07 03	5	$104	61	61	+0	MIBR	+$0	07-03 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 21?	21	$101	396	396	+0	Yes	+$97	08-22 05:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$95	156	112	+44	Yes	-$25	06-12 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	4	$69	50	50	+0	Yes	+$19	07-24 18:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$65	116	6	+110	No	-$59	06-09 14:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?	5	$57	125	7	+118	Yes	+$69	07-23 14:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?	11	$56	202	28	+174	No	-$42	07-23 15:32
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$51	704	704	+0	No	-$1	06-11 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16?	11	$50	211	211	+0	Yes	+$46	09-16 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?	3	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	+$27	07-17 19:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	7	$47	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 19:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	7	$45	45	45	+0	Yes	+$13	07-22 19:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?	13	$43	166	0	+166	No	-$43	07-23 12:00
cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	5	$41	31	31	+0	Team Nemesis	+$11	07-01 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 23?	5	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	+$10	08-24 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?	3	$37	25	25	+0	Yes	+$13	07-25 17:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	7	$36	877	877	+0	No	+$2	06-14 23:21
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 13:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	7	$33	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	06-09 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 21?	16	$32	252	252	+0	No	+$30	08-21 20:16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	3	$32	31	31	+0	No	$0	06-12 08:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	8	$32	27	27	+0	Yes	+$6	07-25 05:18
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?	6	$31	32	20	+12	Yes	+$10	07-26 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?	12	$31	81	81	+0	No	-$7	08-15 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ad3eb…
11-04 15:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x566856…
11-04 09:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x31ef1d…
11-04 08:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7310bd…
11-03 19:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x25c302…
11-01 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x582916…
11-01 08:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7916f7…
10-31 17:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe517c4…
10-29 05:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cad00…
10-28 19:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x76c783…
10-28 19:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa272cb…
10-28 11:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x2a7da8…
10-28 11:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xff58cf…
10-27 18:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x72f311…
10-27 18:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5cd2ec…
10-26 20:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x64de97…
10-26 19:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1b96c2…
10-26 17:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xacb4b1…
10-26 17:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3f5799…
10-26 17:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4af4b3…
10-26 10:24:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x015a1b…
10-26 10:23:12	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x13d464…
10-25 17:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x63e689…
10-25 16:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x14edd2…
10-25 12:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x56b470…
10-25 12:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x78d189…
10-25 11:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa65ca6…
10-24 18:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x37ef26…
10-24 18:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0730c9…
10-24 16:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc5dcef…
10-24 13:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x12b203…
10-24 13:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	385	0¢	$1	0xc6415e…
10-24 13:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd2197f…
10-24 13:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x98cea1…
10-24 12:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1332aa…
10-23 20:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3246d3…
10-23 20:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 23?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x95ef1e…
10-23 19:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x40ca5e…
10-23 19:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4c4f3c…
10-23 19:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x261d1b…
10-23 19:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2af9c4…
10-23 17:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa93671…
10-23 17:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	323	0¢	$1	0xfc6094…
10-23 17:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9c8220…
10-23 17:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x4dced4…
10-23 17:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc4709b…
10-22 18:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb3cf22…
10-21 19:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf690a…
10-21 19:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd5523c…
10-21 19:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x39d67c…
10-21 05:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe0639c…
10-21 05:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2f951c…
10-19 19:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfb3bd7…
10-19 19:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe6eab9…
10-19 19:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5d16db…
10-19 08:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xae9f76…
10-18 19:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3d888e…
10-18 14:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0xf8ca19…
10-17 20:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x700b5c…
10-17 20:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x537c30…
10-17 19:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9a0b15…
10-17 19:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x90d93b…
10-17 19:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf4f5c4…
10-17 15:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x420dec…
10-17 13:56:21	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc85b81…
10-17 08:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x5a8664…
10-17 05:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	305	0¢	$1	0x1697b4…
10-17 05:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xf38ccd…
10-16 19:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2ddcbf…
10-16 19:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x564be4…
10-16 18:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x62c82c…
10-16 18:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8f0586…
10-16 15:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6b945e…
10-16 13:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xcce542…
10-16 13:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xa875f2…
10-16 13:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x71505b…
10-16 09:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x787c3f…
10-16 07:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x50188a…
10-16 07:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x495167…
10-15 20:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd5c62c…
10-15 19:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5456c3…
10-15 19:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x57b48a…
10-15 19:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe34289…
10-15 19:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x61d353…
10-15 19:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c7eb7…
10-15 18:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0279cd…
10-15 18:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xec8f4d…
10-15 18:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4dba2b…
10-15 18:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9aa9f4…
10-15 16:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3e4438…
10-15 16:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x8367d1…
10-15 16:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6b632d…
10-15 16:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x857bc3…
10-15 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8bf645…
10-15 03:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x86abad…
10-15 03:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x983965…
10-14 18:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb27e7…
10-14 17:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x7c9697…
10-14 17:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x097c7b…
10-13 22:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xd49832…