Bold-Inn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$78

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

43% 75% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No		+80	$75	97¢	$78	+$3	06-22 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	9	$439	228	228	+0	open	—	04-12 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$413	213	213	+0	No	+$2	05-10 22:46
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$299	156	156	+0	open	—	03-28 12:08
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$294	155	155	+0	open	—	04-24 19:22
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	04-11 09:54
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$291	152	152	+0	open	—	04-14 06:08
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$286	151	151	+0	open	—	04-07 11:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$281	142	142	+0	open	—	04-24 03:26
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	03-26 02:28
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	9	$238	248	248	+0	open	—	03-25 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$163	389	389	+0	open	—	05-09 03:48
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-23 06:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 09:18
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$156	82	82	+0	open	—	04-26 03:21
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$155	79	79	+0	open	—	04-24 12:06
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	2	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	04-20 16:26
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	2	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	04-23 22:46
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	04-29 23:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$152	79	79	+0	open	—	04-14 00:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$152	151	151	+0	open	—	05-13 02:00
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-09 20:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$150	77	77	+0	open	—	05-12 00:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$143	74	74	+0	open	—	04-25 17:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$143	229	229	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:59
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	04-20 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	4	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	04-22 04:38
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	2	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	04-25 01:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$140	72	72	+0	open	—	04-29 11:57
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	04-26 15:31
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	3	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	04-27 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:31:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0xab4820…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x8b025a…
05-19 05:24:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xa65c4e…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x9ecd4b…
05-13 10:57:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x65cb70…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1caf92…
05-13 02:00:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x102712…
05-13 00:37:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0xdf9016…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x9d8d00…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x664b09…
05-12 09:30:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xd94b49…
05-12 03:05:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0x9de7c5…
05-12 03:04:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x088bdb…
05-12 00:33:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0xbcb702…
05-11 21:30:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x6506d5…
05-10 22:46:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0xfae444…
05-10 19:37:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x3093e3…
05-10 11:41:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0xed8c22…
05-10 05:17:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x66e30f…
05-09 12:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xb28079…
05-09 12:43:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x880e1e…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0xaba79a…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x201b6a…
05-09 01:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$4	0x3e0d68…
05-08 23:44:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0x57a43e…
05-08 21:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x4375e5…
05-08 04:14:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	144	3¢	$4	0x856e20…
05-08 02:53:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x34f253…
05-08 01:35:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7e9783…
05-08 01:35:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x58c78e…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1eb20a…
05-07 06:59:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x89d95d…
05-07 06:59:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x67708f…
05-07 04:20:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xa6d482…
05-07 01:16:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x345d67…
05-07 01:16:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x2188c9…
05-06 21:09:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x465e0f…
05-06 15:34:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0xee5279…
05-06 12:47:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xa23161…
05-06 06:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x6e0b78…
05-06 06:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x25c9d5…
05-06 05:03:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	3¢	$5	0x9f7cd4…
05-05 13:07:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$6	0x23e0ed…
05-05 11:56:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	3¢	$4	0x86b735…
05-05 11:56:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x22800e…
04-30 17:30:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	157	0¢	$1	0x2066b0…
04-30 15:13:22	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xd227ec…
04-30 15:13:22	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x6a0d99…
04-29 23:19:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xcc35f0…
04-29 20:51:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x21be2d…
04-29 11:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xc0039d…
04-29 11:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x99c896…
04-29 10:08:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xe335f5…
04-27 21:34:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x39a09a…
04-27 20:20:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x13c45e…
04-27 05:31:04	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x745c19…
04-27 05:31:04	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4e1dcf…
04-27 03:05:36	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xb1dfce…
04-26 15:31:04	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xc369f6…
04-26 15:31:04	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x39d477…
04-26 12:01:38	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xeddec8…
04-26 09:18:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x0602a4…
04-26 07:33:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xacea47…
04-26 03:21:50	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0x42bd2c…
04-26 01:07:06	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x82a3ce…
04-25 17:28:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x4d0be5…
04-25 17:28:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xa0bcbc…
04-25 13:14:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xfb626b…
04-25 01:16:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0xcc41f0…
04-24 22:21:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xb16e89…
04-24 19:22:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x3f4432…
04-24 19:22:36	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x7cf89c…
04-24 14:08:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x89a787…
04-24 14:08:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x261541…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0x868b5d…
04-24 10:28:02	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x27f697…
04-24 03:26:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x5d85c2…
04-24 00:23:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xaa5ec9…
04-23 22:46:02	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xddf173…
04-23 20:23:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x77430a…
04-23 09:53:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	161	4¢	$6	0xabdf19…
04-23 08:35:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xb2c9e8…
04-23 08:35:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xacd015…
04-23 06:02:00	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x5e7fc2…
04-23 04:43:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x28386a…
04-22 22:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	74	94¢	$70	0xfd21d7…
04-22 17:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xec0351…
04-22 17:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x47d88b…
04-22 04:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7ae1db…
04-22 04:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x5aff96…
04-22 04:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x575a2e…
04-22 01:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xbd07ac…
04-21 21:23:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x4bce2d…
04-21 21:23:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x1f19b5…
04-21 19:07:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x7a0722…
04-21 08:35:44	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	157	2¢	$3	0x1249a0…
04-21 07:22:54	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0xf3497d…
04-21 06:04:12	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf3d296…
04-21 06:04:12	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xef5124…
04-21 06:04:12	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x24b2e0…