Front-Bail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

565

Trades

1,872

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-06 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 53% +$5

Other

7% 45% -$7

Politics

5% 40% -$15

Sports

0% 40% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-11	-$5	20¢	$-2	+$3	05-04 10:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-12	-$5	3¢	$-0	+$5	04-28 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	11	$141	93	93	+0	Up	+$17	05-04 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	9	$131	92	89	+3	Up	+$23	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	7	$110	184	0	+184	Down	-$110	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$88	54	54	+0	Up	+$18	05-01 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$61	111	0	+111	Up	+$3	05-04 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$59	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	05-02 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$54	40	33	+7	Up	+$11	05-03 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$48	42	42	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$46	237	232	+5	Down	-$6	05-04 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$44	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	05-01 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:20 UTC	8	$43	41	40	+1	Up	-$3	03-31 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:05 UTC	4	$42	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	03-31 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:40 UTC	4	$42	25	24	+0	Down	+$7	03-31 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:50 UTC	4	$41	29	28	+0	Down	+$15	03-28 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:35 UTC	5	$41	25	24	+1	Up	+$7	03-31 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$41	28	28	+0	Up	+$15	05-02 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$40	71	0	+71	Up	-$40	05-06 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:45 UTC	5	$40	27	21	+6	Down	+$2	03-30 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$39	27	23	+4	Down	+$8	04-24 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$39	31	20	+11	Down	-$3	05-01 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:15 UTC	7	$38	24	24	+0	Down	+$5	03-26 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$38	37	26	+11	Up	+$9	05-04 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$38	75	0	+75	Up	+$2	05-04 14:33
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 11am et	9	$37	30	29	+1	Down	-$5	04-10 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	16	$36	32	31	+1	No	+$0	04-09 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:25 UTC	10	$34	27	17	+9	Up	+$1	04-01 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$34	44	6	+38	Down	+$7	05-05 12:56
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	12	$34	39	38	+1	Up	-$12	04-16 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$33	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 15:25
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 9am et	12	$33	47	22	+26	Down	+$3	04-16 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x29cd7e…
05-06 08:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xc2b422…
05-06 08:40:14	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x67f263…
05-06 08:40:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9a29b7…
05-06 08:40:10	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xd63240…
05-06 08:40:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xb18d81…
05-06 08:40:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xe4ebf3…
05-06 08:40:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xa0b513…
05-06 08:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0xf9a5ce…
05-06 08:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x47f4c6…
05-06 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xab4792…
05-06 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe2a7b7…
05-06 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa0c7c0…
05-06 08:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1823b0…
05-06 08:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcc2577…
05-06 08:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcfecd7…
05-06 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ec95a…
05-06 08:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xabd617…
05-06 08:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xef80f5…
05-06 08:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xec029d…
05-06 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5fb704…
05-06 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x50dfae…
05-06 07:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c9e8e…
05-06 07:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8c5bb…
05-05 23:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x41c61f…
05-05 17:50:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xacbe6b…
05-05 17:15:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa24a2b…
05-05 17:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb38532…
05-05 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbcd80b…
05-05 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6dc11e…
05-05 16:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x091176…
05-05 16:36:00	Will Lazio win Coppa Italia?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x237f5d…
05-05 16:35:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xe928c5…
05-05 16:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7b42a4…
05-05 16:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x585e2b…
05-05 16:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb1551c…
05-05 16:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x65eda5…
05-05 16:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7478d9…
05-05 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7fdbf7…
05-05 16:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb3a917…
05-05 16:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xe1eacb…
05-05 16:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x126f60…
05-05 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf45c42…
05-05 16:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x544aa3…
05-05 16:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc1085b…
05-05 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfb5d33…
05-05 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc09c99…
05-05 13:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44e1b8…
05-05 13:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x71e069…
05-05 13:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xde3c5e…
05-05 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b71e8…
05-05 13:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6d3301…
05-05 13:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4dc8bb…
05-05 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x319b80…
05-05 13:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd9bfe9…
05-05 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7e1f00…
05-05 13:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x220cb7…
05-05 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x706067…
05-05 13:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xada60d…
05-05 13:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x101ccd…
05-05 13:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x033f73…
05-05 12:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb83d05…
05-05 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe92593…
05-05 12:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x9c59d5…
05-05 12:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x00b60e…
05-05 12:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbea241…
05-05 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa1ce29…
05-05 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1152cf…
05-05 12:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x66a922…
05-05 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x22493c…
05-05 12:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf44fac…
05-05 12:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x2b42ae…
05-05 12:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8b2ab7…
05-05 12:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x26ea06…
05-05 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe45a52…
05-05 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xba7bf0…
05-05 12:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x86e72a…
05-05 12:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x467ae4…
05-05 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc211ec…
05-05 12:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x900827…
05-05 12:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe171cc…
05-05 12:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x403a07…
05-05 12:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x045216…
05-05 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0x5d3247…
05-05 12:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5ee9fe…
05-05 12:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x213c8b…
05-05 12:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x96fafd…
05-05 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x34ed39…
05-05 12:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x76c4da…
05-05 12:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x04acb7…
05-05 12:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x314212…
05-05 12:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8f238…
05-05 12:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe4ed59…
05-05 12:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdf1c26…
05-05 12:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xf7428c…
05-05 12:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9b689a…
05-05 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x99691d…
05-05 12:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcef265…
05-05 12:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xea31d4…
05-05 10:07:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x8885eb…