Ambitious-Serum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$970

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-15 16:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 73% $-21

Other

4% 50% $-15

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$40	51	0	+51	Down	+$11	05-10 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$26	19	11	+8	open	—	04-26 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Down	$-25	05-12 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$25	52	44	+8	open	—	04-26 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$22	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$21	29	0	+29	Up	$-21	05-10 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-27 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	05-10 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$20	32	30	+2	open	—	04-25 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	05-10 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$16	18	9	+9	open	—	04-26 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$15	17	9	+7	open	—	04-26 23:58
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	4,167	0	+4,167	Yes	$-15	05-04 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$15	96	0	+96	open	—	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	05-10 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-26 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-26 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$13	12	11	+0	open	—	04-25 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$12	17	2	+15	Up	+$4	05-10 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$12	19	0	+19	Down	$-12	05-11 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$12	17	0	+17	Up	+$5	05-10 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	05-10 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	05-02 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:15:45	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0f84ad…
05-15 16:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4fa41d…
05-13 01:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x505382…
05-13 01:12:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x804905…
05-13 01:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5715b6…
05-13 01:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97aa20…
05-13 01:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89c3d4…
05-13 01:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcde750…
05-13 00:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x632cd5…
05-13 00:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8c20dc…
05-12 19:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae1442…
05-12 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe243a0…
05-12 17:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4d92ed…
05-12 13:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x68d09e…
05-11 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a2e28…
05-11 00:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8229bf…
05-11 00:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xee50d5…
05-11 00:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd72df4…
05-11 00:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab720a…
05-11 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2a4ab2…
05-11 00:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x584fc2…
05-10 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa36361…
05-10 23:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x05c41b…
05-10 23:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xba0553…
05-10 23:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb59ba…
05-10 23:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9b26e…
05-10 23:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd53237…
05-10 23:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3a2ca4…
05-10 23:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xaf603d…
05-10 23:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x247b14…
05-10 23:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfb2be8…
05-10 23:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x1cd9ae…
05-10 23:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x468b5b…
05-10 23:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x903e5a…
05-10 23:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0d0fe1…
05-10 23:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x420f0a…
05-10 23:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5ace64…
05-10 23:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9ae01…
05-10 23:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x388f2a…
05-10 23:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x65e0c2…
05-10 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb4c354…
05-10 23:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa2179d…
05-10 23:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1d181f…
05-10 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f0b8e…
05-10 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb652c…
05-10 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9765d9…
05-10 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5b7ee0…
05-10 02:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x005835…
05-10 02:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc779cd…
05-10 02:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe2ffbf…
05-10 02:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0aae9a…
05-10 02:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf96ff1…
05-10 02:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8e4706…
05-10 02:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x35c200…
05-10 01:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x403db5…
05-10 01:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0efdcd…
05-10 01:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xefbfe5…
05-10 01:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcad228…
05-10 01:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd04765…
05-10 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5cf0c4…
05-10 01:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcc4769…
05-09 17:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f188d…
05-08 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x127a76…
05-08 02:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e3d26…
05-07 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa53651…
05-07 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4ea451…
05-07 22:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x23ce0e…
05-07 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x92892e…
05-06 22:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbb7d85…
05-06 18:26:59	Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x86877a…
05-06 18:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd601fe…
05-06 18:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3fa677…
05-06 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1fdfba…
05-06 16:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa03ffd…
05-04 19:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5db732…
05-04 17:29:32	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf20b66…
05-04 17:26:28	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Shifters	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfc828d…
05-04 17:20:04	Will JD Vance say "China" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa94c90…
05-04 17:19:40	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7972d…
05-04 17:19:32	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa55ffc…
05-04 17:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4c8eae…
05-03 23:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x70e8eb…
05-03 17:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x30a3b5…
05-03 15:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x44547d…
05-03 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x79e602…
05-03 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7dd2d0…
05-03 02:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x643737…
05-03 02:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x940d92…
05-03 02:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x69d3fd…
05-03 02:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06c013…
05-03 02:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03890b…
05-03 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb6bbf1…
05-03 01:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x832322…
05-03 01:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5a1238…
05-02 23:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc8352b…
05-02 23:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x392392…
05-02 23:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34fe99…
05-02 22:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7d68ed…
05-02 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6bce56…
05-02 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x258c35…