Realized P&L (30d)
-$312
Unrealized P&L
-$161
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved (30d)
137
Trades (30d)
393
12,390 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.0K
$496.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$536
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 63% -$3,288
Politics
18% 48% +$6,003
Other
10% 29% -$1,877
Sports
6% 37% -$2,988
Tech
1% 64% +$417
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -310 -$143 80¢ $-250 -$106 06-09 10:38
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -2,500 -$34 5¢ $-114 -$79 09-13 22:54
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -8,000 -$72 0¢ $-40 +$32 06-01 19:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +125 $31 22¢ $28 -$3 10-31 04:07
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -300 -$22 9¢ $-26 -$3 06-08 09:05
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +150 $15 12¢ $17 +$2 10-29 15:59
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +150 $15 11¢ $16 +$1 10-31 04:00
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1,410 $24 1¢ $-14 -$39 10-31 20:57
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -4,000 -$42 0¢ $-14 +$28 09-21 21:38
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +100 $2 4¢ $4 +$3 10-31 03:58
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,000 -$16 0¢ $-3 +$13 10-13 03:45
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? Yes +274 $5 1¢ $2 -$4 10-29 05:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +218 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-29 07:03
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 04:02
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? Yes +150 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-31 04:06
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? Yes +200 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-30 22:43
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +350 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 03:57
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-31 03:59
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 03:55
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-31 04:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +300 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-31 04:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +80 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-31 04:13
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio? Yes +200 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-31 04:16