Misty-Wood — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$877

Unrealized P&L

-$180

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved (90d)

567

Trades (90d)

1,901

12,353 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$46.7K

$495.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$490

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 263 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 63% -$3,288

Politics

18% 47% +$5,921

Other

10% 29% -$1,894

Sports

6% 37% -$2,988

Tech

1% 64% +$417

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	-310	-$143	79¢	$-245	-$101	06-09 10:38
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-2,500	-$34	6¢	$-141	-$107	09-13 22:54
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-8,000	-$72	0¢	$-36	+$36	06-01 19:56
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	-300	-$22	12¢	$-35	-$12	06-08 09:05
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-1,910	$19	1¢	$-16	-$36	10-27 18:52
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-4,000	-$42	0¢	$-14	+$28	09-21 21:38
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-3,000	-$16	0¢	$-3	+$13	10-13 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	5	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$30	05-01 22:42
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	59	$5.1K	18,826	16,036	+2,790	No	+$1,838	05-19 08:03
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	44	$4.0K	2,665	2,665	+0	Yes	-$257	06-04 23:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$3.8K	3,799	3,799	+0	Yes	-$68	07-07 02:31
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$3.6K	2,403	2,403	+0	Yes	-$37	06-09 02:03
will axiom be accused of insider trading	31	$2.6K	2,024	2,024	+0	Yes	+$57	02-26 13:33
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	16	$2.4K	3,178	150	+3,028	Yes	+$851	03-26 00:51
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	13	$2.2K	2,069	401	+1,668	No	-$2	04-29 19:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$176	05-29 00:17
iran strike on israel by february 28	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,000	+500	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:18
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be greenyellow	20	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$110	02-09 03:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$19	04-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:40 UTC	16	$1.7K	1,500	1,000	+500	Up	+$116	06-09 08:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$1.6K	3,500	3,000	+500	Yes	-$528	03-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	Up	+$60	07-14 10:44
will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	23	$1.3K	1,934	0	+1,934	Yes	+$615	03-23 18:42
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	22	$1.3K	1,445	0	+1,445	Yes	+$134	02-25 04:07
will trumps 2pm signing event not air	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$540	02-03 21:34
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	7	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	+$327	06-01 23:02
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	20	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$204	02-25 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	11	$1.1K	800	500	+300	Up	-$281	05-30 01:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	12	$1.1K	951	451	+500	No	+$106	05-24 01:46
will trump say maga or make america great again this week december 29 january 4	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$100	01-03 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$1.1K	774	474	+300	Up	+$36	05-29 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:05 UTC	4	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Down	+$3	06-08 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	15	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$41	05-14 13:33
bitboy convicted	21	$1.0K	3,101	1,100	+2,001	No	-$872	04-01 00:30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	10	$1.0K	700	700	+0	Yes	-$30	03-18 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	18	$990	900	300	+600	Up	+$0	06-15 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	6	$979	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$485	06-07 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x0960fc…
10-30 05:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x60b6fa…
10-30 03:17:28	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe43e7c…
10-30 03:14:01	Spread: Packers (-8.5)	Panthers	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xd4560d…
10-30 03:08:40	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfc2e14…
10-30 03:08:15	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5	Under	SELL	148	74¢	$110	0xa19f56…
10-30 02:46:18	Spread: Packers (-20.5)	Packers	BUY	78	20¢	$15	0x02cc3f…
10-30 02:34:00	Spread: Packers (-21.5)	Packers	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xb4d921…
10-30 02:25:43	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	148	56¢	$83	0xa7528a…
10-30 02:15:55	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xac7058…
10-30 02:13:55	Spread: Packers (-21.5)	Packers	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xc531a1…
10-30 02:05:34	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x38a1c7…
10-30 01:47:07	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x7d41b5…
10-30 01:14:28	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd37043…
10-30 01:13:58	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Under	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x870fcc…
10-30 01:04:06	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xede9eb…
10-30 00:29:42	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x66265e…
10-30 00:26:31	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x3a39a7…
10-30 00:20:55	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	120	43¢	$52	0x8fb12f…
10-30 00:20:46	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x95f5c9…
10-29 22:38:22	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd70884…
10-29 22:36:10	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	120	37¢	$44	0x11ccd3…
10-29 22:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x14f2c6…
10-29 22:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x5dc0bf…
10-29 22:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc4890e…
10-29 22:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd5e059…
10-29 22:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa563b5…
10-29 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd79141…
10-29 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9348ba…
10-29 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x15ffbc…
10-29 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x4bbad6…
10-29 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa02485…
10-29 21:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xedc423…
10-29 21:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x61a6ee…
10-29 21:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	127	24¢	$31	0x32d87c…
10-29 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	70¢	$89	0x49e22e…
10-29 21:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	150	35¢	$52	0x21866d…
10-29 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x6dd53b…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xfb3470…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0xe96f1e…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe00cd1…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xab247e…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x98660b…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x80e607…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x73dad6…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x48590e…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x27271a…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x19e717…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x194e9b…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1783bb…
10-29 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x017d33…
10-29 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x94854f…
10-29 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xf25fe2…
10-29 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x38e34d…
10-29 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x2c860c…
10-29 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x151961…
10-29 21:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x56c3f7…
10-29 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xa0a321…
10-29 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x1c1b22…
10-29 15:59:28	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8fec1d…
10-29 15:59:25	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x6f5e4e…
10-29 13:34:49	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	92	64¢	$59	0x41472b…
10-29 13:30:44	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa54b8…
10-29 13:30:43	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5611e3…
10-29 13:29:22	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdff7e2…
10-29 12:10:13	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x36e51b…
10-29 12:08:52	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xd7877f…
10-29 07:57:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0x1cb1a2…
10-29 07:47:26	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb20a46…
10-29 07:42:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x51fe3f…
10-29 07:03:38	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe7be43…
10-29 06:35:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x98bd69…
10-29 06:30:41	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xe91d32…
10-29 06:30:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xdcbbce…
10-29 05:59:56	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xfd0201…
10-29 05:22:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xf4e2dc…
10-29 05:15:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf19c01…
10-29 05:15:38	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0x3012ae…
10-29 05:13:41	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0xfa8bcc…
10-27 18:52:21	Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33be5a…
10-27 18:35:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x33afa1…
10-27 15:22:47	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x423b81…
10-27 13:33:41	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2632f6…
10-27 06:10:57	Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x949f8a…
10-27 03:05:41	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaf239c…
10-27 03:05:20	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x728c12…
10-27 03:03:26	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4e5a69…
10-27 01:33:14	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3c1bbb…
10-27 01:22:23	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x7a9981…
10-27 00:39:29	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xebe582…
10-27 00:37:54	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x5125c8…
10-27 00:36:38	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x61a506…
10-27 00:35:21	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xca0c5f…
10-27 00:33:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x940940…
10-27 00:28:36	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x1f07f6…
10-27 00:24:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x0fe47c…
10-27 00:21:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x3bef05…
10-27 00:21:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x9794ab…
10-26 23:44:14	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0x3df29a…
10-26 23:31:05	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	75	68¢	$51	0xeaa4d5…