Misty-Wood — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$306

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

12,301 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.37K

$494.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$617

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 262 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 63% -$3,141

Politics

18% 48% +$5,991

Other

10% 29% -$1,894

Sports

6% 37% -$3,005

Tech

1% 64% +$417

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	-310	-$143	76¢	$-236	-$92	06-09 10:38
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-2,500	-$34	7¢	$-172	-$138	09-13 22:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	-300	-$22	47¢	$-140	-$118	06-08 09:05
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-8,000	-$72	0¢	$-36	+$36	06-01 19:56
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-1,910	$19	1¢	$-15	-$35	10-27 18:52
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-4,000	-$42	0¢	$-14	+$28	09-21 21:38
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-3,000	-$16	0¢	$-3	+$13	10-13 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	5	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$30	05-01 22:42
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	59	$5.1K	18,826	16,036	+2,790	No	+$1,838	05-19 08:03
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	44	$4.0K	2,665	2,665	+0	Yes	-$257	06-04 23:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$3.8K	3,799	3,799	+0	Yes	-$68	07-07 02:31
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$3.6K	2,403	2,403	+0	Yes	-$37	06-09 02:03
will axiom be accused of insider trading	31	$2.6K	2,024	2,024	+0	Yes	+$57	02-26 13:33
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	16	$2.4K	3,178	150	+3,028	Yes	+$851	03-26 00:51
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	13	$2.2K	2,069	401	+1,668	No	-$2	04-29 19:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$176	05-29 00:17
iran strike on israel by february 28	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,000	+500	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:18
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be greenyellow	20	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$110	02-09 03:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$19	04-30 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:40 UTC	16	$1.7K	1,500	1,000	+500	Up	+$116	06-09 08:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$1.6K	3,500	3,000	+500	Yes	-$528	03-09 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:40 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	Up	+$60	07-14 10:44
will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	23	$1.3K	1,934	0	+1,934	Yes	+$615	03-23 18:42
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	22	$1.3K	1,445	0	+1,445	Yes	+$134	02-25 04:07
will trumps 2pm signing event not air	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$540	02-03 21:34
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	7	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	+$327	06-01 23:02
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	20	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$204	02-25 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	11	$1.1K	800	500	+300	Up	-$281	05-30 01:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	12	$1.1K	951	451	+500	No	+$106	05-24 01:46
will trump say maga or make america great again this week december 29 january 4	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$100	01-03 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$1.1K	774	474	+300	Up	+$36	05-29 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:05 UTC	4	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Down	+$3	06-08 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	15	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$41	05-14 13:33
bitboy convicted	21	$1.0K	3,101	1,100	+2,001	No	-$872	04-01 00:30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	10	$1.0K	700	700	+0	Yes	-$30	03-18 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	18	$990	900	300	+600	Up	+$0	06-15 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	6	$979	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$485	06-07 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:59:28	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8fec1d…
10-29 15:59:25	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x6f5e4e…
10-29 13:34:49	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	92	64¢	$59	0x41472b…
10-29 13:30:44	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa54b8…
10-29 13:30:43	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5611e3…
10-29 13:29:22	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdff7e2…
10-29 12:10:13	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x36e51b…
10-29 12:08:52	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xd7877f…
10-29 07:57:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0x1cb1a2…
10-29 07:47:26	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb20a46…
10-29 07:42:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x51fe3f…
10-29 07:03:38	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe7be43…
10-29 06:35:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x98bd69…
10-29 06:30:41	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xe91d32…
10-29 06:30:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xdcbbce…
10-29 05:59:56	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xfd0201…
10-29 05:22:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xf4e2dc…
10-29 05:15:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf19c01…
10-29 05:15:38	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0x3012ae…
10-29 05:13:41	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0xfa8bcc…
10-27 18:52:21	Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33be5a…
10-27 18:35:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x33afa1…
10-27 15:22:47	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x423b81…
10-27 13:33:41	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2632f6…
10-27 06:10:57	Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x949f8a…
10-27 03:05:41	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaf239c…
10-27 03:05:20	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x728c12…
10-27 03:03:26	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4e5a69…
10-27 01:33:14	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3c1bbb…
10-27 01:22:23	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x7a9981…
10-27 00:39:29	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xebe582…
10-27 00:37:54	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x5125c8…
10-27 00:36:38	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x61a506…
10-27 00:35:21	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xca0c5f…
10-27 00:33:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x940940…
10-27 00:28:36	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x1f07f6…
10-27 00:24:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x0fe47c…
10-27 00:21:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x3bef05…
10-27 00:21:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x9794ab…
10-26 23:44:14	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0x3df29a…
10-26 23:31:05	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	75	68¢	$51	0xeaa4d5…
10-26 23:20:27	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	95	56¢	$53	0xc531c6…
10-26 23:19:59	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7bdc5a…
10-26 23:11:09	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19e975…
10-26 21:48:03	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	90	33¢	$30	0x66c25b…
10-26 21:41:26	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x206963…
10-26 21:38:02	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x795d4a…
10-26 02:52:24	Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Seahawks	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x647059…
10-26 02:48:23	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x113e5e…
10-25 23:41:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x7bc163…
10-25 23:07:24	Rams vs. Raiders	Raiders	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x24c7a3…
10-25 23:07:12	Rams vs. Raiders	Raiders	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xa5ec9f…
10-25 22:24:06	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6849b7…
10-25 22:13:48	Rams vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5ae012…
10-25 20:06:14	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x09b9e9…
10-20 22:28:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x746bf3…
10-20 20:56:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x007c8f…
10-20 19:54:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdd0748…
10-20 13:07:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb8f23b…
10-20 12:54:27	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8a1f1c…
10-20 12:32:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$2	0x783fee…
10-20 06:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xb9b2b3…
10-20 03:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5ff861…
10-20 03:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc8e2c9…
10-20 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xdb1651…
10-20 03:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x85dae3…
10-20 03:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0xcdb02c…
10-20 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0xf7fd73…
10-20 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0xfdf4d2…
10-20 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	67¢	$46	0x838447…
10-20 03:14:41	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	SELL	200	14¢	$29	0xacabb1…
10-20 03:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x4fc732…
10-20 02:54:47	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaf20fd…
10-20 02:53:32	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	200	22¢	$45	0x30e0f8…
10-20 02:52:48	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	SELL	99	77¢	$76	0x6fe27b…
10-20 02:52:41	Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	49ers	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xc5eda2…
10-20 02:52:02	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x947ddd…
10-20 02:35:26	Spread: 49ers (-6.5)	49ers	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x848ec6…
10-20 02:34:06	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0d8036…
10-20 01:43:30	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x6b293c…
10-20 01:42:39	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x34d2c7…
10-20 01:42:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x58859a…
10-20 01:40:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	190	14¢	$27	0x182963…
10-20 01:39:02	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8a83a8…
10-20 01:32:15	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xe928a7…
10-20 01:00:11	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x078832…
10-19 22:58:45	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x896673…
10-19 22:55:02	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x4dc126…
10-19 22:46:26	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x74da17…
10-19 22:39:32	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x254fdd…
10-19 02:34:56	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x68a764…
10-18 18:35:23	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Bears	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x4dd0ce…
10-16 21:19:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x5200f5…
10-16 21:10:24	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6f6991…
10-16 21:04:21	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x73996c…
10-16 21:01:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xe80573…
10-16 20:51:57	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xf2df84…
10-16 20:50:50	Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x6c3e16…
10-16 20:40:57	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb17f13…
10-16 03:25:21	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	150	49¢	$74	0xbf8a9a…