Realized P&L (90d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
25
79 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.64K
$4.11K lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$639
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-27 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
48% 33% -$90
Politics
37% 58% +$50
Tech
14% 0% -$57
Crypto
2% 50% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$484 97¢ $-484 +$1 09-09 23:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +111 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-03 12:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -100 -$42 30¢ $-30 +$12 10-27 18:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 10-05 22:04
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 $0 10-18 13:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-17 22:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +28 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-03 23:56