Honorable-Tree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$939

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$1

Other

35% — —

Politics

24% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$165	166	+166	open	—	05-30 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$146	153	+153	open	—	05-18 18:15
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$72	73	+73	Yes	+$1	05-05 14:11
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$67	73	+73	open	—	05-15 20:21
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$67	67	+67	open	—	05-12 14:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$65	67	+67	No	+$2	05-09 15:23
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$38	39	+39	open	—	04-13 23:37
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-24 20:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-20 10:15
will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$14	14	+14	open	—	02-23 20:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	04-21 13:25
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	3	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-18 18:11
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	04-26 14:25
msft above 405 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-06 16:40
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-07 19:46
will solana dip to 70 in january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-08 17:58
si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	01-24 10:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-16 11:40
will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 22:58
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-12 23:10
will solana dip to 80 in january 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-10 13:54
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	01-13 09:55
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-23 00:46
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-11 22:27
nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-22 18:53
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-25 21:39
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-24 19:24
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-14 20:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-12 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:07:21	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0xfc57b0…
05-29 02:48:05	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04eec0…
05-24 20:39:58	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x84e83d…
05-20 10:15:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xaffa27…
05-18 18:15:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	153	95¢	$146	0xff2075…
05-15 20:21:25	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	93¢	$67	0xb6ec93…
05-12 14:06:50	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xcc3e69…
05-09 15:23:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xf93efa…
05-06 22:58:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35b715…
05-05 14:11:58	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xca8e5e…
04-26 14:25:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xb20a6d…
04-25 21:39:10	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0fc27c…
04-25 16:37:18	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ef904…
04-21 13:25:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x8f0a3a…
04-20 23:35:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x66eb33…
04-20 05:17:10	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2494dd…
04-19 14:22:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc258bd…
04-17 22:12:24	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e5233…
04-17 16:53:04	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdddaf9…
04-17 05:56:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xdba674…
04-16 16:23:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x36c98e…
04-16 11:40:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9fa6d9…
04-16 04:26:48	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x211200…
04-15 19:07:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5044e6…
04-13 23:37:05	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x62ed8d…
04-13 19:50:39	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4b6160…
04-13 08:27:51	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe5b94…
04-12 17:43:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x99567d…
04-12 07:07:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e4be3…
04-12 01:56:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x52b822…
04-12 00:11:07	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dfe98…
04-11 13:16:05	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4d0954…
04-11 01:45:57	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa77f69…
04-10 12:23:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfd22ef…
04-07 05:46:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xc6b902…
04-07 05:25:27	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x452718…
04-06 07:08:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f110e…
03-31 02:41:17	aapl above 220 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x004385…
03-29 12:14:38	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd18cb9…
03-29 06:15:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbad21f…
03-28 19:28:32	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8f884…
03-28 14:28:07	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee3cca…
03-28 13:31:57	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12c54d…
03-28 12:56:41	nvda above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x830dc0…
03-28 10:40:23	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9fd98…
03-26 17:32:21	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe6ee01…
03-26 13:13:43	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0c5624…
03-26 11:49:09	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2d963…
03-25 13:43:13	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7785c…
03-24 19:24:21	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0cc39f…
03-24 09:24:59	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf32a46…
03-24 02:30:31	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f7829…
03-23 20:32:17	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf0eb15…
03-23 17:42:35	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x967ac5…
03-22 23:22:29	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdb0eb3…
03-22 18:53:39	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x252649…
03-12 00:00:41	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x497cca…
03-10 02:27:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd60604…
03-09 10:42:29	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x09f690…
03-09 08:54:49	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x56401c…
03-09 06:11:45	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xea5017…
03-08 19:11:41	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cc1df…
03-08 06:34:45	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x049a03…
03-08 00:02:21	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcfb288…
03-07 19:58:31	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf859ed…
03-07 14:51:23	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeae34a…
03-07 10:16:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d53f4…
03-07 07:04:43	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x195185…
03-07 05:44:39	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf913b3…
03-06 09:32:03	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fe0b5…
03-05 22:36:43	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08c3f2…
03-05 19:57:49	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa5784…
03-05 03:54:17	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6da2bb…
03-04 14:20:53	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0cf2a…
03-04 03:45:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa601f2…
03-03 23:03:41	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3eda22…
02-24 13:57:32	nvda above 140 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c78cb…
02-24 13:49:28	nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2839b4…
02-24 13:13:38	will solana reach 140 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb146a0…
02-24 03:16:52	will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a41e4…
02-23 20:40:26	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb0fa7e…
02-23 13:09:42	nflx above 100 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbb608c…
02-23 00:46:48	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x926796…
02-22 01:37:40	meta above 820 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3f5473…
02-22 00:17:26	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf4a731…
02-21 19:58:56	googl above 380 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaea66d…
02-20 22:36:36	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x34108f…
02-20 13:39:26	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03a250…
02-11 18:02:33	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf63c63…
02-10 10:14:43	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x275b02…
02-09 17:41:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x051649…
02-07 19:01:11	amzn above 290 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85b31f…
02-04 01:22:12	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5bdbf2…
01-24 10:31:04	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xcb7bf8…
01-22 12:49:30	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb95ccb…
01-21 09:53:10	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4923d2…
01-18 18:11:06	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x99d2c2…
01-17 08:22:40	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xae7d62…
01-17 05:33:36	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64d2aa…
01-14 20:41:26	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf78bd0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	73	$11.8K	7,792	04-21 08:56
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	58	$126.7K	2,227	06-01 01:15
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$35.4K	422	05-28 22:13
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	58	$2.48K	1,884	05-29 16:23
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	58	$587	678	03-27 19:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	53	$4.65K	1,261	05-28 15:22
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	51	$1.64K	1,367	05-26 17:17
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	49	$2.04K	2,825	05-31 04:38