Harmless-Savannah — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$533

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

587 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.21K

$22.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$340

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

93% 27% -$1,301

Sports

7% 12% -$618

Crypto

0% 0% -$97

Politics

0% 0% -$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+2,000	$300	12¢	$250	-$50	09-20 15:08
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+2,000	$100	4¢	$90	-$10	09-29 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$860	1,492	0	+1,492	Yes	+$632	10-25 15:57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	4	$535	2,294	0	+2,294	No	-$535	04-28 20:34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	1	$511	2,139	0	+2,139	No	-$511	10-10 15:06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	1	$455	1,260	0	+1,260	FC Bayern München	+$805	10-17 16:56
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	2	$450	1,687	0	+1,687	FC Augsburg	-$450	10-10 14:25
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	3	$420	890	390	+500	No	+$72	04-15 20:36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	3	$412	993	0	+993	No	-$412	09-20 15:09
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$305	1,305	0	+1,305	No	-$305	04-14 18:50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$300	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	09-20 15:08
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$250	472	0	+472	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	-$250	10-31 17:28
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$250	568	0	+568	FC Bayern München	+$318	10-25 15:58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	1	$200	303	0	+303	FC Bayern München	+$103	10-28 19:20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$199	980	980	+0	No	-$1	06-10 03:38
val xlg blg 2026 02 08	10	$178	446	0	+446	XLG Gaming	-$78	02-08 12:47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	3	$170	791	0	+791	No	-$170	10-25 14:49
bun hsv bay 2026 01 31 bay	2	$170	250	0	+250	No	-$170	01-31 18:38
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	3	$152	370	227	+143	Cabo Verde	-$88	06-21 23:31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	1	$150	250	0	+250	Yes	+$100	09-04 18:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$150	861	0	+861	No	-$150	09-15 07:37
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread away 1pt5	2	$150	443	0	+443	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	-$150	03-14 14:38
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 1pt5	2	$150	998	0	+998	FC Bayern München	-$150	04-15 20:46
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$150	10,120	120	+10,000	Yes	+$90	07-08 12:43
epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	2	$150	172	169	+4	Yes	+$53	04-18 20:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$149	123	123	+0	Yes	+$69	07-07 17:57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	2	$148	242	242	+0	No	-$2	10-21 19:42
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$140	286	0	+286	No	-$140	05-30 15:50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$139	1,176	588	+588	No	-$61	06-15 03:20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$135	699	0	+699	No	-$135	07-14 20:22
Spread: England (-3.5)	1	$134	896	0	+896	Czechia	-$134	09-29 15:15
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$131	107	107	+0	Yes	+$83	06-15 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:11:19	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	568	22¢	$125	0x1de032…
11-03 07:06:52	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x5e56d1…
11-01 09:52:25	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x5fa64b…
11-01 09:52:21	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x7bb160…
10-31 17:28:12	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xc764d7…
10-31 17:27:55	Spread: FC Bayern München (-4.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7272d4…
10-31 17:27:43	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x188dc3…
10-31 12:32:34	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x00d262…
10-31 12:32:28	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x9c9b32…
10-31 04:47:21	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	212	33¢	$70	0xbb7937…
10-31 04:46:34	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1e2888…
10-28 20:02:07	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	229	35¢	$80	0xc28c55…
10-28 19:51:46	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xae1b89…
10-28 19:51:40	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0x0ee8ad…
10-28 19:51:22	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x113f1a…
10-28 19:20:40	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x0861d5…
10-26 21:22:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	251	8¢	$20	0xefb1b8…
10-25 15:58:27	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0x9c0793…
10-25 15:58:05	Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	1,004	2¢	$20	0xb2b25b…
10-25 15:57:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	716	71¢	$510	0xc7d3ce…
10-25 14:49:45	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb55223…
10-25 14:49:41	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x56e44a…
10-25 14:08:35	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x24d185…
10-25 14:08:20	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	333	18¢	$60	0xfbe71b…
10-25 14:08:11	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	391	38¢	$150	0x00cd7d…
10-24 16:02:03	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa9f956…
10-24 12:12:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xa5e649…
10-21 19:42:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xc52153…
10-21 19:42:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	242	30¢	$73	0xfabf17…
10-21 18:57:41	ucl bay ars 2026 10 21 ags tom bischof 90098042	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x8f45bb…
10-21 16:44:26	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x62d382…
10-21 16:33:36	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x9c6ddc…
10-21 16:33:20	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	134	41¢	$55	0xa30c10…
10-21 10:10:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	242	31¢	$75	0xabb07d…
10-20 13:33:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x08d208…
10-20 13:32:54	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0x333978…
10-20 13:32:47	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0xde68e4…
10-20 13:32:36	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xbd489a…
10-18 14:48:47	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xe27545…
10-17 16:56:38	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1,260	36¢	$455	0xecde18…
10-17 16:55:39	Spread: FC Bayern München (-5.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	310	10¢	$31	0xfe6637…
10-10 15:06:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2,139	24¢	$511	0x747e3f…
10-10 14:25:03	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x2f5351…
10-10 13:36:10	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	972	36¢	$350	0x811d1a…
09-29 15:15:12	Spread: England (-3.5)	England	BUY	896	15¢	$134	0x944a94…
09-29 15:14:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	776	45¢	$350	0xb56a70…
09-29 15:12:12	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x840976…
09-20 15:09:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	218	42¢	$92	0xb1841b…
09-20 15:08:36	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	867	5¢	$40	0xf6bdaf…
09-20 15:08:19	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x8b4336…
09-20 15:07:07	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xff0b6e…
09-20 15:05:45	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	332	15¢	$50	0xafd9c8…
09-20 15:05:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	537	41¢	$220	0x7bfe85…
09-19 08:49:45	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	444	27¢	$120	0x695b55…
09-19 08:49:18	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-3.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	336	4¢	$15	0x639017…
09-19 08:49:07	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xa7aaa9…
09-19 08:48:00	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xdfcfd8…
09-18 10:23:22	bun bay uni 2026 09 18 spread home 3pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6e449d…
09-15 07:37:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xc54adf…
09-13 23:07:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x2f56eb…
09-13 12:04:57	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x46c9ea…
09-13 12:04:46	SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0xa3ecc4…
09-13 12:04:18	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x083964…
09-05 09:33:06	FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7e89f9…
09-05 09:33:00	FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0xf1cec8…
09-05 09:32:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xb8ae65…
09-05 09:32:27	Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x97b67c…
09-05 09:32:16	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xd92dc9…
09-05 09:31:51	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x508b13…
09-04 18:54:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x453d89…
09-04 18:54:39	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa4bde9…
09-04 18:54:34	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 2pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xcd9899…
08-31 18:44:39	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	179	39¢	$70	0xcd9602…
08-31 18:44:28	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0xb003de…
08-30 07:43:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x4ccda3…
08-30 07:42:43	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x49992d…
08-30 07:42:07	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x36e604…
08-30 07:42:00	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xfea02e…
08-29 16:33:58	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United FC	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xee806c…
08-29 16:33:34	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x933f29…
08-28 20:42:45	Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x5b3a70…
08-28 20:42:36	Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	84	5¢	$4	0xb278b6…
08-28 20:41:40	Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xe08271…
08-28 18:28:04	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xd64d61…
08-28 18:27:15	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x805f8a…
08-28 18:26:25	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xdb1829…
08-27 19:28:45	FC Barcelona leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4b6ee4…
08-27 19:28:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfae2bb…
08-27 19:28:03	FC Barcelona leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb1206f…
08-26 20:10:58	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	112	40¢	$45	0xb48909…
08-26 18:03:15	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Charlton Athletic FC	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0xaf27f5…
08-26 18:02:37	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x2cb496…
08-26 18:02:30	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x3d26e1…
08-24 20:36:19	Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xb741f4…
08-24 18:42:39	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xce06ab…
08-24 18:42:30	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x34fdac…
08-23 19:29:54	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0x68dd57…
08-23 19:29:34	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0xd8e156…
08-23 17:12:12	epl new liv 2026 08 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0xb7a4eb…
08-23 15:42:55	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	165	36¢	$59	0x7d73f9…