Internal-Slope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$413

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,188

lifetime

Volume

$373.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$314

Open exposure

$4.56K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-02 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% +$1,404

Other

45% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-14,650	$-2,366	20¢	$-2857	$-491	06-28 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+1,111	$777	80¢	$894	+$118	06-19 17:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-869	$-774	94¢	$-813	$-39	06-13 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$46.3K	24,267	24,266	+0	open	—	03-20 05:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	171	$39.1K	38,655	58,409	-19,754	open	—	06-28 11:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$28.5K	14,506	14,506	+0	open	—	03-26 02:08
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	27	$23.8K	13,321	13,321	+0	open	—	03-31 22:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	30	$22.2K	21,325	25,801	-4,476	open	—	05-25 03:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$17.7K	10,209	10,209	+0	No	+$1,454	05-06 09:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	27	$17.3K	16,540	16,540	+0	open	—	04-01 00:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	42	$15.1K	8,177	9,772	-1,595	open	—	06-19 17:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$9.8K	5,579	5,579	+0	open	—	04-24 15:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	13	$8.9K	13,568	0	+13,568	open	—	04-27 15:44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	27	$8.7K	12,995	0	+12,995	open	—	04-02 09:13
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	15	$8.3K	5,547	4,507	+1,040	open	—	03-31 22:20
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	46	$7.5K	5,993	5,209	+783	open	—	01-15 21:49
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	20	$7.1K	4,770	4,703	+67	open	—	04-15 11:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	23	$6.8K	4,772	3,053	+1,719	open	—	04-07 10:38
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	20	$6.5K	5,310	1,493	+3,816	open	—	04-14 15:33
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	76	$6.1K	12,919	10,209	+2,709	open	—	01-27 22:58
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	12	$5.4K	5,367	4,929	+438	open	—	04-11 14:49
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	47	$5.0K	4,456	4,500	-43	open	—	04-07 23:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$5.0K	5,263	500	+4,763	open	—	06-01 04:49
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	19	$4.6K	4,451	681	+3,770	open	—	01-26 11:11
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	64	$4.4K	5,228	5,484	-257	open	—	04-21 23:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$4.2K	2,299	2,299	+0	open	—	04-01 09:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	7	$4.0K	4,502	4,502	+0	open	—	05-07 17:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	24	$3.9K	2,021	2,021	+0	open	—	04-11 13:25
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	7	$3.8K	2,367	1,834	+533	open	—	01-23 19:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	20	$3.4K	6,243	0	+6,243	open	—	04-25 17:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$3.3K	1,759	1,759	+0	open	—	04-23 04:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	30	$3.0K	4,531	0	+4,531	open	—	04-25 06:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	65	$2.8K	4,982	5,354	-372	open	—	04-09 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:57:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x229569…
07-02 00:57:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	968	43¢	$416	0x75aeea…
07-01 14:58:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3857cd…
06-30 19:49:52	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Serena Williams	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x51e7c3…
06-28 11:36:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	43,891	34¢	$15,071	0x089f12…
06-24 08:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,063	46¢	$1,869	0x13a993…
06-23 10:07:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x1d2809…
06-21 21:30:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,248	40¢	$499	0x485cb8…
06-21 21:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0x51ef8f…
06-21 21:26:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x26a551…
06-21 21:26:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb6abd7…
06-21 21:25:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf33313…
06-21 21:16:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f9c2b…
06-21 21:14:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x883aa0…
06-21 21:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x491c8c…
06-21 21:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x463d78…
06-21 21:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x60e11c…
06-21 21:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4bcf07…
06-21 21:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x3cebd1…
06-21 21:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x0eaa14…
06-21 21:11:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x3dde43…
06-21 21:11:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1f8e50…
06-21 21:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcd9080…
06-21 21:08:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0a83ea…
06-21 21:07:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8f04b…
06-21 21:06:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xa778e3…
06-21 21:00:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x529b29…
06-21 20:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf2a766…
06-21 20:40:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x474ccf…
06-21 20:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	79	40¢	$32	0x73fa84…
06-21 15:05:25	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	625	64¢	$400	0xb30a11…
06-21 15:05:17	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x18be22…
06-21 14:06:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,600	41¢	$1,066	0xda5532…
06-21 12:22:20	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	1,200	19¢	$228	0x1a9d58…
06-20 18:41:04	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x2d7826…
06-20 18:33:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xda4b1f…
06-19 17:47:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	94	85¢	$80	0x926732…
06-19 17:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	704	85¢	$598	0xe20c3f…
06-19 17:18:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0x27f5c2…
06-19 17:01:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	878	85¢	$747	0x215569…
06-19 06:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d78d5…
06-19 06:54:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,995	50¢	$998	0x12c13e…
06-19 06:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x447d66…
06-19 05:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e16ef…
06-19 03:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x708878…
06-19 02:50:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x704adc…
06-19 02:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x102550…
06-19 02:41:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x0ac26e…
06-19 02:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7602f8…
06-19 02:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcd41c5…
06-19 02:14:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,696	51¢	$865	0x286e8d…
06-19 02:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x28faf2…
06-19 02:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x06f4b3…
06-19 02:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e0dc1…
06-19 01:57:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,715	52¢	$892	0xc7dbfa…
06-18 11:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	55¢	$550	0x56fa6e…
06-15 09:59:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	84¢	$117	0x7d43db…
06-15 09:51:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x898f75…
06-15 09:48:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	84¢	$44	0xaba937…
06-15 09:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xe6f49a…
06-15 09:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xcddaaf…
06-15 09:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0x2449c0…
06-15 00:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0x26cf59…
06-15 00:52:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x89a651…
06-15 00:52:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0x8a9af6…
06-15 00:31:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2cb802…
06-14 23:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x77e4aa…
06-14 23:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0xd9f71c…
06-14 23:17:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	513	61¢	$313	0x8a74b1…
06-14 23:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	420	61¢	$256	0x732b0d…
06-14 22:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0xf08ccb…
06-14 13:37:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	744	84¢	$625	0x541f74…
06-14 10:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x16fec1…
06-14 10:26:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xd61a7e…
06-14 10:26:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xd4e2f7…
06-14 10:26:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0x1631a3…
06-14 01:15:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7cd0c8…
06-14 01:15:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xe26810…
06-14 01:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xfa7f16…
06-14 01:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x544d9a…
06-14 01:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x6cf05c…
06-14 01:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xe91342…
06-14 01:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x29c076…
06-14 01:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xee9944…
06-14 01:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0x43a5d5…
06-14 01:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xd7919d…
06-14 01:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0xc84055…
06-14 01:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x4d08a5…
06-14 01:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x47b9ec…
06-14 01:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x3db9f2…
06-14 01:03:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa6c419…
06-13 19:01:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	869	89¢	$774	0x184494…
06-13 17:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	463	82¢	$380	0xa22a1b…
06-13 12:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	337	82¢	$276	0x4c6c07…
06-12 17:48:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xc32abe…
06-12 17:38:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9ea068…
06-12 17:33:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc6e8b6…
06-12 17:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xd89fdf…
06-12 14:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	970	75¢	$728	0x290103…
06-12 13:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0xd3ab7c…