Cloudy-Bookmark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$443

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

1,400

Trades

4,333

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-21 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

64% 59% +$48

Crypto

13% 19% -$369

Sports

13% 51% -$18

Politics

10% 44% -$114

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	24	$204	715	688	+27	Yes	+$11	04-30 07:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	26	$165	109	109	+0	Yes	-$5	03-22 20:11
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	24	$161	118	118	+0	Yes	-$18	04-01 19:41
will seguro win all of portugals districts	78	$151	92	92	+0	Yes	-$1	02-06 23:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	16	$150	171	131	+40	cancelled	-$1	05-05 20:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	16	$148	379	321	+58	No	-$7	04-29 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	10	$138	213	205	+8	Yes	+$48	04-28 17:33
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	10	$125	220	157	+63	Yes	+$71	04-23 11:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	19	$124	76	76	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	14	$124	301	301	+0	No	+$7	04-27 21:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	15	$113	82	82	+0	Yes	-$5	03-06 02:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	11	$110	76	63	+13	No	+$3	04-22 16:42
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09	12	$100	53	53	+0	Solary	$0	03-09 15:02
congress passes iran war powers resolution by march 31	20	$98	52	52	+0	No	+$2	03-05 03:56
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	41	$96	62	75	-13	No	+$3	02-24 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	9	$95	121	103	+19	No	-$3	04-24 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	13	$94	129	123	+7	Up	-$9	05-04 09:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$92	60	46	+14	Yes	-$11	03-01 01:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$92	103	102	+1	Yes	-$9	04-07 22:55
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	65	$91	331	336	-5	Yes	-$12	02-24 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	11	$89	689	546	+143	No	-$11	04-27 14:57
nhl dal ana 2026 01 13	5	$87	118	29	+89	Ducks	+$22	01-14 05:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	10	$84	73	54	+19	No	-$2	04-27 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	10	$83	118	42	+76	Down	-$15	04-29 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	11	$83	442	391	+50	No	-$17	04-27 14:56
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09 total games 2pt5	10	$77	45	45	+0	Under	-$6	03-09 15:03
Aix en Provence: Luca Van Assche vs Dusan Lajovic	10	$76	153	0	+153	cancelled	+$0	04-29 13:04
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	11	$76	79	73	+6	Down	-$6	03-01 18:17
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	6	$73	77	77	+0	Yes	-$25	04-29 05:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$72	58	56	+2	No	-$1	04-21 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 03:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0x51b3ef…
05-21 03:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xd6accf…
05-21 03:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x1a0061…
05-21 03:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x7f0f6f…
05-21 02:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xb60523…
05-21 02:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x2728cf…
05-20 22:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xcb6782…
05-20 22:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x458c3b…
05-20 22:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xc0a9f3…
05-20 17:45:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0xbfaa8e…
05-20 17:38:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x637a8d…
05-20 17:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xdfbc05…
05-20 12:42:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	14¢	$8	0xeea692…
05-20 03:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x43b3ed…
05-18 18:08:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0x8138d7…
05-18 18:08:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xce735b…
05-18 18:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x455fe0…
05-18 18:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xb4c9ea…
05-18 13:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	23¢	$8	0xa9075b…
05-18 13:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7439c3…
05-18 08:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x74536f…
05-18 08:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5ad779…
05-18 04:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xbd6684…
05-16 20:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x32cb61…
05-16 16:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcd48dc…
05-16 16:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x1889fd…
05-16 12:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8505e0…
05-16 08:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9ba993…
05-15 23:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd47708…
05-15 15:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xff69fa…
05-15 06:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0562ab…
05-14 19:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x555831…
05-14 19:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xf952f6…
05-14 19:05:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x09234e…
05-14 15:13:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3809b0…
05-14 15:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb7d8fb…
05-14 11:06:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x88ce45…
05-14 03:41:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbfda64…
05-14 03:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xc8ba10…
05-13 23:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x3a2636…
05-13 09:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9c85bc…
05-13 05:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x0d310d…
05-13 01:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x45975c…
05-13 01:34:20	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x588cc2…
05-12 21:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc4969e…
05-12 21:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x68df8e…
05-12 14:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x400a1d…
05-12 14:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x7f0cf0…
05-12 04:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x67e6f7…
05-12 04:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xefc9d3…
05-11 21:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x387927…
05-11 21:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xc32b7a…
05-11 18:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x424758…
05-11 15:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2c253a…
05-11 15:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x364a6b…
05-11 08:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x054a86…
05-11 05:35:07	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xb7bb67…
05-10 23:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x63c830…
05-10 13:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x679c25…
05-10 13:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xf6517d…
05-10 13:55:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xb22231…
05-09 23:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xda35a1…
05-09 23:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x00dce3…
05-09 22:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xee655c…
05-09 20:14:54	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdbce27…
05-09 20:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$4	0x903b95…
05-09 08:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xecc8df…
05-08 21:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x7c1058…
05-08 18:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9a44a0…
05-08 10:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x21ec86…
05-08 10:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x79093a…
05-07 17:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5fb648…
05-07 12:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xfef076…
05-07 07:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x69f751…
05-07 07:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 7?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xcfd786…
05-06 17:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xbde13a…
05-06 15:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	22¢	$12	0x6bbe6d…
05-06 13:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0xa2ddae…
05-06 12:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd4ceec…
05-06 11:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x8bdc17…
05-06 11:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7431b7…
05-06 11:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x914645…
05-06 10:59:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x77e734…
05-06 10:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xf98c9e…
05-06 10:58:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xb56183…
05-06 08:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaf116d…
05-06 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1753b9…
05-06 04:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 6?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb7aac2…
05-06 00:24:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x10d357…
05-05 20:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xffa846…
05-05 20:20:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x99f46d…
05-05 20:18:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f89b1…
05-05 20:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x592493…
05-05 20:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa25928…
05-05 20:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x0c261a…
05-05 18:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x574ef5…
05-05 18:15:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb50ded…
05-05 18:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xec04dd…
05-05 18:13:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x36463b…
05-05 18:13:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x4427fa…