Cloudy-Bookmark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,099

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-04 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$6

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

14% — —

Politics

11% 50% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	26	$165	109	109	+0	open	—	03-22 20:11
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	24	$161	118	118	+0	open	—	04-01 19:41
will seguro win all of portugals districts	78	$151	92	92	+0	open	—	02-06 23:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	10	$125	220	157	+63	open	—	04-23 11:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	19	$124	76	76	+0	open	—	03-23 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	14	$124	301	301	+0	open	—	04-27 21:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	15	$113	82	82	+0	open	—	03-06 02:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	11	$110	76	63	+13	open	—	04-22 16:42
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09	12	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	03-09 15:02
congress passes iran war powers resolution by march 31	20	$98	52	52	+0	open	—	03-05 03:56
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	41	$96	62	75	-13	open	—	02-24 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	9	$95	121	103	+19	open	—	04-24 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	13	$94	129	123	+7	open	—	05-04 09:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$92	60	46	+14	open	—	03-01 01:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$92	103	102	+1	open	—	04-07 22:55
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	65	$91	331	336	-5	open	—	02-24 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	11	$89	689	546	+143	open	—	04-27 14:57
nhl dal ana 2026 01 13	5	$87	118	29	+89	open	—	01-14 05:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	9	$86	213	153	+59	open	—	04-27 13:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	10	$84	73	54	+19	open	—	04-27 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	10	$83	118	42	+76	open	—	04-29 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	11	$83	442	391	+50	open	—	04-27 14:56
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09 total games 2pt5	10	$77	45	45	+0	open	—	03-09 15:03
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	11	$76	79	73	+6	open	—	03-01 18:17
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$72	58	56	+2	open	—	04-21 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	8	$70	245	244	+0	open	—	04-23 13:56
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $320?	5	$69	39	39	+0	open	—	04-28 09:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	8	$68	169	111	+58	open	—	04-28 05:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	11	$67	471	398	+73	open	—	04-27 20:29
gc up or down on march 2 2026	14	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	03-02 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 14:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x36b0de…
05-04 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x82db14…
05-04 14:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd6a72f…
05-04 14:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x28a395…
05-04 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x444b58…
05-04 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x70c78b…
05-04 14:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8645c8…
05-04 14:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x65eeef…
05-04 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xe66c43…
05-04 12:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5c4d7c…
05-04 12:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa7324f…
05-04 12:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7171b8…
05-04 11:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfc5ac5…
05-04 11:45:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc732e9…
05-04 11:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xb75dc6…
05-04 10:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xed70e9…
05-04 10:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2e8fe6…
05-04 10:46:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcdfad4…
05-04 10:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x13a84f…
05-04 10:46:10	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xb452a9…
05-04 09:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfb014d…
05-04 09:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8378a0…
05-04 09:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0xa742f4…
05-04 09:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xfc19c6…
05-04 09:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0xf8d457…
05-04 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x48d50f…
05-04 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x384b94…
05-04 09:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xa07f8d…
05-04 09:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b39bf…
05-04 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfe07d3…
05-04 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd4ac76…
05-04 09:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x79d5e5…
05-04 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd36880…
05-04 09:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0c48c7…
05-04 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xae4152…
05-04 08:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb3ea19…
05-04 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd71622…
05-04 08:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$5	0xd517be…
05-04 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$5	0xbc4e71…
05-04 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x5ef1ea…
05-04 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xe69947…
05-04 08:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x9ab4bf…
05-04 08:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb6dae9…
05-04 08:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x346c26…
05-04 08:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x867895…
05-04 08:08:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x96f203…
05-04 08:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3252e5…
05-04 08:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa02b4a…
05-04 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa3b8f2…
05-04 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1ba0f7…
05-04 08:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x69549b…
05-04 08:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x60dfed…
05-04 08:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee8f7b…
05-04 08:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xeccd05…
05-04 08:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa223a7…
05-04 08:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x0e8fe1…
05-04 08:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x0ca73d…
05-04 08:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x74f151…
05-04 07:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe78f9a…
05-02 04:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x32459b…
05-02 04:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5e6105…
05-02 04:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x890ba9…
04-30 07:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6b1867…
04-30 07:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xcf0501…
04-30 07:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x06c392…
04-30 07:28:58	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x252430…
04-30 07:28:56	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x121d90…
04-30 07:17:08	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9172a3…
04-30 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x0ad7a1…
04-30 04:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x709459…
04-30 04:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x17d34c…
04-30 03:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9a5574…
04-30 03:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1e8eda…
04-30 03:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2e2a49…
04-30 03:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x54362e…
04-30 03:52:30	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb57e44…
04-30 03:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd5b9fa…
04-30 03:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3adc16…
04-30 03:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe9c318…
04-30 03:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7d1c96…
04-30 03:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x0e30e8…
04-30 00:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeb0772…
04-30 00:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x67fd11…
04-30 00:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x21423e…
04-29 22:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x87b45f…
04-29 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1592ed…
04-29 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7ae77e…
04-29 21:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8f7b8a…
04-29 21:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfd18aa…
04-29 21:55:32	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd80fe6…
04-29 21:55:16	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd58f9…
04-29 21:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa120ca…
04-29 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8fe7e…
04-29 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x65e0d0…
04-29 21:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe51e9d…
04-29 21:43:42	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x90dd08…
04-29 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcd72c3…
04-29 21:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2eda28…
04-29 19:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6061c6…
04-29 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x110cee…