Puzzling-Harbor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-17 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Sports

47% 11% -$42

Politics

25% 17% -$1

Other

24% 20% -$2

Crypto

4% 71% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$1.5K	742	742	+0	No	-$1	03-16 22:00
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$722	361	361	+0	No	$0	03-02 06:30
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$682	341	341	+0	No	$0	03-17 04:25
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$638	320	320	+0	No	$0	05-11 02:59
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$632	317	317	+0	No	$0	04-03 05:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$584	293	293	+0	No	$0	03-30 08:21
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$402	201	201	+0	No	$0	02-27 13:51
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$394	197	197	+0	No	$0	07-14 10:14
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$392	196	196	+0	No	$0	02-12 22:46
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$378	190	190	+0	No	$0	03-30 16:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$372	186	186	+0	No	+$0	04-02 16:24
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$358	179	179	+0	No	$0	05-22 10:27
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$350	176	176	+0	No	$0	04-12 14:48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$348	174	174	+0	No	$0	03-16 09:08
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	05-18 21:25
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$344	172	172	+0	No	$0	03-15 20:21
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$342	172	172	-0	No	$0	05-09 23:35
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$338	170	170	+0	No	$0	04-12 23:31
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$338	172	172	+0	No	$0	05-23 10:11
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$336	169	168	+0	No	$0	03-11 22:28
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$336	168	168	+0	No	$0	02-25 07:47
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$332	167	167	+0	open	—	07-13 05:58
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$332	168	168	+0	open	—	05-27 05:46
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$332	166	166	+0	No	$0	03-31 11:34
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$330	165	165	+0	No	$0	03-18 18:47
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-21 14:21
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$320	161	161	+0	No	$0	02-18 00:56
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$318	159	159	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:57
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$318	159	159	+0	No	$0	03-14 06:41
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	05-14 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 10:25:10	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4bfead…
07-17 06:38:31	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x22a32f…
07-16 16:25:49	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xee3116…
07-16 07:16:41	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22ccb3…
07-16 07:16:17	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x77aac8…
07-16 00:10:52	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x651741…
07-16 00:10:22	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x135ff0…
07-15 19:20:14	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdde033…
07-15 17:18:26	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf41f05…
07-15 08:18:29	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xea57f3…
07-15 08:18:04	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x97c4c7…
07-14 22:01:02	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5455b3…
07-14 22:00:32	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x773d06…
07-14 20:30:35	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf3dc60…
07-14 17:31:13	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9a3c49…
07-14 10:14:41	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x951254…
07-14 10:14:05	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1a89c7…
07-13 22:24:20	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd2395a…
07-13 22:23:56	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x03896c…
07-13 20:29:50	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x245aea…
07-13 12:28:55	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfe5d69…
07-13 08:48:01	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x53f19d…
07-13 05:58:34	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8e58b1…
07-12 20:34:13	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x743362…
07-12 17:27:20	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x927bb2…
07-12 06:12:13	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb6b351…
07-11 22:06:40	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x15d735…
07-11 14:40:17	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7f6c6b…
07-10 20:09:05	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe4738a…
07-10 07:24:58	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4e9b53…
07-08 17:48:56	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb00b67…
07-08 12:59:34	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x41e052…
07-07 23:37:29	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x5b60eb…
07-07 10:42:20	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe12cfd…
07-06 21:24:58	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x2d8240…
07-06 08:20:35	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xaab566…
07-06 05:24:23	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9b5d80…
07-06 03:41:19	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0e0456…
07-05 21:00:43	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x06ace9…
07-05 14:50:47	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfb502a…
07-05 12:47:35	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7811d9…
07-05 08:13:17	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1319e…
07-05 08:12:52	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd03c01…
07-05 04:12:01	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x51dbd6…
07-05 04:11:38	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x7387f0…
07-05 01:43:34	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x772c07…
07-04 19:40:19	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x79a948…
07-04 15:23:28	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x23cd36…
07-04 15:23:01	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3a47ad…
07-04 06:19:23	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x19ff7c…
07-04 02:24:14	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8213d4…
07-03 20:43:16	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xac82ae…
07-03 18:08:14	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd12f9c…
07-03 14:02:56	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x18d269…
07-03 10:48:41	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x045d28…
07-03 02:55:04	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xed6ffc…
07-03 02:54:43	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x362441…
07-02 22:40:40	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd79a25…
07-02 18:06:17	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x91a0b4…
07-02 11:52:20	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3178fd…
07-02 07:54:13	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x950c72…
07-02 03:24:08	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x7864c6…
07-01 21:29:58	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x79c434…
07-01 18:34:22	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x3a6c6d…
07-01 15:24:20	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4af824…
06-27 14:25:37	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x086ac4…
06-24 10:25:01	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x07ff8c…
06-24 10:24:34	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaf8f00…
06-24 10:24:17	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa1cfe1…
06-23 19:28:26	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x684f7b…
06-23 13:22:01	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3c6ecd…
06-23 09:22:32	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3c1b87…
06-22 21:43:19	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xddba16…
06-21 17:09:41	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe5dd6a…
06-21 14:19:58	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8b07d6…
06-21 13:08:02	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x40581a…
06-21 13:07:38	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6a590a…
06-21 00:58:26	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f996c…
06-14 21:51:22	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x170589…
06-14 11:10:15	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa77e35…
06-02 20:02:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6a8277…
06-02 14:16:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x026bdf…
05-31 07:10:56	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe3c50a…
05-30 01:50:05	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb4a096…
05-30 01:49:46	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x7148f2…
05-29 23:18:18	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xece0b2…
05-27 05:46:34	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x7ab9ba…
05-26 21:03:49	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x875b14…
05-26 07:13:21	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0xda4de1…
05-26 03:08:28	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x32bb31…
05-24 17:17:40	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	135	98¢	$133	0x37ea41…
05-23 10:11:28	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x83990c…
05-23 10:11:09	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	172	98¢	$169	0x31958b…
05-23 07:37:02	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0xeeb6de…
05-22 23:12:52	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x2f1a40…
05-22 19:37:31	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xe111f7…
05-22 19:37:14	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0xee8f6e…
05-22 10:27:54	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0xea40ae…
05-22 10:27:37	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x12b2e7…
05-22 06:10:25	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x4cbbc0…