Trained-Canoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-05 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

66% 60% -$231

Politics

34% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes		+4	$3	68¢	$2	-$1	10-05 06:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	2	$798	412	412	+0	No	-$1	05-13 05:37
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	2	$754	382	382	+0	open	—	05-15 05:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	2	$739	388	388	+0	No	-$1	05-12 05:43
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$679	345	345	+0	No	+$0	05-03 04:29
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$665	343	343	+0	No	-$1	05-02 06:35
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	1	$399	420	0	+420	Beşiktaş JK	+$21	05-15 05:14
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	1	$395	400	0	+400	RC Celta de Vigo	+$5	05-12 05:47
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$394	400	0	+400	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$6	05-13 06:06
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	1	$340	360	0	+360	AFC Bournemouth	+$20	05-03 04:54
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)	1	$332	340	0	+340	Sunderland AFC	+$8	05-02 07:39
codmw riyf tex 2026 03 21	1	$220	306	0	+306	Riyadh Falcons	-$220	03-21 06:40
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	5	$154	903	903	+0	open	—	07-01 03:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	3	$83	821	821	+0	open	—	05-11 08:07
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$75	443	443	+0	No	+$5	03-21 05:00
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)	2	$75	932	0	+932	Al Ahli Saudi Club	-$75	05-11 08:50
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	10-05 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 06:04:49	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x8ba8ee…
07-01 03:18:13	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xb20ec6…
07-01 03:17:52	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	453	9¢	$41	0xfbe803…
07-01 03:17:52	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	436	9¢	$39	0x6c65dd…
07-01 02:20:02	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	455	8¢	$36	0xb9aea0…
07-01 02:20:01	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	448	8¢	$36	0x9f132f…
05-15 05:14:04	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	420	95¢	$399	0x82d359…
05-15 05:01:42	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	382	99¢	$377	0x83b810…
05-15 03:07:12	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	382	99¢	$377	0x1bfa7a…
05-13 06:06:59	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0x9dd1a5…
05-13 05:37:35	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	412	97¢	$398	0x335b7d…
05-13 04:32:27	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	412	97¢	$399	0x3cf48b…
05-12 05:47:13	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0xd679d1…
05-12 05:43:53	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	388	95¢	$369	0x46b8b6…
05-12 02:56:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	388	95¢	$370	0x6a6f7f…
05-11 08:50:48	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	487	8¢	$39	0xeb5d65…
05-11 08:50:46	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	445	8¢	$36	0x721b8c…
05-11 08:07:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	821	5¢	$42	0xe11c4b…
05-11 07:24:40	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	405	5¢	$20	0x803d71…
05-11 07:24:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	416	5¢	$21	0x786a1d…
05-03 04:54:20	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	360	94¢	$340	0x0d6b42…
05-03 04:29:32	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	345	98¢	$340	0xc08356…
05-03 03:22:32	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	345	98¢	$339	0x3f3c8f…
05-02 07:39:00	Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	340	98¢	$332	0xfc8001…
05-02 06:35:30	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	343	97¢	$332	0x605269…
05-02 05:45:38	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	343	97¢	$333	0xdb276f…
03-21 06:40:15	codmw riyf tex 2026 03 21	OpTic Texas	BUY	306	72¢	$220	0x6d0a30…
03-21 05:00:13	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	443	9¢	$40	0x47cb0a…
03-21 03:11:55	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	234	8¢	$18	0xa9423a…
03-21 03:11:55	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	209	8¢	$17	0x4e32cb…