Elastic-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$244

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-15 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

70% 82% +$6

Crypto

14% 100% +$4

Politics

9% 50% -$7

Sports

6% 40% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?	1	$11	11	+11	Yes	-$11	05-12 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-15 02:44
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-30 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-08 13:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	05-10 07:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	05-19 03:56
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?	2	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-30 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-04 23:10
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?	1	$5	8	+8	No	-$5	05-19 04:11
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$5	8	+8	Avalanche	+$3	05-03 15:46
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?	1	$5	8	+8	Yes	+$3	05-09 16:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	05-04 23:13
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	05-03 15:28
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	1	$5	6	+6	Over	+$1	05-06 02:06
mlb det cle 2026 06 14	1	$5	7	+7	Cleveland Guardians	-$5	06-15 04:24
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$5	7	+7	Dplus KIA	+$2	05-04 14:13
Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	05-08 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	2	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	05-06 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	-$5	05-06 02:33
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$5	7	+7	No	-$5	05-30 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3?	2	$5	8	+8	No	+$2	05-03 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?	2	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	05-10 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-12 03:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-09 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 11?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-10 14:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 21?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-15 03:14
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-28 15:03
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03?	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$1	05-02 19:05
Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	8	+8	No	+$3	05-06 14:02
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm	1	$5	7	+7	Golden State Valkyries	+$2	05-08 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:24:22	mlb det cle 2026 06 14	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0dec8d…
06-15 03:14:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 21?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5604f1…
06-15 02:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa77479…
05-30 18:06:37	Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc38d99…
05-30 17:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x25fff9…
05-30 17:51:20	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8389ae…
05-30 17:29:20	Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1c1b43…
05-30 17:23:14	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd26d3e…
05-20 15:04:28	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xef066f…
05-19 05:27:25	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kayla Cross	Rebecca Sramkova	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x862610…
05-19 04:11:08	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x69692d…
05-19 03:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x489ebb…
05-17 22:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x21b267…
05-17 19:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 18?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x810e38…
05-17 18:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf7dda5…
05-17 16:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4906e8…
05-17 15:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf9389e…
05-12 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x7f82f1…
05-12 11:03:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7af47…
05-12 03:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x334290…
05-12 03:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x7bfef6…
05-10 19:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd8edc5…
05-10 14:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2ec68c…
05-10 14:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x53b18e…
05-10 07:49:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa3180f…
05-09 16:01:56	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x33c1d9…
05-09 15:55:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ad283…
05-08 15:12:05	Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x75bcb4…
05-08 13:49:53	Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x75800c…
05-08 13:46:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x9a18e2…
05-06 14:02:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x48a48a…
05-06 02:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6e3510…
05-06 02:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9f8742…
05-06 02:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcf82ca…
05-06 02:06:10	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0393eb…
05-04 23:13:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x02e990…
05-04 23:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e57dc…
05-04 18:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee3871…
05-04 14:13:26	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x20150e…
05-03 21:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83936a…
05-03 15:46:36	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3b5537…
05-03 15:28:34	Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1cacc5…
05-03 00:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4d5dfc…
05-02 23:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3af0d2…
05-02 19:05:34	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xadd294…
04-28 15:03:20	Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4559f…
04-26 17:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24ab61…
04-26 17:05:04	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xc366c9…
04-26 15:31:28	Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x5d34d2…
04-26 03:49:44	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4f3cad…
04-26 03:40:42	Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xdc4311…
04-26 03:36:40	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x006a7f…
04-26 03:28:46	San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x763809…
04-26 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1cc624…
04-26 02:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x6c68ce…
04-26 02:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8c6ab2…
04-26 02:05:10	UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0xa9add0…