Elastic-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$107

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-15 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$6

Crypto

27% 100% +$3

Politics

17% — —

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-08 13:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 07:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 03:56
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 15:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	05-04 23:13
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	1	$5	6	0	+6	Over	+$1	05-06 02:06
mlb det cle 2026 06 14	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-15 04:24
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$5	7	0	+7	Dplus KIA	+$2	05-04 14:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-09 15:55
Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-06 14:02
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm	1	$5	7	0	+7	Golden State Valkyries	+$2	05-08 15:12
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kayla Cross	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 05:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 17:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 11:03
Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	1	$4	43	0	+43	open	—	04-26 15:31
Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	2	$3	38	38	+0	open	—	04-26 17:05
Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 03:40
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on April 27?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 26?	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 03:01
San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 03:28
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-20 15:04
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	1	$1	53	0	+53	open	—	04-26 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:24:22	mlb det cle 2026 06 14	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0dec8d…
05-30 17:51:20	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8389ae…
05-20 15:04:28	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xef066f…
05-19 05:27:25	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kayla Cross	Rebecca Sramkova	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x862610…
05-19 03:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x489ebb…
05-12 11:03:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7af47…
05-10 07:49:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa3180f…
05-09 15:55:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ad283…
05-08 15:12:05	Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x75bcb4…
05-08 13:46:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x9a18e2…
05-06 14:02:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x48a48a…
05-06 02:06:10	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0393eb…
05-04 23:13:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x02e990…
05-04 14:13:26	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x20150e…
05-03 15:46:36	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3b5537…
04-26 17:20:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24ab61…
04-26 17:05:04	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xc366c9…
04-26 15:31:28	Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x5d34d2…
04-26 03:49:44	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4f3cad…
04-26 03:40:42	Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xdc4311…
04-26 03:36:40	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x006a7f…
04-26 03:28:46	San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x763809…
04-26 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1cc624…
04-26 02:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x6c68ce…
04-26 02:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8c6ab2…
04-26 02:05:10	UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0xa9add0…