Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$566
$1,271 in 24h
Trades
63
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$559
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 19:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $224 | $224 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $10 | $320 | $310 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $200 | $199 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $188 | $188 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $19 | $18 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $56 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $1 | $53 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +217 | $200 | $200 | 6 | 05-10 17:25 |
| Failing-Rebellion 0x1fd2…b7f8 | No | +160 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 05-11 09:04 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:35 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 12:29 |
| Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 08:35 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-11 19:37 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-10 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1e4…0112 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 09:05 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| Simple-Beyond 0xe5f1…6558 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:33 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 05:26 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 07:27 |
| Lumbering-Back 0xfd9a…18f9 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:39 |
| Female-Youngster 0xf880…c6ac | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:41 |
| Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 21:02 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 12:37 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:10 |
| Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:54 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 13:31 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 19:13 |
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 06:18 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:51 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:27 |
| Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x255f61… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4969dc… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32cb2f… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x537bbc… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb6fc4… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfafbd1… |
| 05-11 19:37:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93cce8… |
| 05-11 17:02:37 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x81461c… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe58ea8… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe958d2… |
| 05-11 15:44:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc55ca… |
| 05-11 15:29:15 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8d105… |
| 05-11 15:29:15 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf081b3… |
| 05-11 15:29:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf7627… |
| 05-11 15:29:15 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x588236… |
| 05-11 15:29:15 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86c565… |
| 05-11 15:27:51 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69c712… |
| 05-11 15:17:40 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a2cc8… |
| 05-11 15:17:40 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe223eb… |
| 05-11 14:35:23 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe60f44… |
| 05-11 12:29:21 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xdc67d2… |
| 05-11 10:51:45 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xfefda9… |
| 05-11 10:47:44 | Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xed938c… |
| 05-11 10:33:09 | Simple-Beyond 0xe5f1…6558 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x563f17… |
| 05-11 09:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xe1e4…0112 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x44bad1… |
| 05-11 09:04:59 | Failing-Rebellion 0x1fd2…b7f8 | No | BUY | 160 | 95¢ | $152 | 0xabf719… |
| 05-11 08:44:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfc6010… |
| 05-11 08:35:24 | Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x988746… |
| 05-11 06:18:58 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfca706… |
| 05-11 05:23:38 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x40c77a… |
| 05-11 05:03:11 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xfa9373… |
| 05-11 04:54:02 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1dfb0f… |
| 05-11 03:10:45 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf73d18… |
| 05-11 01:39:40 | Lumbering-Back 0xfd9a…18f9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8102b9… |
| 05-11 00:30:15 | Euphoric-Shot 0x7e07…109f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x22fa20… |
| 05-10 21:02:17 | Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x9b92e5… |
| 05-10 19:13:49 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x102cbc… |
| 05-10 17:25:43 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0xb5394d… |
| 05-10 14:16:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x696ad4… |
| 05-10 13:32:08 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa93289… |
| 05-10 13:31:36 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8df1ab… |
| 05-10 13:31:29 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9e685e… |
| 05-10 12:41:19 | Female-Youngster 0xf880…c6ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe755bb… |
| 05-10 12:37:21 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3244db… |
| 05-10 09:15:03 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1997eb… |
| 05-10 07:36:28 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x215427… |
| 05-10 07:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xef3553… |
| 05-10 07:27:45 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x175602… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xc8d94f… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x4f8a5b… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xabdef0… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x183a56… |
| 05-10 05:27:52 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xcbe938… |
| 05-10 05:27:51 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x02314e… |
| 05-10 05:27:42 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x2e29d0… |
| 05-10 05:26:49 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x3912b6… |
| 05-10 05:26:48 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x4a4fff… |
| 05-10 05:26:48 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x6e2440… |
| 05-10 05:26:46 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 87 | 90¢ | $79 | 0xef55e9… |
| 05-10 05:26:44 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xd398e6… |
| 05-10 05:26:44 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x8d053d… |
| 05-10 05:26:42 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xb27e77… |
| 05-10 04:41:23 | Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5b38c2… |