Trustworthy-Vignette 0x94cf12…c7d339
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.68K
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
186
Trades
3,512
lifetime
Volume
$428.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$26.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-28 02:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
48% 54% +$16,924
Other
40% 60% -$3,696
Sports
7% 54% +$330
Crypto
4% 100% +$11,422
Tech
0% 100% +$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,427 $11,586 82¢ $11.8K +$172 09-21 23:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,853 $8,658 56¢ $7.1K -$1,525 10-28 02:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,889 $1,757 92¢ $1.7K -$9 10-23 08:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,222 $1,400 68¢ $1.5K +$122 10-20 23:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,484 $1,247 97¢ $1.4K +$190 09-15 18:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,578 $1,011 68¢ $1.1K +$70 10-20 23:38
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +997 $900 96¢ $960 +$61 10-19 19:34
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +556 $511 99¢ $552 +$41 10-28 02:30
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +223 $196 95¢ $212 +$15 09-08 17:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -485 -$7 18¢ $-90 -$83 10-24 15:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,214 $2,158 1¢ $32 -$2,126 10-27 19:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -751 -$42 3¢ $-21 +$21 06-29 13:55
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $19 5¢ $4 -$15 10-23 17:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $74 8¢ $0 -$74 10-23 15:17
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $541 1¢ $0 -$541 10-24 00:01