Starry-Bayou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.96K

Unrealized P&L

+$326

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

559

Trades

3,663

lifetime

Volume

$987.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$270

Open exposure

$3.11K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Other

86% 86% +$8,873

Politics

9% 89% +$503

Sports

5% 81% -$415

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No		+3,107	$2,684	92¢	$2.9K	+$175	10-27 22:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+300	$100	84¢	$251	+$151	10-26 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	29	$52.0K	28,532	27,969	+563	No	+$1,574	04-20 07:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	95	$35.3K	19,768	19,768	+0	No	+$1,478	03-13 22:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	91	$35.3K	19,312	19,312	+0	No	+$230	06-16 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	33	$26.5K	6,045	21,562	-15,517	No	-$625	05-26 00:57
cbb queen pur 2026 03 20	9	$16.4K	8,288	8,271	+17	Purdue Boilermakers	+$169	03-21 01:02
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	31	$15.8K	8,514	8,617	-103	No	+$651	01-28 22:33
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	6	$14.5K	7,903	6,750	+1,153	Arizona Wildcats	+$104	03-20 18:40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	8	$13.2K	10,239	6,879	+3,360	Team Spirit	-$1,317	10-11 12:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	9	$12.2K	9,046	9,046	+0	Yes	+$178	10-10 19:01
cbb pvam fl 2026 03 20	9	$11.5K	8,338	3,250	+5,088	Florida Gators	+$72	03-21 02:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	36	$10.2K	6,294	5,994	+300	open	—	10-26 21:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	37	$9.7K	6,927	3,820	+3,107	open	—	10-27 22:39
Thunder vs. Spurs	7	$9.3K	9,855	0	+9,855	Spurs	+$574	05-25 01:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	17	$8.9K	4,037	5,587	-1,550	No	+$43	03-05 21:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	11	$7.8K	3,621	4,661	-1,040	No	-$5	02-09 01:11
dota2 lgd ty 2026 09 26 game1	6	$7.7K	3,922	3,922	+0	Team Yandex	+$153	09-26 13:36
atp spizzir sinner 2026 01 24	29	$7.6K	9,096	9,096	+0	Sinner	-$1,801	01-24 04:10
cbb tenst iowast 2026 03 20	9	$6.7K	6,959	0	+6,959	Iowa State Cyclones	+$216	03-20 18:49
cbb scarst howrd 2026 03 13	16	$6.4K	6,897	0	+6,897	Howard Bison	+$475	03-13 22:39
Charlotte vs. North Texas	5	$6.2K	6,429	0	+6,429	North Texas	+$206	10-10 19:02
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	8	$6.2K	6,277	0	+6,277	Michigan Wolverines	+$66	03-21 17:48
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	10	$6.1K	6,426	0	+6,426	Knicks	+$349	05-26 01:36
cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19	2	$5.5K	2,803	2,802	+1	Michigan Wolverines	+$76	03-20 02:28
Notre Dame vs. Purdue	7	$5.5K	5,693	0	+5,693	Notre Dame	+$192	09-26 18:28
cbb kanst hou 2026 02 14	22	$5.4K	2,757	2,757	+0	Houston Cougars	+$58	02-15 01:27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	12	$5.3K	2,921	2,921	+0	Team Yandex	+$302	10-26 16:03
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	2	$5.1K	2,590	2,590	+0	Yes	+$36	02-25 00:10
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	45	$5.1K	6,560	6,560	+0	Team Yandex	-$1,992	06-04 18:35
cbb cita etnst 2026 01 23	19	$4.9K	2,509	2,553	-44	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	+$148	01-24 03:35
nba was nyk 2026 03 22	1	$4.8K	5,008	0	+5,008	Knicks	+$200	03-22 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:39:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	93¢	$558	0x31671b…
10-27 21:57:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xd056a2…
10-27 21:57:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x9fca6b…
10-27 21:57:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	333	3¢	$10	0x17b327…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0xfea995…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	333	3¢	$10	0xf5820e…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0xe96a05…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xe582ad…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0x49df64…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x41920e…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	479	3¢	$14	0x105d02…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x0e4493…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x0dcc17…
10-27 21:57:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	116	3¢	$3	0x074063…
10-27 21:57:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0xae5b78…
10-27 21:57:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x8d9b1d…
10-27 21:57:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0xade13c…
10-27 21:57:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x5bccae…
10-27 20:00:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc7bdf0…
10-27 18:25:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,630	93¢	$2,446	0x0217a6…
10-27 16:58:30	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xffabb0…
10-27 15:20:45	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	1,203	94¢	$1,124	0x8c5e3d…
10-27 15:20:42	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	748	93¢	$696	0x7b99b2…
10-27 15:12:33	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	253	77¢	$195	0x2796fd…
10-27 15:11:36	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	253	74¢	$187	0x6ed858…
10-26 21:40:56	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x446aea…
10-26 21:40:54	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xc04518…
10-26 21:40:47	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,067	96¢	$1,024	0x88cd77…
10-26 21:39:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	392	96¢	$377	0xcd81a4…
10-26 21:39:56	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	595	96¢	$571	0x62ef51…
10-26 21:25:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x667f3e…
10-26 21:19:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	364	93¢	$338	0x295eec…
10-26 19:38:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x157ebb…
10-26 19:38:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	173	86¢	$149	0xe46b6e…
10-26 19:38:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	173	86¢	$149	0xbbcd83…
10-26 19:38:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x45c6c3…
10-26 19:38:12	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xef33bc…
10-26 19:37:39	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	1,561	86¢	$1,343	0xb1c908…
10-26 18:16:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0xf9f547…
10-26 18:16:50	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	556	62¢	$344	0x9b277e…
10-26 18:16:50	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	394	62¢	$244	0x909cb0…
10-26 17:45:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	1,021	59¢	$602	0x295b09…
10-26 17:05:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	453	87¢	$394	0x8acaff…
10-26 16:03:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	187	98¢	$182	0xcde9bf…
10-26 16:03:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	322	98¢	$314	0xbbc699…
10-26 16:03:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x88d915…
10-26 16:03:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1c30e8…
10-26 16:03:42	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	389	98¢	$380	0xdd4baa…
10-26 16:03:39	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	753	98¢	$735	0x721aeb…
10-26 16:03:38	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0x579405…
10-26 16:02:35	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xed5e7a…
10-26 16:02:32	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	859	94¢	$808	0x1461e8…
10-26 16:02:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0x74be26…
10-26 09:54:21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	555	86¢	$477	0x74b135…
10-26 09:50:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	2,367	86¢	$2,035	0xa1216f…
10-26 06:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x8336a9…
10-25 22:00:57	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x220864…
10-25 21:22:45	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	1,550	90¢	$1,395	0x601d75…
10-25 20:51:59	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	1,200	77¢	$924	0xde4126…
10-25 20:26:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	476	91¢	$433	0x1a0e1f…
10-25 17:43:09	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f30f1…
10-25 17:42:18	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x13bdb7…
10-25 17:39:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	613	83¢	$509	0x9b10db…
10-25 17:37:53	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	2,098	92¢	$1,930	0x2669c8…
10-24 22:30:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	90¢	$163	0x0bec49…
10-24 18:33:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0x4a3618…
10-24 18:32:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0x1c41ac…
10-21 18:01:06	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2,450	98¢	$2,401	0x1266d7…
10-21 09:09:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	205	90¢	$184	0x3e8cf3…
10-21 06:33:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x342a15…
10-21 06:32:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xef8bd0…
10-20 20:49:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	475	93¢	$443	0xe2b241…
10-20 20:49:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0xabb965…
10-20 20:49:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8ba9a8…
10-20 20:47:35	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	652	100¢	$652	0xc89a76…
10-20 20:07:05	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x901d54…
10-20 20:06:51	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x569833…
10-20 20:03:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x8afdf0…
10-20 20:01:39	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b9cb9…
10-20 20:01:36	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x45ac40…
10-20 20:01:30	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x20a910…
10-20 20:01:14	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x932693…
10-20 20:01:09	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa0065e…
10-20 20:00:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6a8356…
10-20 19:59:48	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	353	99¢	$349	0x268519…
10-20 19:59:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	335	81¢	$271	0x0f4486…
10-20 19:57:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	425	82¢	$349	0xb861dc…
10-20 19:24:24	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	333	96¢	$320	0x4ffbb0…
10-20 19:24:23	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	189	96¢	$181	0x4e5698…
10-20 19:23:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x45a91b…
10-20 19:23:41	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x68824d…
10-20 19:22:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x696ab8…
10-20 19:22:11	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	197	95¢	$187	0xdcc086…
10-20 19:22:06	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	444	95¢	$422	0x472b96…
10-20 19:21:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,272	91¢	$1,157	0x861ff9…
10-20 19:21:02	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xb8b540…
10-20 19:19:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	81¢	$86	0x137700…
10-20 19:17:59	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0x77abee…
10-20 19:16:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	136	81¢	$110	0xa9a675…
10-20 19:16:06	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	299	90¢	$269	0xe95942…