Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
482
lifetime
Volume
$7.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$273
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-02 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
60%
Other
22%
Politics
8% 0% $-2
Tech
8%
Sports
2% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -148 $-112 86¢ $-128 $-16 05-28 15:42
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +54 $40 84¢ $45 +$5 06-10 15:44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +34 $10 76¢ $26 +$16 06-10 15:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -69 $-42 24¢ $-16 +$26 06-10 15:42
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +19 $10 76¢ $14 +$4 06-10 15:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +11 $10 75¢ $9 $-1 06-03 13:21
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +9 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 05-28 12:04
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-01 03:04
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +9 $5 56¢ $5 +$0 07-01 14:58
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -13 $-6 38¢ $-5 +$1 05-28 12:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-01 03:09
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +12 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 07-01 14:58
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-1 52¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 04:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -13 $-4 16¢ $-2 +$1 06-03 13:30