Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
457
lifetime
Volume
$7.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$249
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-12 03:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
61%
Other
22%
Politics
8% 0% $-2
Tech
8%
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -148 $-112 80¢ $-118 $-5 05-28 15:42
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +54 $40 76¢ $41 +$1 06-10 15:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -69 $-42 49¢ $-34 +$8 06-10 15:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +34 $10 44¢ $15 +$5 06-10 15:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +19 $10 51¢ $9 $-1 06-10 15:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +11 $10 82¢ $9 $-1 06-03 13:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -9 $-4 61¢ $-6 $-1 06-06 04:22
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -13 $-6 43¢ $-6 +$0 05-28 12:04
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +9 $5 57¢ $5 +$0 05-28 12:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8 $4 39¢ $3 $-1 06-06 04:23
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -13 $-4 24¢ $-3 +$0 06-03 13:30