Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$124
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-19 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38% 100% +$1
Other
28%
Crypto
25%
Tech
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-16 12:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-18 16:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 06-18 16:58
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +2 $2 68¢ $2 $-0 06-13 17:22
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-16 13:18
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-18 17:00