Icky-Bidding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,202

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-07 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

28% 100% +$68

Crypto

8% 0% $-9

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20 total 157pt5	6	$2.1K	2,004	2,004	+0	open	—	03-20 14:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$1.3K	1,120	1,330	-210	open	—	05-29 08:41
cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19 spread home 31pt5	2	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-19 19:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$1.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-12 20:31
spx up or down on february 12 2026	21	$1.0K	0	1,990	-1,990	open	—	02-12 20:03
will trump visit china by march 31	5	$940	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-17 04:49
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$910	500	500	+0	open	—	03-16 09:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	11	$779	756	728	+28	open	—	05-29 16:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$774	840	400	+440	open	—	03-04 12:16
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$750	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	03-03 23:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$741	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	03-03 18:14
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$605	353	351	+3	open	—	03-29 21:49
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$564	0	1,427	-1,427	open	—	03-02 11:34
will company b be accused of insider trading	4	$440	0	884	-884	open	—	02-25 17:13
spx up or down on february 18 2026	4	$424	0	830	-830	open	—	02-18 19:37
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	6	$411	0	836	-836	open	—	02-18 13:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$395	253	253	+0	open	—	04-08 10:44
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$392	250	247	+3	open	—	03-29 21:48
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$328	400	400	+0	open	—	05-22 22:31
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	14	$318	265	261	+4	open	—	03-29 21:48
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	7	$312	0	658	-658	open	—	02-11 10:05
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	1	$300	342	0	+342	open	—	07-22 15:55
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$300	351	0	+351	open	—	07-03 09:10
googl up or down on february 17 2026	4	$234	86	524	-438	open	—	02-17 17:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt5 and 51pt0 million views on day 6	5	$221	0	438	-438	open	—	02-13 12:36
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	1	$220	0	229	-229	open	—	02-23 12:30
open up or down on february 18 2026	1	$220	0	220	-220	open	—	02-18 20:47
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	5	$219	0	436	-436	open	—	02-13 11:59
hood up or down on february 13 2026	2	$219	0	442	-442	open	—	02-13 16:57
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$217	0	434	-434	open	—	02-12 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 13:36:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xc9f282…
07-25 16:51:10	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x57d769…
07-25 16:44:57	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0xa85159…
07-25 16:42:21	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1ea2f0…
07-25 16:38:46	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3ccf3f…
07-25 15:46:25	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6fc322…
07-25 15:46:04	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3c0a08…
07-25 15:45:40	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x55f810…
07-25 15:45:22	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x78ab97…
07-25 15:43:16	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0x30bbc6…
07-25 07:53:36	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x6b2dfc…
07-25 07:51:45	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x42c5d2…
07-24 19:41:52	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x27d84f…
07-24 19:41:42	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xffa0ce…
07-24 19:41:22	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2b29ce…
07-23 19:30:31	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x147c38…
07-23 19:30:16	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xa63c62…
07-22 18:28:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xffd04f…
07-22 15:55:36	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	BUY	342	88¢	$300	0xb28bc5…
07-22 15:21:58	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9753bb…
07-22 15:21:27	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x74df96…
07-22 15:21:16	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x745a68…
07-22 15:20:49	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x96eb6c…
07-22 15:20:25	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xab61a8…
07-15 22:34:01	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x90d4cc…
07-15 22:33:40	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	81	73¢	$59	0x2ea160…
07-14 21:56:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0xd25ba8…
07-09 19:29:16	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xd9bc07…
07-09 19:27:13	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd26a13…
07-09 19:26:56	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8f7d32…
07-08 14:30:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	135	88¢	$119	0x38b231…
07-03 09:11:49	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x837de9…
07-03 09:10:58	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x58d22e…
07-03 09:10:40	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	151	68¢	$103	0x4f0607…
06-30 07:24:16	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x4b02e1…
06-28 17:42:13	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcedd6d…
06-28 16:02:43	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2883fc…
06-28 01:05:40	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x043add…
06-28 01:04:19	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa98b17…
06-28 01:02:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	138	6¢	$8	0xfd7c49…
06-28 00:57:53	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf0e851…
06-27 17:25:43	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe0dc25…
06-24 19:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x75f3da…
06-23 07:55:02	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0xc7a3f7…
06-20 14:54:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0xe67871…
06-20 14:43:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xedc5da…
06-20 11:24:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x88233e…
06-20 11:17:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf67ce7…
06-20 11:17:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0cd564…
06-20 11:15:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x23e0fd…
06-20 11:03:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x559368…
06-19 14:25:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xa9be35…
06-19 13:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xfce0c6…
06-19 10:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x779d12…
06-19 10:03:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x63deb9…
06-19 10:01:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4a3538…
06-19 09:49:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0x72c602…
06-19 09:46:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfd0941…
06-19 09:44:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf10df0…
06-17 22:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	69	22¢	$15	0x8c4448…
06-13 17:35:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	57	57¢	$32	0xd8007f…
06-13 17:28:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0xb32d7a…
06-13 17:22:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x368ef7…
06-12 20:12:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x97454c…
06-12 16:45:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x2a7f7f…
06-12 16:36:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x37c87f…
06-12 16:27:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	76¢	$31	0xf0f3f6…
06-12 16:23:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe3d0ec…
06-12 13:54:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd8fee5…
06-12 13:52:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x6839a2…
06-12 13:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	75¢	$70	0x390b6c…
06-12 13:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x07ddbd…
06-11 21:17:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfe4815…
06-11 21:17:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x911baa…
06-11 20:10:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd7cb00…
06-11 20:09:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x00b281…
06-11 19:33:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xae346d…
06-11 12:58:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x238c70…
06-10 23:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0a8346…
06-10 20:33:12	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4f8393…
06-10 19:59:46	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0xfa0bc7…
06-10 19:47:07	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	74	14¢	$10	0x8b92d0…
06-10 19:28:57	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	118	13¢	$15	0x3af965…
06-10 19:19:49	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xab0b6f…
06-10 19:16:48	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x620f28…
06-10 19:16:24	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x8b20e8…
06-10 18:36:04	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x49a001…
06-10 18:35:54	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x183561…
06-10 18:35:30	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x334738…
06-10 18:07:33	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x68704e…
06-10 18:02:07	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf6955b…
06-10 18:01:58	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcb977e…
06-10 17:29:49	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7ee31a…
06-10 16:58:07	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0x38808b…
06-10 16:57:52	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	47	84¢	$40	0xbb5a21…
06-10 15:32:39	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x533931…
06-10 13:04:55	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd2498a…
06-10 13:03:40	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe73e44…
06-10 13:03:31	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x27b02a…
06-10 13:03:04	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc70db0…