Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
35.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,178
lifetime
Volume
$28.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$750
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-15 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
28% 100% +$68
Crypto
8% 0% $-9
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +351 $300 88¢ $307 +$7 07-03 09:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -135 $-119 90¢ $-122 $-3 07-08 14:30
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +118 $90 74¢ $87 $-3 07-15 22:34
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +81 $61 78¢ $63 +$2 07-15 22:33
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -74 $-31 64¢ $-47 $-16 06-05 22:59
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 -60 $-53 78¢ $-47 +$7 06-06 00:35
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No -61 $-38 61¢ $-37 +$1 06-03 23:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -38 $-33 72¢ $-27 +$6 06-19 09:49
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -18 $-9 52¢ $-9 +$0 06-02 15:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -9 $-0 34¢ $-3 $-2 07-14 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -46 $-30 $-0 +$30 06-19 10:07