Closed-Priest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

713

lifetime

Volume

$8.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-22 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 24% $-28

Other

17% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes		-100	$-10	4¢	$-4	+$6	06-01 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$358	305	305	+0	open	—	05-25 18:29
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 ars1	3	$357	257	257	+0	open	—	01-20 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	15	$329	1,148	315	+833	Down	+$81	05-04 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	14	$251	697	448	+248	open	—	05-29 15:43
btc updown 15m 1770091200	6	$209	171	170	+1	open	—	02-03 04:15
btc updown 15m 1770088500	4	$184	168	167	+1	open	—	02-03 03:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$166	136	136	+0	open	—	03-02 09:59
btc updown 15m 1768447800	6	$145	161	160	+1	open	—	01-15 03:45
btc updown 5m 1776472800	2	$134	111	105	+6	open	—	04-18 00:45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$134	200	200	+0	open	—	01-17 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$131	231	214	+17	open	—	04-30 21:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$124	186	186	+0	open	—	06-17 07:44
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 int	5	$121	352	143	+209	open	—	01-20 21:19
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	1	$119	0	122	-122	open	—	01-31 01:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$119	9,130	139	+8,991	open	—	06-02 12:59
btc updown 15m 1770082200	6	$118	96	95	+1	open	—	02-03 01:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	3	$115	222	222	+0	open	—	05-29 16:13
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	2	$112	96	96	+0	open	—	06-16 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$112	93	93	+0	Up	+$50	05-12 14:40
btc updown 15m 1770146100	6	$110	302	120	+182	open	—	02-03 19:23
btc updown 4h 1770814800	7	$99	424	54	+370	open	—	02-11 16:14
btc updown 5m 1774404900	9	$94	157	124	+34	open	—	03-25 02:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$94	90	90	+0	open	—	05-29 21:24
btc updown 5m 1774404600	6	$81	73	72	+1	open	—	03-25 02:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$80	312	0	+312	open	—	03-02 10:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$80	65	65	+0	open	—	06-08 16:55
btc updown 15m 1770083100	8	$79	145	58	+87	open	—	02-03 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$78	85	58	+27	open	—	05-27 23:41
btc updown 15m 1770092100	6	$77	337	0	+337	open	—	02-03 04:24
btc updown 15m 1770147000	6	$74	85	79	+6	open	—	02-03 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:51:32	btc updown 5m 1782129000	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x0fe7a0…
06-22 11:51:01	btc updown 5m 1782129000	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9bbeed…
06-22 11:48:44	btc updown 5m 1782128700	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x1e2606…
06-22 11:48:29	btc updown 5m 1782128700	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xa8ef0e…
06-22 11:46:26	btc updown 5m 1782128700	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7e2ba2…
06-17 21:28:07	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8a7d2e…
06-17 21:26:53	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeade0c…
06-17 21:26:31	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd07607…
06-17 21:26:17	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x09cd9b…
06-17 21:25:40	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x44e4bf…
06-17 21:25:17	btc updown 5m 1781731500	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x303809…
06-17 21:13:59	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x538976…
06-17 21:12:50	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf30378…
06-17 21:12:49	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6c965…
06-17 21:10:46	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x733626…
06-17 21:10:43	btc updown 5m 1781730600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x88a6b4…
06-17 07:44:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	186	46¢	$86	0x3054a7…
06-16 17:44:47	btc updown 15m 1781631000	Up	SELL	15	64¢	$9	0xb65d46…
06-16 17:44:19	btc updown 15m 1781631000	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xca2da7…
06-16 02:42:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xd78bdb…
06-16 02:41:28	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	96	91¢	$87	0x0b7bff…
06-14 00:39:39	btc updown 5m 1781397300	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x395c2e…
06-12 02:25:58	btc updown 5m 1781231100	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa2ab85…
06-12 02:25:34	btc updown 5m 1781231100	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7ae8ab…
06-12 02:23:49	btc updown 5m 1781230800	Up	SELL	52	73¢	$38	0xcea6ae…
06-12 02:22:51	btc updown 5m 1781230800	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x15c248…
06-12 02:21:33	btc updown 5m 1781230800	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x59e3b6…
06-12 02:20:54	btc updown 5m 1781230800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x429173…
06-12 02:20:31	btc updown 5m 1781230800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1d6499…
06-11 13:16:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0xd22d02…
06-10 15:08:03	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0871d1…
06-10 15:06:00	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa10c46…
06-10 15:05:33	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc19fc7…
06-10 15:04:48	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Down	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x9ef382…
06-10 15:03:03	btc updown 15m 1781103600	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x412a60…
06-10 14:58:49	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x31dd0f…
06-10 14:58:24	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0xb046db…
06-10 14:57:49	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xdccc2a…
06-10 14:57:49	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x39f5ae…
06-10 14:56:51	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf231fc…
06-10 14:53:51	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3ffff8…
06-10 14:52:31	btc updown 15m 1781102700	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa28544…
06-10 14:41:48	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	54	42¢	$23	0xe956d2…
06-10 14:23:10	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x28f3b8…
06-10 14:18:06	btc updown 5m 1781100900	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x8f744b…
06-10 14:17:19	btc updown 5m 1781100900	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb51eb4…
06-10 04:03:01	btc updown 5m 1781064000	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x067866…
06-10 04:02:27	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xe0d07c…
06-09 09:42:03	btc updown 5m 1780998000	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x47c373…
06-09 09:41:48	btc updown 5m 1780998000	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9b0eec…
06-09 09:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xba606f…
06-09 09:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x68374b…
06-09 09:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x60fbee…
06-09 09:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x48e16a…
06-08 20:53:43	btc updown 5m 1780951800	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa2d239…
06-08 17:41:55	btc updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0b4e5b…
06-08 16:59:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x7d247f…
06-08 16:55:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x5f3ecf…
06-08 16:41:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x561f54…
06-02 17:08:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf8a4a2…
06-02 17:02:30	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	9¢	$13	0x56e105…
06-02 16:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0ba0a4…
06-02 16:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa41ca3…
06-02 16:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	210	7¢	$15	0xbb620c…
06-02 13:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7f2336…
06-02 13:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x58f76c…
06-02 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x5442b9…
06-02 13:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x452566…
06-02 13:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xa174f8…
06-02 12:59:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,444	1¢	$40	0xf3b9f2…
06-01 20:34:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0xb3cfc4…
06-01 20:33:37	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xba6a35…
05-30 21:41:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xceb0b0…
05-30 21:41:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x15d4bf…
05-30 21:24:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	183	9¢	$16	0x0d097f…
05-30 21:23:36	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb63d7e…
05-30 21:22:31	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd863e7…
05-30 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0x9eef31…
05-30 21:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8e9969…
05-30 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x131708…
05-30 04:06:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x0ac7ed…
05-30 04:05:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xc3587f…
05-30 00:08:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	25¢	$35	0xca93f2…
05-29 21:24:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	74¢	$67	0x6b53d8…
05-29 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb69d6…
05-29 20:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xc8c500…
05-29 20:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0xababdf…
05-29 20:39:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	19¢	$35	0x4dd7f5…
05-29 19:17:54	Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	AM Gaming	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcc0c61…
05-29 18:54:54	Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	AM Gaming	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x303ff5…
05-29 18:51:46	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner	Sharks	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x868b01…
05-29 18:49:23	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner	Sharks	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfa7033…
05-29 18:21:19	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	265	6¢	$17	0x9a1640…
05-29 18:19:41	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe24ab4…
05-29 18:17:53	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0xf4b1fd…
05-29 16:15:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0x10bd55…
05-29 16:13:12	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	24¢	$49	0x928b81…
05-29 15:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x799204…
05-29 15:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6c3813…
05-29 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x295bc6…