Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$33

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-09 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

34% — —

Crypto

16% 0% $-50

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+18	$18	97¢	$18	+$0	06-06 01:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+105	$10	11¢	$11	+$1	06-02 16:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+21	$5	16¢	$3	$-2	06-06 01:00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	+77	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	06-09 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$196	124	124	+0	open	—	04-09 10:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	05-26 02:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$113	72	72	+0	open	—	05-25 11:56
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	1	$113	169	0	+169	open	—	04-09 10:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$52	57	0	+57	open	—	05-30 19:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	1	$50	78	0	+78	No	$-50	05-07 15:18
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	2	$41	32	32	+0	open	—	03-15 13:16
will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	2	$31	59	0	+59	open	—	03-13 18:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 11	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-11 16:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 08:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	04-08 08:15
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$24	38	23	+15	open	—	03-21 16:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$21	243	243	+0	open	—	03-17 15:20
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$20	93	0	+93	open	—	06-05 12:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	1	$20	64	0	+64	open	—	04-13 06:29
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$20	53	53	+0	open	—	03-10 15:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-06 01:00
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	04-08 09:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$11	34	0	+34	open	—	04-01 09:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	105	0	+105	open	—	06-02 16:18
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 18:17
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-21 23:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 10	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-09 22:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-22 18:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$5	43	43	+0	No	+$1	04-08 22:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	06-06 01:00
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	1	$5	124	0	+124	open	—	03-31 16:57
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	1	$4	32	0	+32	open	—	03-23 21:35
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:09:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x013db5…
06-06 01:00:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x244f4a…
06-06 01:00:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe44a3a…
06-05 12:53:15	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	93	22¢	$20	0x42c69b…
06-02 16:18:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x79c34c…
05-30 19:17:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x6555de…
05-26 20:52:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x37f91c…
05-26 02:40:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x0f6319…
05-25 12:00:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x6e468e…
05-25 11:56:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	72	91¢	$65	0x696572…
05-21 23:06:06	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x6af3ee…
05-07 15:22:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0x70e2f4…
05-07 15:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xbcfddd…
05-07 14:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x3a87fc…
04-23 16:03:44	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbecae4…
04-22 08:03:20	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcd8126…
04-22 08:02:14	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x016193…
04-13 15:36:45	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xb9f174…
04-13 06:29:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xf25052…
04-11 16:20:09	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4dc179…
04-11 16:16:59	bitcoin above 72k on april 11	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1a3c0d…
04-11 09:41:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 11	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x3f876b…
04-09 22:41:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x68814d…
04-09 10:13:59	highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	169	67¢	$113	0xb285b4…
04-09 10:01:35	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	124	89¢	$110	0xf887d1…
04-08 22:40:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x9c24de…
04-08 22:40:01	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	124	69¢	$86	0x0ba89b…
04-08 12:01:47	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xa90b17…
04-08 09:30:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xc0ac1c…
04-08 08:15:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xbd96dd…
04-08 08:14:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1df84c…
04-01 09:43:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x1a2576…
03-31 16:57:37	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	No	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0xed118e…
03-25 09:16:29	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x005453…
03-25 09:15:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x23b57c…
03-25 00:52:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x061375…
03-25 00:51:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd2986f…
03-23 21:35:29	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x8fbfea…
03-22 22:30:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x9c1dfc…
03-22 22:24:31	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xfcd7c7…
03-22 18:19:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x791f9c…
03-22 18:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x791558…
03-21 16:36:45	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x329a2a…
03-21 16:35:37	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x15580e…
03-21 16:34:51	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xaf313d…
03-21 16:33:59	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xf27311…
03-21 16:25:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x644504…
03-19 08:16:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x71f3e7…
03-18 17:17:43	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xdfbbd2…
03-18 17:15:43	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x021af5…
03-17 15:20:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	243	5¢	$11	0x2ef1e5…
03-17 14:09:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x31d9a4…
03-17 14:09:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x646f1b…
03-17 14:08:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2d0c38…
03-17 14:06:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x6301d9…
03-15 13:16:55	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x4c9606…
03-13 18:14:45	will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x75df8f…
03-12 09:20:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x80ff95…
03-12 09:20:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xed1e32…
03-12 09:19:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0b8748…
03-12 09:19:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8993ea…
03-12 09:19:33	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfa4dd2…
03-12 09:19:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc3766…
03-12 09:19:19	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfff931…
03-12 09:19:13	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5c34c9…
03-12 09:19:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x373bc5…
03-12 09:18:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x647362…
03-11 23:31:05	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x072285…
03-10 15:59:21	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x19460f…
03-10 15:12:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	243	4¢	$10	0x9ab52d…
03-10 15:07:25	will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x53567b…
03-09 16:36:49	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x95dceb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	44	$595.9K	11,132	06-10 04:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	38	$319.0K	24,726	06-10 04:00
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	37	$60.8K	856	06-08 20:16
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	31	$12.3M	20,529	06-10 02:52
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	31	$414.4K	4,383	06-09 10:32
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	31	$134.1K	11,439	06-01 01:51
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	31	$41.5K	901	06-09 16:50
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	29	$149.7K	20,860	06-09 20:47