Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
-$167
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved
179
Trades
196
lifetime
Volume
$1.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$23
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-25 17:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
86%
13%
-$467
Politics
10%
25%
+$193
Sports
2%
0%
-$37
Crypto
2%
33%
+$154
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +575 | $50 | 2¢ | $10 | -$40 | 05-11 18:35 | |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | +748 | $110 | 1¢ | $7 | -$103 | 05-19 17:17 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | +91 | $10 | 4¢ | $4 | -$6 | 05-25 13:13 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | +62 | $10 | 4¢ | $2 | -$8 | 05-25 13:12 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +125 | $10 | 0¢ | $0 | -$10 | 05-22 17:31 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | 2 | $110 | 748 | 0 | +748 | open | — | 05-19 17:17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 1 | $100 | 333 | 0 | +333 | Yes | +$233 | 04-09 17:44 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 1 | $50 | 575 | 0 | +575 | open | — | 05-11 18:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $20 | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | -$20 | 04-25 14:05 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | 2 | $20 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$20 | 06-11 18:08 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2 | $20 | 2,250 | 0 | +2,250 | No | -$20 | 05-22 17:32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2 | $20 | 1,623 | 0 | +1,623 | No | -$20 | 05-22 17:32 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | 2 | $20 | 30 | 0 | +30 | Yes | +$10 | 06-11 18:08 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | 2 | $20 | 148 | 0 | +148 | No | -$20 | 06-23 13:48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2? | 1 | $10 | 9,102 | 0 | +9,102 | Yes | -$10 | 05-01 20:29 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | 1 | $10 | 62 | 0 | +62 | No | -$10 | 06-11 17:47 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? | 1 | $10 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$10 | 05-22 17:34 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | 1 | $10 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:04 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1 | $10 | 400 | 0 | +400 | No | -$10 | 06-11 17:48 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | 1 | $10 | 125 | 0 | +125 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:03 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | 1 | $10 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Yes | +$10 | 06-11 17:46 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | 1 | $10 | 62 | 0 | +62 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:05 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | 1 | $10 | 25 | 0 | +25 | No | -$10 | 06-11 18:06 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | 1 | $10 | 238 | 0 | +238 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:08 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | 1 | $10 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | -$10 | 06-19 17:13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026? | 1 | $10 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | -$10 | 04-25 14:11 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | 1 | $10 | 1,321 | 0 | +1,321 | No | -$10 | 04-25 14:12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2? | 1 | $10 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | -$10 | 05-01 20:28 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | 1 | $10 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Yes | +$10 | 06-14 14:06 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $10 | 62 | 0 | +62 | open | — | 05-25 13:12 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | 1 | $10 | 62 | 0 | +62 | No | -$10 | 06-19 17:11 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | 1 | $10 | 200 | 0 | +200 | No | -$10 | 06-25 17:48 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 1 | $10 | 156 | 0 | +156 | No | -$10 | 05-22 17:31 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | 1 | $10 | 125 | 0 | +125 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:05 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | 1 | $10 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$10 | 06-14 14:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||