Prize-Leaver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-25 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$62

Politics

40% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	2	$984	526	526	+0	open	—	07-25 03:26
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	2	$894	467	467	+0	open	—	05-10 08:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$873	452	452	+0	open	—	05-09 07:36
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$637	337	337	+0	open	—	04-12 07:57
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	1	$499	512	0	+512	open	—	05-14 09:37
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$486	498	0	+498	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$12	05-13 09:22
Spread: FathUnionSport (-2.5)	2	$460	484	0	+484	OC Safi	+$24	05-11 12:50
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$447	460	0	+460	Como 1907	+$13	05-10 08:28
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	1	$434	447	0	+447	Manchester United FC	+$13	05-09 08:00
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$355	192	192	+0	open	—	07-05 02:54
lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	1	$335	346	0	+346	open	—	04-13 09:24
epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	1	$319	339	0	+339	open	—	04-12 08:09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$126	300	300	+0	open	—	05-19 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 03:26:28	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	526	94¢	$492	0x8b221d…
07-25 02:55:04	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	526	94¢	$492	0x656bc4…
07-05 02:54:37	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	192	93¢	$178	0xc74102…
07-05 02:18:19	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	192	92¢	$177	0x450cf1…
05-19 09:00:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	55	21¢	$11	0x178a91…
05-19 08:43:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x8c3d3c…
05-19 08:39:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	45	21¢	$10	0xc16cda…
05-19 07:35:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xcce282…
05-14 09:37:47	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	512	97¢	$499	0x4c9b2d…
05-13 09:22:04	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	498	98¢	$486	0x21e115…
05-11 12:50:38	Spread: FathUnionSport (-2.5)	OC Safi	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x9e2ba4…
05-11 12:49:30	Spread: FathUnionSport (-2.5)	OC Safi	BUY	455	95¢	$433	0x5f945d…
05-10 08:28:11	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	460	97¢	$447	0x130af4…
05-10 08:04:32	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	467	96¢	$447	0x3083fd…
05-10 05:35:26	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	467	96¢	$447	0x5be4f4…
05-09 08:00:10	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	447	97¢	$434	0x2fc165…
05-09 07:36:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	177	96¢	$170	0xf3bcf1…
05-09 07:36:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	275	96¢	$264	0x5bb065…
05-09 06:32:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	452	97¢	$439	0x80080c…
04-13 09:24:33	lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	Getafe CF	BUY	346	97¢	$335	0x1ef510…
04-12 08:09:43	epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	339	94¢	$319	0x874504…
04-12 07:57:59	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	337	95¢	$319	0x608f1e…
04-12 07:22:35	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	337	94¢	$317	0x51cacc…