Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$2.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$305
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-26 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
21% 50% $-13
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +573 $214 38¢ $215 +$0 06-14 09:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $35 52¢ $28 $-7 06-19 16:03
Discord IPO before 2027? No -43 $-16 63¢ $-27 $-11 06-10 12:27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -51 $-11 33¢ $-17 $-6 06-18 19:03
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -188 $-18 $-13 +$4 06-19 16:03
WHOOP IPO before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 18¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 19:02
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes -29 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-18 19:02