Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
116
lifetime
Volume
$2.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$174
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-08 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
77%
Politics
22% 50% $-13
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +377 $138 37¢ $140 +$2 06-09 20:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -17 $-16 97¢ $-16 +$0 06-08 20:42
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $15 15¢ $15 $-0 06-04 23:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -23 $-5 18¢ $-4 +$1 06-03 19:28