Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$2.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$401
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-26 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
21% 50% $-13
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +573 $214 50¢ $290 +$75 06-14 09:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $35 68¢ $36 +$1 06-19 16:03
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -188 $-18 12¢ $-23 $-5 06-19 16:03
Discord IPO before 2027? No -43 $-16 44¢ $-19 $-3 06-10 12:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -17 $-16 100¢ $-17 $-0 06-08 20:42
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -51 $-11 24¢ $-12 $-2 06-18 19:03
WHOOP IPO before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 18¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 19:02
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes -29 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-18 19:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $1 $-0 $-1 06-14 09:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes -16 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 19:03