Vapid-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$7.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-08 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

76% 71% +$18

Other

21% 38% -$58

Tech

3% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	30	$1.5K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$0	05-14 03:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$405	279	279	+0	No	$0	05-11 14:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	11	$404	443	443	+0	No	$0	05-15 23:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	11	$393	297	297	+0	No	+$2	05-14 18:45
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	9	$386	326	326	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$356	182	182	+0	No	+$0	05-13 13:55
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	8	$250	394	394	+0	open	—	05-13 20:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$229	431	431	+0	No	+$5	04-25 21:17
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$228	322	322	+0	No	+$0	04-22 14:37
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$210	107	107	+0	No	+$2	05-07 17:34
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$207	105	105	+0	No	$0	05-06 17:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$202	105	105	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 15:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	6	$193	257	257	+0	No	+$1	04-16 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$191	101	101	+0	No	+$0	04-24 04:41
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$191	97	97	+0	No	$0	04-24 16:09
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	4	$186	94	94	+0	No	+$0	04-28 02:20
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$179	91	91	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 08:05
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	5	$177	282	282	+0	No	$0	04-18 21:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$174	225	225	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 17:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$173	89	89	+0	No	+$2	04-18 15:43
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$172	90	90	+0	No	-$1	04-25 07:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$169	87	87	+0	No	+$1	04-26 05:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$58	61	0	+61	Yes	-$58	05-25 13:29
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	1	$54	57	0	+57	No	+$3	05-18 06:41
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$45	47	0	+47	Yes	+$2	05-25 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	05-21 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$1	05-22 01:41
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	3	$37	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	05-19 22:38
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	3	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	06-08 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:52:16	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x6265d5…
06-08 07:15:12	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb5e51…
06-08 07:15:12	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x725e4f…
05-25 13:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0x421532…
05-25 11:22:30	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xf8cee6…
05-25 08:48:05	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x9435e7…
05-25 08:48:05	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x6ca091…
05-22 01:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x578d53…
05-21 03:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb777c7…
05-21 03:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x69593d…
05-19 22:38:22	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xcb5993…
05-19 22:38:22	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x1b57a0…
05-19 08:17:01	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x92a137…
05-18 06:41:41	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x5525ef…
05-18 01:23:04	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xea2dee…
05-18 01:23:04	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x13144c…
05-15 23:41:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xdc331a…
05-15 21:10:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf68e9f…
05-15 17:57:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$98	0xdda071…
05-15 11:32:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	144	2¢	$3	0xbdd0da…
05-15 10:27:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$4	0x854a9d…
05-14 23:19:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x9f7c08…
05-14 23:19:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9918f7…
05-14 23:15:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x5e4e3a…
05-14 22:03:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x852543…
05-14 18:45:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa73949…
05-14 18:45:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x9cf423…
05-14 18:45:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xdbcaa4…
05-14 13:25:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x568133…
05-14 13:25:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x14a6e0…
05-14 03:38:53	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x747a86…
05-13 22:32:15	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc7d207…
05-13 20:09:19	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0xd8bd93…
05-13 18:34:31	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	93¢	$104	0xe04e0f…
05-13 17:53:53	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0x15b53d…
05-13 16:37:04	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x39869d…
05-13 13:55:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x955741…
05-13 12:41:03	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	8¢	$17	0x3f1e4b…
05-13 11:18:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0xfc5531…
05-13 11:16:10	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x7a52ec…
05-13 11:16:10	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0x6c2b60…
05-13 11:16:10	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	8¢	$8	0x206dcc…
05-13 10:58:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x3f611f…
05-13 09:50:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0xc79695…
05-13 08:50:26	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x1654dc…
05-13 08:49:26	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x540c0e…
05-13 04:45:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x4da2ae…
05-13 04:37:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x97219f…
05-12 12:44:04	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	2¢	$2	0x30f822…
05-12 12:35:38	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xd4f3da…
05-12 12:35:38	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$1	0x7147dd…
05-12 12:35:38	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6ee267…
05-12 09:32:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x8718f0…
05-12 09:32:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3423bb…
05-12 05:35:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf762a0…
05-12 05:35:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0x952f45…
05-12 02:32:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x45514a…
05-11 22:31:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xba0bc3…
05-11 14:58:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x99582e…
05-11 12:18:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0xb5c44f…
05-11 07:49:44	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x9400d5…
05-11 04:40:52	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf95bab…
05-10 11:58:20	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xdccce3…
05-10 11:58:20	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x95aa74…
05-10 10:40:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x947452…
05-09 17:51:47	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x5cf717…
05-09 13:35:30	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x7559ce…
05-09 10:14:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xc9d06c…
05-09 10:14:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x1cad5d…
05-09 06:10:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xd552de…
05-09 06:10:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcb83a3…
05-09 02:28:38	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xbcaf07…
05-09 02:28:38	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x9fce3d…
05-08 22:43:10	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x877766…
05-08 17:00:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	2¢	$2	0xd5a6bc…
05-08 15:43:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x33e05e…
05-08 15:43:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x1ab645…
05-08 02:57:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	195	8¢	$15	0x538dcf…
05-08 01:48:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xd8237c…
05-08 01:48:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xad4807…
05-08 01:48:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	93	8¢	$7	0x53d57d…
05-07 17:34:00	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xae399b…
05-07 15:03:16	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x3db716…
05-07 04:29:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$2	0xaac4a7…
05-07 03:20:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x11cfd3…
05-07 03:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x804c42…
05-07 00:35:49	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe02db3…
05-07 00:35:49	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x8f02c2…
05-06 20:02:21	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x96b8ae…
05-06 17:42:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xfee82e…
05-06 15:21:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x23cd02…
05-05 22:38:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$3	0xa516f1…
05-05 19:46:00	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc5b1d7…
05-05 19:46:00	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x3d9c01…
05-05 19:46:00	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x10ad1a…
05-05 19:13:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x82adb6…
05-05 14:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f2c98…
05-05 14:15:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$90	0x24caeb…
05-05 09:58:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0xd99502…
05-05 09:58:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x34dbc4…