Icy-Attainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2.91K

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$206.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$328

Open exposure

$18.1K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-19 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

35% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+33,800	$21,510	54¢	$18.1K	$-3,427	07-19 07:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-556	$-524	1¢	$-6	+$518	06-17 10:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	58	$30.9K	24,597	25,153	-556	open	—	07-10 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	25	$21.5K	33,800	0	+33,800	open	—	07-19 07:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	52	$19.9K	26,156	6,000	+20,156	open	—	06-29 20:30
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$19.0K	20,231	0	+20,231	open	—	07-03 15:21
wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	24	$10.3K	13,400	3,000	+10,400	open	—	07-10 01:55
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	6	$10.1K	10,124	432	+9,692	open	—	07-08 22:36
wnba ind la 2026 07 08	1	$10.0K	10,228	0	+10,228	open	—	07-09 03:44
wnba chi phx 2026 07 07	2	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	07-08 04:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	42	$6.9K	5,461	5,422	+39	open	—	04-16 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$6.4K	3,822	3,822	+0	open	—	06-19 08:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	27	$6.1K	3,690	3,690	+0	open	—	04-15 05:16
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	6	$6.0K	3,388	3,388	+0	open	—	06-19 07:54
bkfibaqam uru arg 2026 07 02	64	$5.3K	3,237	3,000	+237	open	—	07-03 02:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	10	$3.3K	2,181	2,181	+0	open	—	06-18 03:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	23	$3.2K	3,590	0	+3,590	open	—	05-10 06:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-17 23:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$2.9K	2,265	2,270	-5	open	—	03-01 13:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.7K	3,195	0	+3,195	open	—	05-24 18:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$2.5K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-24 10:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	43	$2.3K	1,069,129	0	+1,069,129	open	—	05-21 19:14
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	11	$2.3K	8,500	1,000	+7,500	open	—	06-18 13:07
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$2.2K	7,303	156	+7,146	open	—	05-19 00:03
wnba chi la 2026 07 10	1	$2.0K	2,135	0	+2,135	open	—	07-11 03:50
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	34	$1.9K	2,492	0	+2,492	open	—	05-15 05:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	02-01 23:13
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.7K	1,043	761	+282	open	—	05-14 10:50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.6K	1,308	1,308	+0	open	—	02-02 02:06
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	29	$1.5K	2,013	0	+2,013	open	—	02-02 02:11
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	12	$1.3K	935	1,000	-65	open	—	06-12 14:34
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$1.1K	5,226	0	+5,226	open	—	05-19 01:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 07:28:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	403	50¢	$202	0xcd5fae…
07-19 07:00:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x81d783…
07-19 06:14:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x8d03a2…
07-19 06:14:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb4f10b…
07-19 05:42:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xed08df…
07-19 05:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xaa2745…
07-19 05:40:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x778731…
07-13 15:34:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,167	59¢	$3,048	0x9b2a3d…
07-13 15:29:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xeee04d…
07-13 15:16:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x2035b4…
07-13 14:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,786	59¢	$1,054	0x5ffe51…
07-13 02:09:04	wnba ind las 2026 07 12	Indiana Fever	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0x4da2dd…
07-13 02:08:41	wnba ind las 2026 07 12	Indiana Fever	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x75991e…
07-13 02:08:23	wnba ind las 2026 07 12	Indiana Fever	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x01addd…
07-11 23:10:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	479	62¢	$297	0xe68c5e…
07-11 23:07:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,019	62¢	$632	0xa6a242…
07-11 23:07:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	631	62¢	$391	0x5995fc…
07-11 22:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,860	62¢	$1,153	0xba68c7…
07-11 22:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xa862f0…
07-11 22:26:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,766	63¢	$6,152	0xcffe05…
07-11 03:50:32	wnba chi la 2026 07 10	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	2,135	94¢	$2,000	0x4c6ccc…
07-10 23:27:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,618	92¢	$2,408	0x1bcca3…
07-10 23:20:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xad23f5…
07-10 22:58:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	186	63¢	$117	0x7bd5fc…
07-10 22:57:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xc7abea…
07-10 22:55:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	350	92¢	$322	0xceb6ce…
07-10 22:45:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	720	92¢	$662	0xb62da7…
07-10 22:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	187	92¢	$172	0x7c5b99…
07-10 22:36:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	114	92¢	$105	0x138203…
07-10 22:25:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xef9364…
07-10 22:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x9fd51e…
07-10 22:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x031539…
07-10 22:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc6f1b4…
07-10 22:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0008a4…
07-10 22:25:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2bb4c9…
07-10 01:55:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Seattle Storm	SELL	2,667	1¢	$15	0x1a82d8…
07-10 01:53:13	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaa2f3f…
07-10 01:53:08	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x57a0ca…
07-10 01:53:08	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,870	99¢	$2,850	0x4b47a3…
07-10 01:52:13	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Seattle Storm	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xe6bd53…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xee8d82…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xee543e…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,610	100¢	$2,602	0xe82eed…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	1,269	99¢	$1,257	0xdf45f5…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd69b70…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9da641…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x688a15…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x454d2f…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a23a4…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x15d2d7…
07-10 01:51:38	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x046e46…
07-10 01:50:17	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Seattle Storm	BUY	3,000	3¢	$87	0xb6d193…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	700	95¢	$665	0xed1e16…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc6c493…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb43829…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xa0c99b…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x8358f1…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,045	0x5dfa00…
07-10 00:52:43	wnba sea atl 2026 07 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x3f36f4…
07-09 03:44:44	wnba ind la 2026 07 08	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	10,228	98¢	$10,000	0x62cd74…
07-08 22:36:23	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	SELL	432	95¢	$412	0x73cd73…
07-08 10:49:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xd309ac…
07-08 10:46:43	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xedcc1c…
07-08 10:46:10	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x102370…
07-08 10:45:13	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xebfc0e…
07-08 10:45:02	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0x70d80a…
07-08 10:44:01	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	9,869	96¢	$9,467	0x47dbb9…
07-08 10:40:02	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xf38b2d…
07-08 10:37:19	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x11b2b9…
07-08 10:36:52	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	213	63¢	$134	0x3f69dc…
07-08 10:34:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	261	55¢	$144	0xeb3347…
07-08 04:04:08	wnba chi phx 2026 07 07	Chicago Sky	BUY	5,800	99¢	$5,759	0x3e0e83…
07-08 04:01:20	wnba chi phx 2026 07 07	Chicago Sky	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,192	0x59239b…
07-07 02:43:56	wnba sea la 2026 07 06	Seattle Storm	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x78f21c…
07-07 02:05:26	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x83f183…
07-07 02:05:25	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	135	66¢	$89	0xe78ea6…
07-07 02:05:25	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4ec87a…
07-07 02:05:25	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x40d4e6…
07-07 02:05:25	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x324477…
07-07 02:05:25	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	174	66¢	$115	0x15c7ab…
07-07 02:05:23	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0xd8ec9b…
07-07 02:05:23	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	131	66¢	$86	0xd4767f…
07-07 02:05:23	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcae0cb…
07-07 02:05:23	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	380	66¢	$251	0x133a03…
07-07 02:05:22	wnba conn min 2026 07 06	Connecticut Sun	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4543d7…
07-07 01:40:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x3413bf…
07-07 01:35:05	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	SELL	1,051	4¢	$42	0x8f459b…
07-06 14:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	577	86¢	$496	0x8c16e6…
07-06 13:52:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xe705bc…
07-06 13:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	380	86¢	$327	0xd197dd…
07-06 13:41:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x212b3b…
07-06 13:39:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xaf338b…
07-06 13:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc7abcd…
07-06 13:20:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x02af8f…
07-06 13:19:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$30	0xef1a86…
07-06 13:11:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0xc26de1…
07-06 13:10:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1f2e55…
07-06 13:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0x734290…
07-06 12:58:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	182	86¢	$156	0xe93be4…
07-06 12:55:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	411	86¢	$353	0x863ec3…