Realized P&L
+$17.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$17.5K
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
84
Trades
767
lifetime
Volume
$262.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$343
Open exposure
$3.94K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-19 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
64%
78%
+$5,124
Politics
36%
66%
+$14,297
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$1,461
Crypto
0%
0%
-$20
Sports
0%
0%
-$13
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | +33,800 | $21,510 | 12¢ | $3.9K | -$17,623 | 07-19 07:28 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | -1,000 | -$110 | 3¢ | $-32 | +$78 | 05-23 20:32 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | -374 | -$34 | 6¢ | $-21 | +$13 | 05-23 20:47 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 60 | $31.3K | 25,153 | 25,153 | +0 | No | +$264 | 07-10 23:27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 25 | $21.5K | 33,800 | 0 | +33,800 | open | — | 07-19 07:28 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 52 | $19.9K | 26,156 | 6,000 | +20,156 | No | +$12,144 | 06-29 20:30 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance | 2 | $19.0K | 20,231 | 0 | +20,231 | Argentina | +$1,214 | 07-03 15:21 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | 30 | $10.5K | 13,763 | 2,000 | +11,763 | Yes | +$4,215 | 06-12 14:34 |
| wnba sea atl 2026 07 09 | 24 | $10.3K | 13,400 | 3,000 | +10,400 | Atlanta Dream | +$98 | 07-10 01:55 |
| will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861 | 6 | $10.1K | 10,124 | 432 | +9,692 | Yes | +$392 | 07-08 22:36 |
| wnba ind la 2026 07 08 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,228 | 0 | +10,228 | Los Angeles Sparks | +$228 | 07-09 03:44 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | 1 | $10.0K | 10,026 | 0 | +10,026 | Yes | +$26 | 07-09 21:53 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | 27 | $8.6K | 9,100 | 2,015 | +7,085 | Yes | +$1,370 | 06-20 19:59 |
| wnba chi phx 2026 07 07 | 2 | $7.0K | 7,000 | 0 | +7,000 | Chicago Sky | +$49 | 07-08 04:04 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 42 | $6.9K | 5,461 | 5,422 | +39 | Yes | -$913 | 04-16 07:09 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | 8 | $6.7K | 10,404 | 10,404 | +0 | Yes | -$90 | 06-22 12:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 7 | $6.4K | 3,822 | 3,822 | +0 | No | +$244 | 06-19 08:03 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 27 | $6.1K | 3,690 | 3,690 | +0 | Yes | +$1,241 | 04-15 05:16 |
| will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30 | 6 | $6.0K | 3,388 | 3,388 | +0 | No | +$17 | 06-19 07:54 |
| bkfibaqam uru arg 2026 07 02 | 64 | $5.3K | 3,237 | 3,000 | +237 | Argentina | +$187 | 07-03 02:38 |
| Will Doug Ghim win the 2026 John Deere Classic? | 1 | $5.0K | 5,305 | 0 | +5,305 | No | +$305 | 07-05 15:59 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | 5 | $3.5K | 7,001 | 7,001 | +0 | No | -$484 | 06-22 12:22 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | 10 | $3.3K | 2,181 | 2,181 | +0 | Yes | -$358 | 06-18 03:44 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 23 | $3.2K | 3,590 | 0 | +3,590 | Yes | +$359 | 05-10 06:14 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026 | 3 | $3.1K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | -$526 | 06-17 23:02 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 10 | $2.9K | 2,265 | 2,270 | -5 | Yes | +$1,588 | 03-01 13:34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 5 | $2.7K | 3,195 | 0 | +3,195 | No | +$463 | 05-24 18:54 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | 17 | $2.6K | 5,018 | 5,018 | +0 | No | +$67 | 06-16 22:35 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 5 | $2.5K | 4,058 | 0 | +4,058 | No | +$1,599 | 04-24 10:52 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 43 | $2.3K | 1,069,129 | 0 | +1,069,129 | No | -$2,318 | 05-21 19:14 |
| will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30 | 11 | $2.3K | 8,500 | 1,000 | +7,500 | Yes | -$1,376 | 06-18 13:07 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 9 | $2.2K | 7,303 | 156 | +7,146 | No | -$2,018 | 05-19 00:03 |
| wnba chi la 2026 07 10 | 1 | $2.0K | 2,135 | 0 | +2,135 | Los Angeles Sparks | +$135 | 07-11 03:50 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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