Occasional-Email — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

126

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$49.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$339

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-22 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

68% 93% +$17,037

Politics

30% 100% +$13,159

Crypto

2% 100% +$98

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?	2	$13.4K	15,537	15,537	+0	open	—	09-22 12:59
will jordan strike iran by march 31	2	$10.1K	10,850	10,850	+0	No	+$9,222	03-01 03:06
will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$8.3K	8,415	8,415	+0	No	+$8,163	03-21 16:14
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$4.9K	4,666	4,666	+0	No	+$3,826	03-01 03:08
amzn above 235 on february 6 2026	3	$4.6K	4,707	4,707	+0	No	+$4,043	02-01 12:26
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$3.3K	3,775	3,775	+0	Yes	+$2,226	04-15 13:45
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$1.5K	1,697	1,697	+0	Yes	+$967	04-15 13:41
val ega ag2 2026 02 03 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$1.2K	1,233	1,233	+0	Evil Geniuses Academy	+$1,110	02-01 12:18
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$409	409	0	+409	Yes	+$0	02-28 13:32
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	2	$400	351	351	+0	No	+$260	02-28 13:17
spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	2	$391	455	455	+0	Down	+$0	02-19 23:31
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$333	366	366	+0	Yes	+$245	04-15 13:39
will trump say friend of mine during meetings with chancellor merz	2	$201	205	205	+0	Yes	+$111	02-28 13:27
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	2	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	+$96	03-21 11:03
bitcoin above 98k on january 18	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	01-18 08:48
bitcoin up or down on january 14	1	$63	63	0	+63	Up	+$0	01-14 15:01
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	2	$57	66	66	+0	No	+$40	03-21 10:56
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$51	63	0	+63	Yes	+$12	01-06 07:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 24	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	02-24 06:49
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	02-20 00:16
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	02-18 12:50
bitcoin above 94k on january 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-02 04:45
nflx above 80 on january 2 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-02 04:45
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$14	21	0	+21	No	-$14	03-29 15:40
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-14 13:09
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 19?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-19 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-28 14:13
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$12	20	0	+20	Spain	-$12	07-12 13:18
tsla above 505 on january 2 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-02 04:46
ethereum above 2800 on january 5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-05 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 13:00:54	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8713dc…
09-22 13:00:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x249fd8…
09-22 13:00:45	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6be85a…
09-22 13:00:42	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa074e9…
09-22 13:00:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe7b1a2…
09-22 13:00:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7dabf5…
09-22 13:00:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbd2637…
09-22 13:00:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x826b0e…
09-22 13:00:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b79ca…
09-22 13:00:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4ce32…
09-22 13:00:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4eb8b1…
09-22 13:00:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x42b208…
09-22 13:00:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc59b3e…
09-22 13:00:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe47d48…
09-22 13:00:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x767c0b…
09-22 12:59:19	Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15,537	73¢	$11,342	0xc67de9…
09-22 12:59:09	Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,537	13¢	$2,020	0x06b660…
07-12 13:18:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2f2092…
06-14 13:09:51	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc6cf7a…
05-19 15:33:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x82c288…
05-10 13:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40ff70…
05-10 13:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc305e7…
05-10 13:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdce75b…
05-10 13:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb5535…
05-10 13:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc321cc…
05-10 13:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3df888…
05-10 13:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc9024…
04-28 14:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde198e…
04-21 12:50:52	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x873ec0…
04-20 12:00:40	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95b5f7…
04-20 12:00:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 25c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x153f59…
04-20 12:00:16	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 24corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3cffcf…
04-20 12:00:12	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 29c	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd64dc6…
04-20 12:00:12	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc44dee…
04-20 12:00:10	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce46a…
04-20 12:00:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbee91e…
04-17 11:11:16	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01f0a0…
04-15 13:45:04	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1,305	73¢	$953	0x28552f…
04-15 13:44:58	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	2,470	73¢	$1,803	0xd8438c…
04-15 13:44:40	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,305	16¢	$209	0x8325d0…
04-15 13:43:52	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	2,470	13¢	$321	0x2aa6cc…
04-15 13:42:38	highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ac105…
04-15 13:42:30	xrp above 1pt3 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x981ca3…
04-15 13:42:26	xrp above 1pt4 on april 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x13e5ca…
04-15 13:42:22	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x766c92…
04-15 13:42:18	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 13 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b16f3…
04-15 13:42:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1811de…
04-15 13:42:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9fb851…
04-15 13:42:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91337c…
04-15 13:41:48	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1,697	74¢	$1,256	0x8e85c4…
04-15 13:40:50	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,697	17¢	$288	0x1ef09d…
04-15 13:39:12	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	366	79¢	$289	0x0e2ad7…
04-15 13:38:28	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	366	12¢	$44	0xa15932…
03-29 15:40:56	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xd0f9a0…
03-21 16:16:55	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x323792…
03-21 16:15:47	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa9e21c…
03-21 16:15:45	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4ed117…
03-21 16:15:41	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x234e5e…
03-21 16:15:39	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa98873…
03-21 16:15:35	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbb9e32…
03-21 16:15:33	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd3ed25…
03-21 16:15:29	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdb237…
03-21 16:14:59	will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	8,415	98¢	$8,247	0xa52c65…
03-21 16:14:05	will zeynep sonmez win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	8,415	1¢	$84	0x9b195a…
03-21 11:03:25	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xfbe19d…
03-21 11:03:03	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc7a695…
03-21 10:56:57	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	Yes	SELL	66	73¢	$48	0x3b77a7…
03-21 10:56:31	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	Yes	BUY	66	13¢	$9	0x756807…
03-13 13:47:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf25b98…
03-01 10:51:47	will opinion launch a token on march 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba1d4c…
03-01 10:51:43	will opinion launch a token on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x191697…
03-01 10:51:39	will opinion launch a token on march 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x580869…
03-01 10:51:37	will opinion launch a token on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4f9d43…
03-01 10:51:33	no token launch by march 31 627	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1c721…
03-01 10:51:15	solana above 90 on march 1	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0a9a8…
03-01 10:50:57	solana above 70 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8aec7…
03-01 10:50:53	solana above 100 on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdffd13…
03-01 10:50:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4acb14…
03-01 10:50:39	bitcoin above 60k on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42b905…
03-01 10:50:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 1	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe14e6…
03-01 10:50:31	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe87294…
03-01 03:08:03	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,666	93¢	$4,339	0xf99c12…
03-01 03:07:17	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,666	11¢	$513	0x1ad35c…
03-01 03:06:33	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10,850	89¢	$9,656	0xcb52f1…
03-01 03:05:57	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10,850	4¢	$434	0xa2190d…
02-28 13:32:35	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0x70ecb0…
02-28 13:30:29	will bnb dip to 500 in february	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa41d3a…
02-28 13:30:25	will bnb reach 800 in february	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf34d1b…
02-28 13:30:15	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74f68c…
02-28 13:30:13	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x708afc…
02-28 13:30:05	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x587d32…
02-28 13:29:57	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4dbb47…
02-28 13:29:55	bitcoin above 60k on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa64213…
02-28 13:29:45	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x387e6c…
02-28 13:29:41	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ce2b2…
02-28 13:29:37	Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaabf0e…
02-28 13:29:37	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x268be9…
02-28 13:29:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb26eae…
02-28 13:29:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ac149…
02-28 13:29:21	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x71cc9d…