Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$208
$1,640 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$6,400
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | — | $184 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $73 | $73 |
| Median | 4 | — | $49 | $49 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-10 03:00 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-10 04:25 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 07:29 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 00:51 |
| Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:36 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 02:32 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Likable-Oar 0x6a95…3ac7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Smoggy-Flume 0x8cd8…26c4 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:48 |
| Harmful-Willingness 0xe36b…efdf | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51901d… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40950a… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfad7f7… |
| 05-10 07:29:02 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x5b28cd… |
| 05-10 07:29:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd524ef… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee72a1… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95a89e… |
| 05-10 07:24:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfcb1fa… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe6ba2b… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa05198… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x941c5e… |
| 05-10 05:53:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd4250… |
| 05-10 05:02:54 | Likable-Oar 0x6a95…3ac7 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x23263f… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3661be… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef9630… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x265596… |
| 05-10 04:56:19 | Harmful-Willingness 0xe36b…efdf | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xdc8f52… |
| 05-10 04:25:57 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x650f8f… |
| 05-10 03:00:31 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x329cad… |
| 05-10 02:32:19 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x426b35… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d8eca… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbb575… |
| 05-10 01:36:49 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0a3a18… |
| 05-10 01:35:06 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1b5086… |
| 05-10 00:51:01 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x53d46f… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1790de… |
| 05-09 23:59:57 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x0ee455… |
| 05-09 13:48:13 | Smoggy-Flume 0x8cd8…26c4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x813f78… |