Functional-Draft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,111

lifetime

Volume

$6.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-05 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% $-5

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes		+605	$14	1¢	$5	$-9	07-05 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	22	$1.0K	3,426	3,500	-74	open	—	01-23 11:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	22	$494	1,000	862	+138	open	—	04-29 18:24
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	22	$425	760	760	+0	open	—	03-27 08:39
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	23	$372	1,222	419	+804	open	—	02-28 14:35
will solana reach 180 in january 2026	22	$281	1,952	1,952	+0	open	—	01-19 04:35
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	12	$224	2,518	2,518	+0	open	—	02-11 09:44
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	12	$218	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	01-20 05:04
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	24	$199	2,542	1,236	+1,307	open	—	02-22 11:27
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	12	$164	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	02-10 22:01
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	9	$152	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	01-11 19:28
will solana reach 140 december 29 january 4	16	$121	761	761	+0	open	—	01-04 10:35
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	13	$119	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	01-11 19:48
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	7	$113	610	610	+0	open	—	02-11 14:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	6	$112	323	304	+18	open	—	04-27 07:19
will ethereum reach 3200 december 29 january 4	3	$102	201	201	+0	open	—	01-02 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	13	$99	614	107	+507	open	—	05-24 12:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	6	$96	321	321	+0	open	—	05-13 16:01
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	9	$95	1,004	1,004	+0	open	—	01-27 20:18
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$90	71	71	+0	open	—	03-16 07:53
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	4	$90	1,007	1,007	+0	open	—	02-07 07:58
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	13	$80	982	982	+0	open	—	02-05 06:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	9	$80	802	802	+0	open	—	02-03 17:50
will solana reach 140 in february 2026	5	$78	753	753	+0	open	—	02-06 18:23
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	6	$70	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	02-06 18:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	7	$59	152	152	+0	open	—	02-16 09:31
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	7	$50	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	01-07 22:18
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	8	$48	507	0	+507	open	—	06-13 12:28
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	8	$48	514	514	+0	open	—	02-05 06:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$40	110	103	+6	open	—	04-22 19:23
will ethereum reach 3300 december 29 january 4	6	$39	408	408	+0	open	—	01-04 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:21:34	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf67b30…
06-17 08:17:34	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe861c5…
06-17 08:15:26	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x9eb7c1…
06-15 21:50:27	btc updown 5m 1781560200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x89d6a8…
06-15 21:47:15	btc updown 5m 1781559900	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x1856c5…
06-15 21:46:12	btc updown 5m 1781559900	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3757d0…
06-15 21:42:58	btc updown 5m 1781559600	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd517f0…
06-15 21:42:09	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2f6688…
06-14 13:01:51	btc updown 5m 1781442000	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x7a6d66…
06-14 13:00:28	btc updown 5m 1781442000	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde70c8…
06-14 12:57:10	btc updown 5m 1781441700	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xef51d1…
06-14 12:55:42	btc updown 5m 1781441700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x453940…
06-13 14:44:19	btc updown 5m 1781361600	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x862eb6…
06-13 14:43:34	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x616ebb…
06-13 12:29:16	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	3¢	$6	0xa436ea…
06-13 12:28:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8b955c…
06-12 21:55:13	btc updown 5m 1781301300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x48bad9…
06-12 21:53:16	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x673a3f…
06-11 21:01:22	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x59d017…
06-06 18:41:06	btc updown 5m 1780771200	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x86b95a…
06-06 18:40:46	btc updown 5m 1780771200	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x66bf0e…
06-05 21:49:12	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x47d18f…
06-05 21:47:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e4e09…
06-05 21:47:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc65ab9…
06-05 21:46:09	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x5c4b82…
06-05 21:45:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1e17c4…
06-05 16:04:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xba743c…
06-05 16:03:39	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	210	4¢	$9	0x893ef1…
06-04 23:04:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0xe6a053…
06-03 21:13:22	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc63cb0…
06-03 21:10:49	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf6b180…
06-03 21:09:27	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x36498c…
06-03 21:08:21	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0xe6163a…
06-03 21:07:54	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	407	1¢	$6	0xac54f4…
06-03 21:06:06	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x4279b7…
06-03 07:01:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0xbcd3fc…
06-02 21:35:59	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x167812…
06-01 08:46:09	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x9ea9ce…
05-24 19:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd3d43…
05-24 12:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1374f7…
05-24 12:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x179ed1…
05-24 12:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x9b29c1…
05-24 12:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x21d752…
05-24 12:00:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x3119df…
05-24 11:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe48959…
05-24 11:27:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0x25f128…
05-24 11:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6abc63…
05-24 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb311d5…
05-24 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xddd09e…
05-24 11:14:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x2278f2…
05-24 10:20:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xdfb529…
05-24 10:00:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1b7ee6…
05-24 09:58:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8406dd…
05-24 09:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc3fd70…
05-24 09:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5b976c…
05-24 09:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc37ab1…
05-23 22:30:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc7e057…
05-20 04:35:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3b8705…
05-17 10:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xeb20bd…
05-16 09:23:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0xea14cf…
05-15 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7ec5a7…
05-15 23:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x190937…
05-15 23:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5edcde…
05-15 23:03:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x540690…
05-15 21:58:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0x34f68e…
05-13 17:51:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0x44329f…
05-13 16:01:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xf353d4…
05-13 16:00:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	174	11¢	$19	0x6c9ef2…
05-12 12:03:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	135	17¢	$23	0x6751b2…
05-10 10:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd57253…
05-09 17:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd6d2aa…
05-09 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x12c2a6…
05-09 16:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x01da1a…
05-09 16:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x01dafe…
05-08 18:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x456c3d…
05-08 18:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa3a977…
05-08 13:49:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x239e22…
05-08 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf92a26…
05-08 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x95bbe2…
05-08 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf95712…
05-08 13:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	111	16¢	$18	0x68dab7…
05-08 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x622c36…
05-08 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x788474…
05-08 12:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5f8b3c…
05-08 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x36d7be…
05-08 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x31f648…
05-08 12:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb2632…
05-08 11:51:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x6f403a…
05-03 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf5eac7…
05-03 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd7d7fd…
05-03 20:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xcda738…
05-03 18:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe476f6…
05-03 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xffcc33…
05-03 18:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7215e7…
05-03 18:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7f2ccb…
05-03 17:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x41e271…
05-03 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x75246f…
05-03 17:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1cb6da…
05-03 17:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfc6948…
05-01 22:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcacd95…