Functional-Draft — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$81

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved (90d)

171

Trades (90d)

395

1,551 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.43K

$8.48K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$93

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% -$840

Other

3% 0% -$46

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+806	$77	7¢	$56	-$20	11-11 08:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,206	$98	3¢	$37	-$61	11-11 08:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	22	$1.0K	3,426	3,500	-74	No	-$106	01-23 11:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	22	$494	1,000	862	+138	No	-$8	04-29 18:24
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	22	$425	760	760	+0	No	-$27	03-27 08:39
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	23	$372	1,222	419	+804	No	-$48	02-28 14:35
will solana reach 180 in january 2026	22	$281	1,952	1,952	+0	No	-$13	01-19 04:35
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	22	$256	1,806	1,806	+0	open	—	11-07 10:30
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	12	$224	2,518	2,518	+0	No	-$30	02-11 09:44
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	12	$218	1,249	1,249	+0	No	-$22	01-20 05:04
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	24	$199	2,542	1,236	+1,307	No	-$73	02-22 11:27
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	22	$190	2,055	2,055	+0	open	—	11-11 07:31
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	12	$164	1,576	1,576	+0	No	-$8	02-10 22:01
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	9	$152	1,097	1,097	+0	No	-$11	01-11 19:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	17	$136	1,325	406	+918	No	-$34	10-28 11:56
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	8	$128	475	269	+206	No	-$32	07-20 15:29
will solana reach 140 december 29 january 4	16	$121	761	761	+0	No	+$4	01-04 10:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	14	$120	1,524	318	+1,206	open	—	11-11 08:37
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	13	$119	1,406	1,406	+0	No	-$13	01-11 19:48
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	7	$113	610	610	+0	No	-$17	02-11 14:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	6	$112	323	304	+18	No	-$30	04-27 07:19
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$103	816	816	+0	open	—	09-29 17:46
will ethereum reach 3200 december 29 january 4	3	$102	201	201	+0	Yes	+$66	01-02 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	13	$99	614	107	+507	No	-$47	05-24 12:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	6	$96	321	321	+0	No	-$14	05-13 16:01
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	9	$95	1,004	1,004	+0	No	-$73	01-27 20:18
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$90	71	71	+0	Yes	+$8	03-16 07:53
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	4	$90	1,007	1,007	+0	No	-$40	02-07 07:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	11	$83	278	278	+0	open	—	09-15 18:41
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	13	$80	982	982	+0	No	-$38	02-05 06:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	9	$80	802	802	+0	No	-$19	02-03 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$79	242	214	+27	No	-$13	09-16 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 08:38:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	9¢	$9	0xc87a32…
11-11 08:37:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	4¢	$7	0x47d23e…
11-11 08:34:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb12ca9…
11-11 08:34:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$4	0x2832f3…
11-11 08:33:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	9¢	$26	0x3d0f9c…
11-11 07:59:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0x59b994…
11-11 07:32:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	10¢	$27	0x8c1f90…
11-11 07:31:00	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,501	2¢	$26	0xeb9b1c…
11-09 08:41:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf1a678…
11-07 10:31:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x8bf3bb…
11-07 10:30:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	516	2¢	$12	0xc84e05…
11-07 10:29:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	7¢	$22	0x2aaead…
11-07 10:29:01	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	3¢	$29	0x0d9745…
11-05 16:24:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	7¢	$6	0x313cb7…
11-05 08:59:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x10574f…
11-05 07:53:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x38544f…
11-04 08:21:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0x598f49…
11-04 07:13:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x53fcd2…
11-03 18:10:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x985bc7…
11-03 05:26:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x7f0714…
11-03 05:25:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	3¢	$9	0x463527…
11-03 05:22:39	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	3¢	$9	0xd197ac…
11-03 05:21:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xcd1a55…
11-03 05:14:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xc0854f…
11-01 10:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x77d005…
10-31 13:01:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x608a2c…
10-31 12:58:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x5df28a…
10-28 11:56:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1aaaf9…
10-25 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x794aed…
10-25 11:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x60dcd8…
10-25 11:40:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xe00777…
10-25 11:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6dc2e4…
10-25 11:18:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0x19cf91…
10-25 10:46:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xa30493…
10-25 10:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe50c22…
10-25 10:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xca050a…
10-25 10:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcf88ae…
10-25 10:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe66adc…
10-25 10:16:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd4fdd3…
10-25 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9f6ace…
10-25 10:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd7bbe9…
10-25 10:11:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xaa3c5f…
10-25 10:10:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x16cddb…
10-25 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x27c5b0…
10-24 19:53:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x4fd8c5…
10-24 19:50:18	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x88ac19…
10-24 19:49:50	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x602775…
10-24 07:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5dd666…
10-24 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcdb926…
10-22 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6d2a0…
10-22 17:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd5b8b8…
10-22 17:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5cde44…
10-22 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ffbbf…
10-22 17:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x712d33…
10-22 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf4c536…
10-22 17:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe2f3a6…
10-22 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x49658e…
10-22 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2e6291…
10-22 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x044381…
10-22 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8681e0…
10-22 14:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda3aa4…
10-22 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc58b99…
10-22 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ac4ef…
10-22 14:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e096a…
10-22 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x79326c…
10-22 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x705b30…
10-22 14:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc34481…
10-22 14:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x499303…
10-22 14:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x286c8a…
10-22 14:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xca419a…
10-22 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x876f32…
10-22 13:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xba5375…
10-22 13:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x987e58…
10-22 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5c328a…
10-22 13:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe9d6e3…
10-22 13:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x523519…
10-22 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfae834…
10-22 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x80d83e…
10-22 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb64900…
10-22 13:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x12ebf7…
10-22 13:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6c2e00…
10-22 13:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa30fff…
10-22 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3e5bd…
10-22 13:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x329577…
10-22 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf79b04…
10-22 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc951ef…
10-22 12:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x7fa39d…
10-22 12:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa03271…
10-22 12:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xef2aa3…
10-22 12:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf97307…
10-22 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe78e82…
10-22 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2a9f43…
10-22 12:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbaa0a1…
10-22 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6afa5d…
10-22 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7dfa34…
10-22 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x58236c…
10-22 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xb9774e…
10-22 12:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xd11188…
10-22 12:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x667c94…
10-22 12:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xab0fc4…