Realized P&L
+$257
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
182
lifetime
Volume
$4.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$327
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-23 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
68% 50% +$257
Crypto
26%
Other
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -213 $-176 82¢ $-176 +$0 07-15 18:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -116 $-109 93¢ $-108 +$1 07-03 20:22
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 +$0 06-14 06:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -20 $-15 78¢ $-16 $-1 07-02 19:02