Regal-Nutmeg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-25 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

32% — —

Sports

11% 0% $-3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$4.1K	2,060	2,059	+1	open	—	04-16 21:24
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$4.1K	2,063	2,063	+0	open	—	04-16 14:29
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$2.4K	3,303	3,303	+0	No	$-3	04-14 17:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	04-15 14:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	17	$1.4K	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	06-19 16:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$754	561	561	+0	open	—	05-31 22:19
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$633	619	619	+0	open	—	06-05 15:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$631	323	323	+0	open	—	06-09 13:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$576	587	587	+0	open	—	06-06 03:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$566	291	291	+0	open	—	05-26 19:04
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$483	716	716	+0	open	—	06-23 09:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	9	$472	595	732	-137	open	—	06-05 13:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	16	$411	1,948	1,948	+0	open	—	06-25 07:50
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$361	220	220	+0	open	—	06-19 21:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$344	257	257	+0	open	—	06-19 00:03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	4	$328	167	167	+0	open	—	06-20 05:24
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$310	194	194	+0	open	—	06-18 20:11
israel closes its airspace by june 9	4	$286	148	148	+0	open	—	06-09 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$284	263	263	+0	open	—	06-08 01:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$284	156	156	+0	open	—	06-08 17:03
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$283	148	148	+0	open	—	06-06 20:53
israel closes its airspace by july 31	2	$269	161	161	+0	open	—	06-20 10:58
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	7	$226	283	283	+0	open	—	04-23 00:36
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	5	$218	363	165	+198	open	—	06-13 12:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$203	107	107	+0	open	—	05-17 00:27
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$199	193	193	+0	open	—	04-22 11:41
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	3	$198	305	305	+0	open	—	06-24 03:38
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$189	96	96	+0	No	$-0	04-14 05:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$183	316	316	+0	open	—	06-07 11:10
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$183	103	103	+0	open	—	04-27 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xb4bd53…
06-25 07:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x7af67d…
06-25 07:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	2¢	$2	0x77ebad…
06-25 07:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x70b55d…
06-25 07:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x174a27…
06-25 05:58:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	563	2¢	$11	0x7c4733…
06-24 21:28:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	649	2¢	$12	0xc947bd…
06-24 21:28:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xaf010c…
06-24 18:16:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$12	0xd3a052…
06-24 03:38:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x463eaf…
06-24 03:38:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xa4bc69…
06-24 01:47:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	305	32¢	$98	0xef4abe…
06-23 22:19:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x565a9e…
06-23 22:19:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0x326c17…
06-23 19:08:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0x620815…
06-23 18:20:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	223	3¢	$7	0xa30ffe…
06-23 18:20:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	159	3¢	$5	0x928f08…
06-23 18:20:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x004bca…
06-23 14:24:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	549	3¢	$18	0x9c8a37…
06-23 09:04:08	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	203	90¢	$182	0x45dfe1…
06-23 07:19:19	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	203	90¢	$182	0xa68667…
06-20 10:58:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	161	84¢	$135	0x48e4f9…
06-20 08:06:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	161	83¢	$134	0x82c932…
06-20 05:24:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xb6088f…
06-20 05:24:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0x4cd384…
06-20 02:38:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x41db2d…
06-20 02:38:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x307027…
06-19 21:13:20	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	220	82¢	$180	0xb14ee6…
06-19 21:12:32	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	220	82¢	$180	0xde28cf…
06-19 16:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xd396a9…
06-19 14:35:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	272	58¢	$158	0x216de4…
06-19 10:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0xb2468b…
06-19 10:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0x448b06…
06-19 00:03:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	257	67¢	$172	0x9904f9…
06-18 21:53:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	257	67¢	$172	0x8fa977…
06-18 20:11:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	159	81¢	$129	0x5d364e…
06-18 18:08:50	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0xbec5d9…
06-18 14:21:13	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	194	79¢	$153	0x27af0e…
06-18 12:16:19	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	513	12¢	$60	0x12b5c7…
06-18 09:16:47	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	513	11¢	$58	0x0e23bd…
06-17 01:07:13	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x9c904e…
06-17 01:07:07	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x15a022…
06-17 01:05:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0x735072…
06-15 12:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	339	14¢	$47	0xd07e6a…
06-15 07:57:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	118	14¢	$17	0xeff85e…
06-15 07:57:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	221	14¢	$31	0x515c13…
06-15 03:23:58	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	152	25¢	$38	0xb5d133…
06-14 12:44:21	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	6¢	$16	0x337b0a…
06-14 10:39:25	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0xea879b…
06-14 10:39:25	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0x7221eb…
06-14 01:56:42	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xc25619…
06-14 01:56:42	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x8e35b2…
06-14 01:56:42	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x827562…
06-13 12:56:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	165	20¢	$33	0x0dcd4d…
06-13 11:45:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	158	22¢	$35	0xc388c0…
06-13 11:45:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x51695c…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xcd21b3…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	119	49¢	$58	0xbdbfd5…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	46	49¢	$23	0x53bdda…
06-13 06:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	180	49¢	$88	0x33c6b3…
06-13 06:02:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	350	49¢	$172	0x628d2b…
06-12 15:57:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xe5c0d6…
06-12 15:57:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	172	75¢	$129	0x810a75…
06-12 09:54:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	191	47¢	$90	0x50c5a4…
06-12 07:57:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	191	45¢	$86	0xd92689…
06-09 17:09:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x835744…
06-09 13:50:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x0589c5…
06-09 13:46:18	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0xaf6e72…
06-09 11:37:21	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0x53f771…
06-09 01:19:49	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xbe1b2e…
06-09 01:19:49	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x1db2ee…
06-08 23:18:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5aef85…
06-08 23:18:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	137	96¢	$131	0x0b67bc…
06-08 17:03:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	156	91¢	$142	0xfeb2d4…
06-08 15:20:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	156	91¢	$142	0x822cdf…
06-08 01:36:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	54¢	$45	0xdbea52…
06-08 01:36:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	54¢	$97	0x720921…
06-07 23:55:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	54¢	$87	0xcba350…
06-07 23:55:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0xb154f9…
06-07 11:10:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	316	29¢	$92	0x80fd1b…
06-07 09:48:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	265	29¢	$77	0x65fe23…
06-07 09:48:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x29360a…
06-06 20:53:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	148	96¢	$142	0xb3a991…
06-06 17:17:48	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0x08161d…
06-06 03:30:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	346	45¢	$156	0xf3b1b1…
06-05 22:46:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	346	45¢	$156	0x6c5fd2…
06-05 15:46:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3766ed…
06-05 15:45:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	295	19¢	$56	0x00aac1…
06-05 13:51:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	129	19¢	$24	0xad21e2…
06-05 13:51:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	173	19¢	$33	0x44d172…
06-05 13:48:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0x10835a…
06-05 12:00:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0x93ede8…
06-04 23:34:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	174	81¢	$140	0x0e7929…
06-04 19:04:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	174	82¢	$143	0xa44657…
06-04 18:47:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	143	82¢	$118	0x775d37…
06-04 16:20:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	143	82¢	$117	0x719908…
06-03 19:19:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xc362f8…
06-03 17:40:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xc341b1…
06-02 23:43:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0xa589fc…
06-02 21:50:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xa6baf0…