Realized P&L (90d)
-$934
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved (90d)
44
Trades (90d)
228
302 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$57.8K
$70.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$232
Open exposure
$16.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 11-13 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
71% 45% +$163
Politics
29% 80% +$385
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12,159 $10,468 94¢ $11.5K +$1,023 11-09 14:49
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +3,371 $1,719 91¢ $3.1K +$1,348 08-18 19:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3,178 $1,341 18¢ $556 -$785 11-13 00:00
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +524 $435 94¢ $492 +$57 11-11 12:49
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +2,781 $916 16¢ $459 -$457 11-11 15:40
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? No +267 $53 96¢ $256 +$203 11-03 17:01
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026? Yes +52 $19 26¢ $14 -$5 11-02 14:56
Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? No +12 $8 97¢ $12 +$4 10-14 15:44
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $11 48¢ $5 -$6 11-11 00:03
Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? Yes +81 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 10-28 18:00
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +1 $21 92¢ $1 -$21 11-02 21:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 -$3 90¢ $0 +$3 11-02 20:58