Unsightly-Editor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$408

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

390

798 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$57.7K

$87.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$609

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-09 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

99% 53% +$301

Politics

1% 0% -$233

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes		+569	$500	89¢	$507	+$7	11-08 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No		+110	$100	93¢	$102	+$2	11-08 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	16	$4.2K	2,365	2,365	+0	Yes	+$233	10-13 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	24	$3.6K	4,053	4,053	+0	No	-$405	10-16 02:45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	8	$2.8K	2,145	2,145	+0	Yes	+$120	10-09 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	6	$2.2K	1,141	1,141	+0	Yes	+$34	10-10 16:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	9	$2.2K	1,484	1,484	+0	No	+$120	10-07 05:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	7	$2.2K	1,504	1,504	+0	Yes	+$152	05-25 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,735	1,635	+100	Yes	+$4	05-26 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,335	1,335	+0	Yes	+$25	10-16 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,124	1,124	+0	Yes	+$58	09-30 16:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	+$109	10-12 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,474	1,474	+0	Yes	+$117	09-29 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	4	$1.6K	918	918	+0	Yes	+$55	06-05 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	7	$1.4K	2,120	1,446	+674	No	-$299	05-29 07:29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$1.4K	875	875	+0	No	+$49	05-22 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	12	$1.3K	699	699	+0	Yes	+$50	11-04 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,112	1,112	+0	Yes	+$22	05-15 17:24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$1.1K	604	604	+0	No	+$103	10-09 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	7	$1.1K	825	821	+4	No	-$299	10-24 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,047	1,047	+0	No	+$58	10-02 05:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$55	10-08 18:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$1.0K	703	703	+0	Yes	+$368	10-20 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	2	$1.0K	527	527	+0	Yes	+$26	11-07 16:38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	2	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	+$21	05-27 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$974	561	561	+0	Yes	+$144	10-06 15:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$967	815	815	+0	No	-$233	10-25 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$924	632	632	+0	No	-$76	10-08 11:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	6	$916	1,399	1,399	+0	Yes	+$116	05-06 09:43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	5	$898	856	856	+0	No	+$2	06-08 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	13	$874	597	597	+0	No	-$128	10-17 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$848	449	449	+0	No	+$48	10-06 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 16:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	32¢	$35	0xee4b6b…
11-09 15:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	83¢	$335	0xa0bdb0…
11-09 14:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x452ffe…
11-09 03:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$324	0x9519c9…
11-08 08:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x770660…
11-08 06:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	88¢	$500	0x25fb9f…
11-08 06:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x51a1f1…
11-07 16:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	527	100¢	$526	0xc983e7…
11-07 15:22:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x0733bf…
11-06 16:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	98¢	$137	0xbe56e2…
11-06 16:35:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	91¢	$56	0x68ecd3…
11-06 09:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xfdc27d…
11-06 09:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	81¢	$113	0x73ba50…
11-06 06:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	33¢	$89	0x71e778…
11-06 06:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0x95927c…
11-06 06:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	66¢	$223	0xfff6a7…
11-06 06:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	65¢	$75	0xf1f2c4…
11-06 06:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	66¢	$74	0x68292e…
11-06 06:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x30c1e8…
11-06 06:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x57866c…
11-06 06:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	80¢	$131	0xce738d…
11-05 23:10:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x7f7e22…
11-04 16:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x839883…
11-04 16:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$132	0x54ebaf…
11-04 16:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x3a29ac…
11-04 16:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x36fa93…
11-04 16:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$34	0x57a4c4…
11-04 16:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0427d9…
11-04 16:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7f0693…
11-04 16:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x0c76a2…
11-04 16:04:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0x9c2fb1…
11-04 15:36:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x7d07aa…
11-04 12:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	83¢	$138	0x739bac…
11-04 06:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	65¢	$108	0x0ce15f…
11-03 16:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0xfb63f6…
11-03 16:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x1d3119…
11-03 13:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x19fc14…
11-03 13:10:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	69¢	$113	0x4e9fbe…
11-02 15:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0xe10bab…
11-02 15:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x7c2632…
11-02 09:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x97c8a2…
11-02 09:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	80¢	$119	0x487fc8…
10-31 16:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xf44e7f…
10-31 15:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0xa145ec…
10-30 14:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0xc5f8e6…
10-30 14:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x91bbfa…
10-30 13:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x0433df…
10-30 13:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	317	54¢	$172	0xdba368…
10-30 13:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0xd98155…
10-30 12:40:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	70¢	$119	0x581f3d…
10-30 10:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xc31c2e…
10-30 10:55:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	72¢	$119	0x34dc90…
10-30 10:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xc2cbf9…
10-30 06:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0xbbca69…
10-30 06:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	154	90¢	$139	0x9b0769…
10-30 05:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x1c0f51…
10-30 05:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x2d83df…
10-28 15:54:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x602b38…
10-28 14:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	98¢	$265	0x9a95fe…
10-28 10:02:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xf711ba…
10-28 09:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	93¢	$95	0xc9b1cf…
10-28 07:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	84¢	$123	0x954331…
10-27 16:00:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x294944…
10-27 16:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0xc7318e…
10-27 16:00:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x17582e…
10-27 16:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x919617…
10-27 12:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	68¢	$119	0x6a66df…
10-27 11:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xffa9dc…
10-27 11:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	65¢	$119	0x6bac22…
10-27 09:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x856611…
10-26 12:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	73¢	$178	0xe23fbe…
10-26 09:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0x145120…
10-25 23:00:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	503	22¢	$108	0xb7b86a…
10-25 08:19:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0x90b516…
10-24 14:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	588	45¢	$265	0x69533c…
10-24 14:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0xdf2bca…
10-24 14:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	60¢	$55	0xd25dde…
10-24 14:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x2b29d8…
10-24 14:20:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x8ba9bc…
10-24 10:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	85¢	$200	0xbeb88a…
10-24 05:39:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x257377…
10-24 05:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x099417…
10-23 16:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xe2f023…
10-23 15:39:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x0237ad…
10-23 14:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	63¢	$174	0xe2f0b0…
10-21 10:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	30¢	$75	0x0dd275…
10-21 06:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x27a446…
10-21 06:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xfb6a87…
10-21 06:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x108510…
10-21 06:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	82¢	$52	0x6d193d…
10-20 16:00:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x869f2f…
10-20 16:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x50ddfc…
10-20 14:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	49¢	$235	0x6347d6…
10-20 13:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0xa07fd6…
10-20 06:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	32¢	$103	0x78fd8d…
10-20 06:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	34¢	$77	0xcd4a7f…
10-20 06:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	36¢	$193	0x91032d…
10-20 03:15:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,077	33¢	$352	0xf9ee08…
10-19 23:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	9¢	$30	0x182721…
10-19 23:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,263	10¢	$124	0x7bb68e…