Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-17 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$30

Politics

39% 90% -$116

Crypto

8% 100% +$8

Tech

6% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No		+42	$40	98¢	$41	+$1	10-17 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$543	376	180	+196	No	+$11	03-28 06:05
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	2	$391	225	170	+55	No	+$3	06-25 07:35
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$260	266	0	+266	Yes	+$6	01-21 08:21
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$259	261	0	+261	No	+$2	01-08 05:03
will bnb dip to 500 in january	1	$233	234	0	+234	No	+$1	01-08 04:58
zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	02-10 03:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	04-04 07:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	05-06 12:29
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	03-28 06:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$188	192	0	+192	No	+$4	05-06 12:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	04-04 07:02
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	1	$177	179	0	+179	Yes	+$2	02-10 03:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$171	173	0	+173	Yes	+$2	06-25 07:38
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$166	168	0	+168	No	+$2	06-10 13:44
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	1	$166	168	0	+168	No	+$2	07-07 11:24
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$145	146	0	+146	No	+$1	08-21 07:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$144	145	0	+145	No	+$1	08-21 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$140	146	0	+146	Yes	-$140	05-06 12:29
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	1	$140	142	0	+142	No	+$2	04-04 06:57
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$128	132	0	+132	No	+$4	03-02 07:55
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	07-07 11:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$110	112	0	+112	Yes	+$2	08-21 07:07
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	07-07 11:24
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 200plus	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	02-10 03:05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	10-17 14:10
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$62	66	0	+66	Yes	+$4	09-16 10:24
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	09-16 10:23
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	10-17 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:10:23	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x5c2595…
10-17 14:09:57	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x360c57…
09-16 10:24:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x758def…
09-16 10:23:49	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x54803b…
08-21 07:07:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x29b077…
08-21 07:06:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x6e0c1b…
08-21 07:06:01	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xf6b9f1…
07-07 11:24:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf634d0…
07-07 11:24:16	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xbad434…
07-07 11:23:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xc27b1f…
06-25 07:38:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x78309c…
06-25 07:35:55	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0xe62517…
06-10 13:44:13	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x274833…
06-10 13:43:33	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0x53e995…
05-06 12:29:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x6f220f…
05-06 12:29:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x784530…
05-06 12:28:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0xd0b100…
04-04 07:02:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x9276aa…
04-04 07:00:17	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xf666c2…
04-04 06:57:31	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x1e2dfb…
03-28 06:09:43	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xff1e3a…
03-28 06:05:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x17c951…
03-02 07:55:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	376	97¢	$364	0xd0f7d7…
03-02 07:55:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x4e5357…
02-10 03:06:31	zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xc0f167…
02-10 03:05:21	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 200plus	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd48b49…
02-10 03:04:25	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0x29d9a6…
01-21 08:21:32	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0x8e85af…
01-08 05:03:11	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0xaa6dc6…
01-08 04:58:21	will bnb dip to 500 in january	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xb00838…