Cylindrical-Skating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

102

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$1.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-04 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

41% 94% +$2

Politics

34% 82% -$29

Crypto

18% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$123	62	62	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 06:27
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$117	59	59	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 10:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$116	58	58	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$113	56	56	+0	No	+$0	08-14 12:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$105	53	53	+0	No	+$0	09-29 08:27
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$2	10-01 06:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-16 04:02
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	09-03 17:02
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	08-04 23:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	08-14 19:11
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-17 07:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$1	08-28 18:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	09-22 16:06
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$52	53	0	+53	Yes	+$1	09-25 11:40
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-28 09:18
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	06-26 23:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$43	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	11-04 00:53
will hyperliquid reach 44 in march	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	03-31 14:32
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$37	58	58	+0	No	+$0	10-14 09:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$36	43	0	+43	No	-$36	10-15 06:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	04-29 17:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	05-30 21:23
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-30 04:08
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-31 01:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$1	10-29 17:44
aapl above 240 on february 27 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	02-25 05:18
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-13 03:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-28 20:10
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-29 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:53:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0xb00454…
11-03 11:52:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x27a9eb…
10-29 17:44:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x746a10…
10-28 09:18:29	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6e1e23…
10-27 22:45:35	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x9cbd81…
10-15 06:06:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	83¢	$36	0x3f9419…
10-14 09:36:08	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	32¢	$18	0x0233aa…
10-11 18:27:16	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$18	0x6502ba…
10-05 06:27:20	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe3362c…
10-05 01:18:34	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x113f51…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xca88c7…
09-30 10:14:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xe638f2…
09-29 18:25:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb4ffc0…
09-29 16:25:02	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xb8bdf1…
09-29 08:27:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x12328b…
09-28 19:13:35	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x3fcd7e…
09-25 11:40:32	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x14a589…
09-22 16:06:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x3e2412…
09-22 14:04:04	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x66fb57…
09-16 04:02:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x835f53…
09-10 10:56:09	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd371d5…
09-09 18:30:10	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x73d243…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc72ac7…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x3c2a9c…
09-03 17:02:13	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d50cd…
09-03 16:59:39	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5b6fb8…
09-03 16:43:48	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x969038…
08-30 06:13:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec3388…
08-28 18:02:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x845373…
08-24 19:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcee924…
08-22 03:35:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x3d1c1e…
08-22 00:14:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x3b1f58…
08-20 15:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x6e75df…
08-17 07:02:24	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xbbb335…
08-16 07:27:43	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1cd16b…
08-14 19:11:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x7577ef…
08-14 15:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xa81940…
08-14 12:38:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xa9a3b2…
08-11 09:44:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6634ed…
08-06 12:14:20	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ef217…
08-04 23:28:59	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0ea1ab…
07-31 17:28:17	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37cb06…
07-31 01:00:27	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3cf6bb…
07-30 01:23:47	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdd8ed…
07-28 16:49:19	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa829d1…
07-27 13:29:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8cbcc…
07-26 12:29:34	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x186e73…
07-26 02:33:27	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5fefaf…
07-25 20:50:28	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x118934…
07-22 09:51:48	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x369eb5…
07-21 19:53:33	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ecb98…
07-17 12:22:36	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7bef48…
07-17 08:54:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fea81…
06-30 04:08:59	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2575d0…
06-28 20:10:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xbbe5e9…
06-28 07:20:10	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x780620…
06-28 04:13:29	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x817466…
06-26 23:08:37	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x00fc23…
05-30 21:23:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9a97cf…
05-13 03:32:41	Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa93223…
05-11 14:32:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x550d0b…
05-11 04:46:51	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdfdc45…
05-10 15:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9f2c9…
05-10 08:23:33	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb65522…
05-09 19:07:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcdfc0f…
05-09 03:33:28	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcce94e…
05-08 18:55:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3fbc3…
05-08 13:41:49	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e67f3…
05-07 17:32:48	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e23c8…
05-06 12:20:04	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5cdc7…
05-05 22:36:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc8284f…
05-05 14:02:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb03070…
05-05 13:12:14	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5219e7…
05-05 11:34:40	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2a26f0…
04-29 17:40:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0xc8b298…
04-27 02:57:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2da9c5…
04-22 01:57:22	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa39439…
04-19 16:42:46	Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe59c39…
04-19 08:29:02	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x983f79…
04-18 01:01:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa5e0a1…
04-17 09:40:50	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39da18…
04-16 09:00:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b9a50…
04-14 10:14:49	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x344ffa…
04-05 17:27:35	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe13da3…
03-31 14:32:55	will hyperliquid reach 44 in march	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xafc8ce…
03-30 04:16:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe275dc…
03-28 07:24:47	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30b7fa…
03-26 01:23:53	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49e097…
03-24 10:36:37	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb1141b…
03-22 08:52:19	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1dcbd1…
03-21 13:55:19	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x712212…
03-19 21:10:27	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d8d38…
03-18 12:07:37	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x582144…
03-16 09:44:07	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f9a85…
03-15 15:36:29	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3362c3…
03-09 14:18:41	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3d6272…
03-06 20:08:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18ae95…
03-04 08:48:23	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x946f46…
02-26 20:15:54	aapl above 220 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x88c1ba…
02-25 05:18:28	aapl above 240 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x00b9a0…